When holding the SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF (SLYV) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~25 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 86 months (from January 2002 to February 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 87 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF (SLYV) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-45.20%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+9.90% |
+103.96%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
27.59%
80 out of 290 |
|
-45.20%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+7.71% |
+98.75%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
31.03%
90 out of 290 |
|
-30.74%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+10.82% |
+51.03%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
16.55%
46 out of 278 |
|
-32.14%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+8.28% |
+47.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
21.94%
61 out of 278 |
|
-18.30%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+11.09% |
+33.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
13.53%
36 out of 266 |
|
-20.04%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+8.63% |
+30.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
20.68%
55 out of 266 |
|
-11.13%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+10.02% |
+28.58%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
9.45%
24 out of 254 |
|
-13.33%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+7.84% |
+25.69%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
19.29%
49 out of 254 |
|
-7.68%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+9.75% |
+29.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
4.55%
11 out of 242 |
|
-10.06%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+6.84% |
+26.53%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
13.64%
33 out of 242 |
|
-0.39%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
+8.47% |
+25.14%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.43%
1 out of 230 |
|
-1.87%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
+5.86% |
+23.05%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
1.74%
4 out of 230 |
|
-0.85%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+8.43% |
+19.34%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2016 |
0.92%
2 out of 218 |
|
-3.34%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+5.93% |
+17.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 |
2.29%
5 out of 218 |
|
+1.09%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+8.44% |
+21.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 206 |
|
-1.27%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
+6.04% |
+19.26%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
0.49%
1 out of 206 |
|
+4.77%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
+8.89% |
+19.80%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
|
+2.95%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+6.37% |
+17.69%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 194 |
|
+6.16%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
+9.23% |
+18.22%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 182 |
|
+3.15%
May 2015 - Apr 2025 |
+6.90% |
+16.17%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 182 |
|
+6.41%
May 2014 - Apr 2025 |
+9.40% |
+15.26%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 170 |
|
+3.51%
May 2014 - Apr 2025 |
+7.09% |
+13.21%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 170 |
|
+5.76%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020 |
+9.76% |
+17.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 158 |
|
+4.10%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020 |
+7.26% |
+15.33%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 158 |
|
+4.08%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+9.99% |
+16.68%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
|
+2.26%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+7.65% |
+14.10%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
|
+4.56%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+10.04% |
+15.39%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 134 |
|
+2.66%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+7.58% |
+12.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 134 |
|
+5.57%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020 |
+9.67% |
+14.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 122 |
|
+3.54%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020 |
+7.36% |
+11.50%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 122 |
|
+5.52%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2020 |
+9.70% |
+13.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 110 |
|
+3.42%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2020 |
+7.39% |
+11.00%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 110 |
|
+7.04%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+9.19% |
+12.38%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 98 |
|
+4.42%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+6.66% |
+9.64%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 98 |
|
+6.53%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2020 |
+8.75% |
+12.10%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 86 |
|
+4.20%
May 2007 - Apr 2025 |
+6.22% |
+9.85%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 86 |
|
+7.10%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+8.69% |
+11.60%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 74 |
|
+4.50%
May 2006 - Apr 2025 |
+6.10% |
+9.05%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 74 |
|
+7.76%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2025 |
+9.37% |
+11.08%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 62 |
|
+5.08%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2025 |
+6.82% |
+8.84%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 62 |
|
+10.04%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2025 |
+10.04% |
+10.16%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
|
+7.33%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2025 |
+7.33% |
+7.45%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF (SLYV) ETF: Historical Returns

