iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 (SXRT.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 1972 - August 2025 (~54 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 (SXRT.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 196 months (from March 2000 to June 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 197 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 (SXRT.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 September 1995 - 31 August 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 August 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/09 - 2025/08)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/08)

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As of Aug 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 8.22%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 (SXRT.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 1995 - 31 August 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 August 2025 (~54 years)
30 Years
(1995/09 - 2025/08)
All Data
(1972/02 - 2025/08)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES CORE EURO STOXX 50 (SXRT.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1972 - 31 August 2025 (~54 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-42.28%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+9.91% +54.04%
May 1985 - Apr 1986
31.17%
197 out of 632
-43.04%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+6.91% +54.04%
May 1985 - Apr 1986
37.18%
235 out of 632
-29.35%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+6.97% +39.98%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1998
23.55%
146 out of 620
-30.84%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+3.18% +38.08%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1998
35.81%
222 out of 620
-23.20%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+7.00% +30.98%
Jul 1995 - Jun 1998
16.94%
103 out of 608
-24.98%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+4.12% +28.85%
Jul 1995 - Jun 1998
28.95%
176 out of 608
-12.11%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2011
+6.74% +29.80%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2000
14.43%
86 out of 596
-13.85%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2011
+3.99% +28.00%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2000
26.51%
158 out of 596
-10.46%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+6.91% +27.17%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
14.55%
85 out of 584
-12.30%
Jun 2007 - May 2012
+3.78% +25.16%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
27.74%
162 out of 584
-5.16%
Jun 2006 - May 2012
+6.33% +20.38%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
8.92%
51 out of 572
-7.08%
Jun 2006 - May 2012
+3.69% +18.29%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
25.17%
144 out of 572
-4.95%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2009
+6.48% +19.54%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
7.68%
43 out of 560
-6.88%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2009
+3.81% +17.24%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
19.29%
108 out of 560
-6.04%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+6.80% +18.55%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
4.01%
22 out of 548
-8.01%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+4.39% +16.12%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
17.15%
94 out of 548
-7.12%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+7.16% +15.69%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2000
5.78%
31 out of 536
-9.05%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+4.69% +13.03%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2000
13.81%
74 out of 536
-3.33%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010
+7.63% +14.34%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000
7.82%
41 out of 524
-5.26%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2010
+5.06% +11.61%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000
14.50%
76 out of 524
-3.91%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+7.88% +13.73%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000
6.05%
31 out of 512
-5.89%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+5.43% +10.89%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000
13.67%
70 out of 512
-3.68%
Jun 2000 - May 2012
+7.91% +14.81%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
4.80%
24 out of 500
-5.75%
Jun 2000 - May 2012
+5.48% +11.92%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
10.40%
52 out of 500
-1.80%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+8.13% +13.48%
Feb 1988 - Jan 2001
3.89%
19 out of 488
-3.86%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+5.48% +10.71%
Feb 1988 - Jan 2001
9.84%
48 out of 488
-0.76%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+7.70% +13.42%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
1.26%
6 out of 476
-2.77%
Jun 1998 - May 2012
+4.90% +10.93%
Aug 1984 - Jul 1998
8.82%
42 out of 476
+0.37%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2015
+7.24% +13.71%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 464
-1.41%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2015
+4.47% +11.35%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2000
7.33%
34 out of 464
-0.15%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+6.67% +14.02%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1998
0.44%
2 out of 452
-1.82%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+4.13% +11.52%
Aug 1984 - Jul 2000
3.10%
14 out of 452
+0.78%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+6.20% +14.36%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 440
-0.92%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+4.14% +11.91%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2000
2.95%
13 out of 440
+0.99%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+6.22% +14.40%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 428
-0.72%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+3.94% +11.94%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2000
3.04%
13 out of 428
+0.89%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+6.53% +13.31%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 416
-0.83%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+4.07% +10.73%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2000
2.64%
11 out of 416
+0.27%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+6.65% +13.06%
May 1980 - Apr 2000
0.00%
0 out of 404
-1.36%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+4.17% +10.21%
May 1980 - Apr 2000
2.23%
9 out of 404
+3.32%
May 2000 - Apr 2025
+6.21% +11.86%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 344
+1.15%
May 2000 - Apr 2025
+4.17% +8.64%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 344
+4.28%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+6.87% +9.11%
Jun 1977 - May 2007
0.00%
0 out of 284
+2.28%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2020
+4.47% +6.31%
Jul 1977 - Jun 2007
0.00%
0 out of 284
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