10-year Treasury vs Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The 10-year Treasury Portfolio obtained a 4.85% compound annual return, with a 6.78% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 8.24% compound annual return, with a 6.99% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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10-year Treasury Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Low Medium
Asset Allocation Stocks 0% 40%
Fixed Income 100% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +4.85% +8.24%
Std Dev 6.78% 6.99%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -21.11%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1982)
Return +7.26% +9.77%
Std Dev 7.52% 7.43%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -21.11%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
10-year Treasury Portfolio +0.73 +5.02 -1.56 -0.61 +1.16 +4.85 +7.26
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio +1.76 +17.02 +14.65 +5.19 +6.37 +8.24 +9.77
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 4.14$, with a total return of 314.12% (4.85% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 10.75$, with a total return of 975.36% (8.24% annualized).

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 19.28$, with a total return of 1828.29% (7.26% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 51.26$, with a total return of 5026.13% (9.77% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-21.11% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 14.29
-20.54% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 9.31
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-8.48% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) May 2003 (28) 4.78
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-7.10% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) May 2020 (4) 3.36
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-5.89% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Mar 2019 (6) 3.46
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83
-4.85% Apr 2004 May 2004 (2) Oct 2004 (7) 2.96
-4.67% Sep 2010 Mar 2011 (7) Jul 2011 (11) 2.74
-4.25% Feb 2015 Jun 2015 (5) Jan 2016 (12) 2.34
-4.15% Apr 2008 May 2008 (2) Nov 2008 (8) 2.19
-4.13% Oct 2002 Nov 2002 (2) Feb 2003 (5) 2.02
-4.13% Aug 1998 Aug 1998 (1) Oct 1998 (3) 2.07
-4.08% Jul 2005 May 2006 (11) Sep 2006 (15) 2.49

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-21.11% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 14.29
-20.54% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 9.31
-13.77% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Mar 1989 (19) 6.65
-10.87% Mar 1987 Sep 1987 (7) Jan 1988 (11) 5.88
-10.14% Nov 1993 Nov 1994 (13) May 1995 (19) 6.64
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-8.48% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) May 2003 (28) 4.78
-7.99% Feb 1984 May 1984 (4) Aug 1984 (7) 4.01
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-7.10% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) May 2020 (4) 3.36
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-6.29% May 1983 Aug 1983 (4) Jan 1984 (9) 3.29
-6.28% Feb 1984 May 1984 (4) Aug 1984 (7) 3.29
-5.91% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Feb 1995 (13) 3.86
-5.89% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Mar 2019 (6) 3.46
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
-1.30%
-2.08%
+7.39%
0.00%
2023
+3.64%
-8.81%
+6.91%
-5.18%
2022
-15.19%
-16.91%
-15.17%
-19.48%
2021
-3.33%
-5.73%
+4.23%
-2.38%
2020
+10.01%
-2.02%
+16.57%
-7.10%
2019
+8.03%
-2.59%
+16.20%
-0.81%
2018
+0.99%
-3.19%
-0.73%
-5.89%
2017
+2.55%
-1.90%
+17.14%
0.00%
2016
+1.00%
-6.50%
+3.51%
-3.61%
2015
+1.51%
-4.25%
+3.91%
-2.95%
2014
+9.07%
-1.05%
+9.34%
-1.49%
2013
-6.09%
-7.60%
+12.57%
-1.74%
2012
+3.66%
-2.67%
+7.87%
-2.05%
2011
+15.64%
-1.29%
+7.13%
-3.62%
2010
+9.37%
-4.30%
+10.93%
-3.48%
2009
-6.59%
-6.65%
+9.16%
-9.41%
2008
+17.91%
-4.15%
-12.27%
-15.80%
2007
+10.37%
-1.85%
+11.21%
-0.82%
2006
+2.52%
-2.87%
+6.78%
-1.50%
2005
+2.64%
-3.19%
+9.09%
-0.93%
2004
+4.12%
-4.85%
+9.22%
-2.12%
2003
+5.29%
-5.68%
+12.78%
-1.27%
2002
+15.45%
-4.13%
+0.04%
-5.36%
2001
+5.40%
-5.21%
-1.88%
-6.89%
2000
+17.28%
-1.12%
+2.99%
-3.33%
1999
-7.83%
-8.11%
+15.71%
-1.69%
1998
+14.64%
-1.61%
+24.65%
-4.13%
1997
+11.97%
-2.02%
+20.41%
-2.69%
1996
-0.00%
-6.90%
+14.08%
-1.52%
1995
+25.55%
-1.23%
+27.84%
0.00%
1994
-7.19%
-9.56%
-2.03%
-5.91%
1993
+12.97%
-2.55%
+11.10%
-0.87%
1992
+7.23%
-4.02%
+6.01%
-2.11%
1991
+18.91%
-0.54%
+23.91%
-1.79%
1990
+7.70%
-4.48%
+5.79%
-5.29%
1989
+17.84%
-2.30%
+25.29%
-1.01%
1988
+6.90%
-4.60%
+7.24%
-2.95%
1987
-2.64%
-10.87%
+1.86%
-13.77%
1986
+21.35%
-3.93%
+18.14%
-4.37%
1985
+29.85%
-3.33%
+26.30%
-0.74%
1984
+14.87%
-7.99%
+8.68%
-6.28%
1983
+2.30%
-6.29%
+9.91%
-2.81%
1982
+39.57%
-2.66%
+30.86%
-1.48%