iShares Gold Trust (IAU): Historical Returns

Category: Commodities
Period: January 1972 - September 2024 (~53 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Currency: USD
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1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
6.24$
Final Capital
September 2024
6.29%
Yearly Return
15.52
Std Deviation
-42.59%
Max Drawdown
107 months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1972
56.58$
Final Capital
September 2024
7.95%
Yearly Return
19.61
Std Deviation
-61.78%
Max Drawdown
324 months
Recovery Period
Live update: September 2024 (USD)
5.12%
Month - September 2024

The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF covers to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Commodity
  • Commodity: Gold

As of September 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF obtained a 6.29% compound annual return, with a 15.52% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -42.59% that required 107 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the ETFs/Assets issuers. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative and entertainment purposes only.

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Investment Returns as of Sep 30, 2024

The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 30 September 2024 (~53 years)
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Sep 30, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Oct 2024 YTD
(9M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~53Y)
iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF n.a. n.a. 27.34 5.12 18.31 42.04 12.00 7.82 6.29 7.95
US Inflation Adjusted return 25.16 5.12 17.59 38.95 7.55 4.85 3.69 3.87
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Aug 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.22% , 5Y: 4.14% , 10Y: 2.84% , 30Y: 2.51%
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Capital Growth as of Sep 30, 2024

An investment of 1$, from October 1994 to September 2024, would be worth 6.24$, with a total return of 524.09% (6.29% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 2.97$, with a net total return of 196.63% (3.69% annualized).

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An investment of 1$, from January 1972 to September 2024, would be worth 56.58$, with a total return of 5558.36% (7.95% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 7.40$, with a net total return of 640.35% (3.87% annualized).

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Investment Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024

Metrics of iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF, updated as of 30 September 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Advanced Metrics
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 30 September 2024 (~53 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024
YTD
(9M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~53Y)
Investment Return (%)
27.34 5.12 13.13 18.31 42.04 14.15 12.00 7.82 9.31 6.29 7.95
Growth of 1$ 1.27 1.05 1.13 1.18 1.42 1.49 1.76 2.12 5.93 6.24 56.58
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
25.16 5.12 12.75 17.59 38.95 9.06 7.55 4.85 6.59 3.69 3.87
US Inflation (%) 1.74 0.00 0.34 0.61 2.22 4.67 4.14 2.84 2.55 2.51 3.93
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Sep 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -1.38 -15.88 -17.87 -17.87 -42.59 -42.59 -61.78
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 12 40 40 107 107 324
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 04 2020 08 2020 08 2011 09 2011 09 1980 10
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 7 27 27 52 52 227
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 1999 08
Bottom to End (# months) 2 5 13 13 55 55 97
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2023 03 2023 11 2023 11 2020 07 2020 07 2007 09
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 04 2020 08 2020 08 2011 09 2011 09 1980 10
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 7 27 27 52 52 227
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 1999 08
Bottom to End (# months) 2 5 13 13 55 55 97
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2023 03 2023 11 2023 11 2020 07 2020 07 2007 09
Longest negative period (# months)
2 19 39 51 145 145 329
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2022 03 2020 08 2015 02 2011 09 2011 09 1980 02
End (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2023 09 2023 10 2019 04 2023 09 2023 09 2007 06
Annualized Return (%) -0.78 -2.31 -0.11 -0.27 -0.15 -0.15 -0.08
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.29 -1.71 -18.80 -28.75 -28.75 -45.41 -45.41 -82.52
Start to Recovery (# months)
536* 3 24 48 48 157 157 536*
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 04 2020 08 2020 08 2011 09 2011 09 1980 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 7 27 27 52 52 254
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 2001 03
Bottom to End (# months) 1 17 21 21 105 105 282
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2024 03 2024 07 2024 07 2024 09 2024 09 -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 01 2022 04 2020 08 2020 08 2011 09 2011 09 1980 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 7 27 27 52 52 254
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 2001 03
Bottom to End (# months) 1 17 21 21 105 105 282
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2024 03 2024 07 2024 07 2024 09 2024 09 -
Longest negative period (# months)
3 24 47 93 158 158 536*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 12 2021 10 2020 08 2015 02 2011 01 2011 01 1980 02
End (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2023 09 2024 06 2022 10 2024 02 2024 02 2024 09
Annualized Return (%) -2.74 -3.38 -1.00 -0.23 -0.11 -0.11 -0.15
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 10.20 12.98 14.22 13.95 16.67 15.52 19.61
Sharpe Ratio 3.60 0.83 0.69 0.45 0.47 0.26 0.18
Sortino Ratio 5.66 1.26 1.03 0.69 0.68 0.38 0.29
Ulcer Index 0.47 5.19 6.88 7.35 19.26 20.29 34.37
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 4.12 1.09 0.84 0.56 0.56 0.41 0.41
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 30.39 0.89 0.67 0.44 0.22 0.15 0.13
Positive Months (%)
83.33 55.55 53.33 50.00 52.50 50.83 51.97
Positive Months 10 20 32 60 126 183 329
Negative Months 2 16 28 60 114 177 304
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.82 11.37 20.53 24.75
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.91 -0.91 -5.99
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.85 9.13 17.65 17.65
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -3.34 -3.34 -10.17
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Sep 2024 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 53.69 32.82 23.38 20.53 10.02 6.29
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -28.26 -14.90 -8.25 -0.91 4.94
Positive Periods (%) 63.0 68.9 72.0 97.9 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 47.82 30.88 21.00 17.65 7.83 3.69
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -29.32 -15.71 -10.50 -3.34 2.68
Positive Periods (%) 55.8 60.3 68.1 83.8 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.76 10.93 14.39 15.30 29.63 29.16 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.62 14.16 18.95 20.83 33.59 31.63 0.33 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.81 16.22 21.87 25.49 37.16 33.82 7.58 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.75 19.59 26.63 27.77 37.98 34.88 8.71 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 82.62 24.22 13.92 6.96 4.90 3.95
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 2.13 2.62
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1972 - Sep 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 179.42 70.26 36.39 24.75 11.03 6.35
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -37.71 -15.32 -14.69 -5.99 -4.36 1.60
Positive Periods (%) 59.4 64.2 67.9 74.1 86.8 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 145.39 54.87 25.16 17.65 7.83 3.69
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.05 -20.23 -19.61 -10.17 -7.77 -1.81
Positive Periods (%) 53.0 49.6 52.6 53.6 60.6 81.3
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
8.52 13.75 18.04 23.11 28.47 30.85 30.30 35.76 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 10.87 17.82 23.80 28.62 33.34 39.29 35.65 50.72 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
12.38 20.43 27.49 33.12 36.34 47.51 39.39 56.58 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 14.83 24.68 33.51 35.41 38.33 51.78 41.45 57.85 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 72.10 19.10 10.00 4.59 1.73 1.06
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- --- ---
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Correlations as of Sep 30, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

The following table shows the monthly correlations of iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 30 September 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs IAU
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years
VTI
US Total Stock Market -0.29 0.25 0.08 0.06
SPY
US Large Cap Blend -0.32 0.26 0.09 0.05
IJH
US Mid Cap Blend -0.02 0.19 0.04 0.08
IJR
US Small Cap Blend 0.02 0.13 -0.04 0.06
VNQ
US REITs -0.01 0.30 0.19 0.15
QQQ
US Technology -0.46 0.26 0.08 0.02
PFF
US Preferred Stocks -0.34 0.28 0.21 0.04
EFA
EAFE Stocks -0.08 0.31 0.16 0.19
VT
World All Countries -0.21 0.29 0.14 0.10
EEM
Emerging Markets 0.02 0.40 0.30 0.28
BND
US Total Bond Market -0.06 0.45 0.46 0.31
TLT
US Long Term Treasuries -0.14 0.37 0.43 0.20
BIL
US Cash -0.12 0.16 0.16 0.02
TIP
US TIPS -0.05 0.46 0.48 0.36
LQD
US Invest. Grade Bonds -0.03 0.42 0.43 0.26
HYG
US High Yield Bonds -0.05 0.33 0.28 0.15
CWB
US Convertible Bonds -0.10 0.22 0.13 0.12
BNDX
International Bonds 0.14 0.41 0.38 0.25
EMB
Emerg. Market Bonds 0.05 0.43 0.41 0.31
GLD
Gold 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
DBC
Commodities 0.26 0.06 0.08 0.30
Terms and Definitions
Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 30 September 2024 (~53 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 30 September 2024 (~53 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1972 to September 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

ISHARES GOLD TRUST (IAU) ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1972 - 30 September 2024 (~53 years)
183 Positive Months (51%) - 177 Negative Months (49%)
329 Positive Months (52%) - 304 Negative Months (48%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to December 2005, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

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Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing