Gold Portfolio vs Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2025 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1985)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gold Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
7.75$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.06%
Yearly Return
15.69%
Std Deviation
-42.91%
Max Drawdown
107months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
3.68$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.44%
Yearly Return
15.69%
Std Deviation
-45.71%
Max Drawdown
158months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
9.80$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.82%
Yearly Return
15.09%
Std Deviation
-48.26%
Max Drawdown
217months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
3.23$
Final Capital
April 2025
2.95%
Yearly Return
15.09%
Std Deviation
-65.71%
Max Drawdown
242months
Recovery Period
Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
8.93$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.57%
Yearly Return
9.80%
Std Deviation
-37.94%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.24$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.93%
Yearly Return
9.80%
Std Deviation
-38.96%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
30.57$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.85%
Yearly Return
9.59%
Std Deviation
-37.94%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
10.09$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.90%
Yearly Return
9.59%
Std Deviation
-38.96%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Gold Portfolio obtained a 7.06% compound annual return, with a 15.69% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -42.91% that required 107 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio obtained a 7.57% compound annual return, with a 9.80% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.94% that required 36 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gold Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 Ticker Name
100.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 Ticker Name
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
20.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
20.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
20.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gold.webp Gold
-- Market Benchmark 		25.46 5.42 19.83 43.38 13.85 10.35 7.06 5.82
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_scott_burns.webp Five Fold
Scott Burns 		1.92 0.31 1.11 11.04 6.99 5.46 7.57 8.85
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Gold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 7.75$, with a total return of 675.13% (7.06% annualized).

Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 8.93$, with a total return of 792.79% (7.57% annualized).


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Gold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 9.80$, with a total return of 879.91% (5.82% annualized).

Scott Burns Five Fold Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 30.57$, with a total return of 2957.42% (8.85% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Gold Five Fold
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 43.38 11.04
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 40.46 8.79
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.49 -3.38
Start to Recovery (months) 3 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -4.49 -3.38
Start to Recovery (months) 3 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.01 7.29
Sharpe Ratio 3.21 0.86
Sortino Ratio 4.47 1.05
Ulcer Index 1.52 1.37
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.61 1.52
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 9.66 3.27
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Gold Five Fold
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.85 6.99
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.91 2.35
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -21.60
Start to Recovery (months) 40 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -21.60
Start to Recovery (months) 40 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.73 11.20
Sharpe Ratio 0.77 0.40
Sortino Ratio 1.14 0.53
Ulcer Index 6.97 8.57
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.94 0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.77 0.32
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Gold Five Fold
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.35 5.46
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.06 2.32
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -21.60
Start to Recovery (months) 40 32
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -18.08 -21.60
Start to Recovery (months) 40 32
Longest Negative Period (months) 41 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.10 10.11
Sharpe Ratio 0.61 0.37
Sortino Ratio 0.91 0.49
Ulcer Index 6.65 6.49
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.73 0.54
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.57 0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Gold Five Fold
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.06 7.57
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.44 4.93
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -42.91 -37.94
Start to Recovery (months) 107 36
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -42.91 -37.94
Start to Recovery (months) 107 36
Longest Negative Period (months) 145 62
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.69 9.80
Sharpe Ratio 0.31 0.54
Sortino Ratio 0.45 0.70
Ulcer Index 20.47 6.75
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.45 0.77
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.16 0.20
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025
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Gold Five Fold
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 0% 60%
Fixed Income 0% 40%
Commodities 100% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.82 8.85
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.95 5.90
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -48.26 -37.94
Start to Recovery (months) 217 36
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -48.26 -37.94
Start to Recovery (months) 217 36
Longest Negative Period (months) 224 62
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.09 9.59
Sharpe Ratio 0.18 0.59
Sortino Ratio 0.26 0.77
Ulcer Index 24.18 6.08
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.39 0.92
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.12 0.23
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)

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Gold Five Fold
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-42.91 107 Sep 2011
Jul 2020
-37.94 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-37.17 95 Feb 1996
Dec 2003
-25.83 15 Mar 2008
May 2009
-21.60 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-18.08 40 Aug 2020
Nov 2023
-13.82 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-10.32 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-8.64 10 Dec 2004
Sep 2005
-8.63 10 May 2006
Feb 2007
-8.37 6 Dec 2009
May 2010
-8.31 7 Apr 2004
Oct 2004
-8.29 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-7.24 12 Jun 2002
May 2003
-6.93 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019

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Gold Five Fold
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-48.26 217 Dec 1987
Dec 2005
-42.91 107 Sep 2011
Jul 2020
-37.94 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-25.83 15 Mar 2008
May 2009
-21.60 32 Jan 2022
Aug 2024
-18.08 40 Aug 2020
Nov 2023
-13.82 7 Feb 2020
Aug 2020
-12.21 14 Jan 1990
Feb 1991
-11.82 10 Sep 1987
Jun 1988
-10.32 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-8.63 10 May 2006
Feb 2007
-8.37 6 Dec 2009
May 2010
-8.29 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-8.14 7 Oct 1986
Apr 1987
-7.79 16 Feb 1994
May 1995

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Gold Five Fold
Year Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)		 Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)
2025
 25.46 0.00 1.92 -1.69
2024
 26.66 -4.49 7.88 -3.57
2023
 12.69 -7.22 13.15 -7.82
2022
 -0.77 -15.91 -17.44 -21.60
2021
 -4.15 -10.32 15.57 -3.25
2020
 24.81 -10.12 8.59 -13.82
2019
 17.86 -4.10 19.52 -1.92
2018
 -1.94 -11.66 -4.81 -6.93
2017
 12.81 -4.09 11.77 0.00
2016
 8.03 -15.02 7.13 -3.39
2015
 -10.67 -17.81 -0.51 -6.31
2014
 -2.19 -12.44 10.14 -3.22
2013
 -28.33 -28.33 8.13 -5.45
2012
 6.60 -10.45 13.78 -4.08
2011
 9.57 -14.48 3.49 -10.32
2010
 29.27 -5.09 14.45 -6.47
2009
 24.03 -7.20 24.16 -15.00
2008
 4.92 -25.83 -23.95 -30.12
2007
 30.45 -4.20 4.26 -3.99
2006
 22.55 -8.63 16.17 -2.07
2005
 17.76 -4.91 8.26 -2.40
2004
 4.65 -8.31 15.75 -5.26
2003
 19.89 -8.88 23.74 -1.51
2002
 25.57 -6.72 -1.18 -7.24
2001
 0.75 -6.10 -0.06 -6.11
2000
 -5.44 -9.93 5.40 -3.85
1999
 0.85 -11.47 9.10 -2.61
1998
 -0.83 -12.01 9.78 -8.29
1997
 -21.41 -21.41 11.37 -3.10
1996
 -4.59 -8.95 13.09 -1.17
1995
 0.98 -2.46 19.23 -0.70
1994
 -2.17 -3.91 -2.47 -7.79
1993
 17.68 -11.51 18.48 -3.77
1992
 -5.73 -6.97 5.91 -3.73
1991
 -8.56 -10.05 23.52 -2.98
1990
 -3.11 -15.14 -6.16 -12.21
1989
 -2.84 -12.30 15.34 -0.98
1988
 -15.26 -18.05 14.35 -1.86
1987
 24.53 -1.97 6.54 -11.82
1986
 18.96 -8.14 26.37 -3.02
1985
 6.00 -6.67 30.39 -1.26
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Mastering ETF Investing
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