Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP): Historical Returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to March 2024 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024
Category: Commodities
Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF
ETF • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
8.93%
March 2024

In the last 30 Years, the Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF obtained a 7.64% compound annual return, with a 24.11% standard deviation.

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The ETF is related to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Commodity
  • Commodity: Broad Precious Metals

Investment Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

The Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Consolidated returns as of 31 March 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Apr 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF n.a. n.a. 8.93 17.90 9.67 9.46 3.39 7.64 8.47
US Inflation Adjusted return 8.52 16.03 5.99 5.06 0.54 4.97 5.52
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Mar 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.48% , 5Y: 4.19% , 10Y: 2.84% , 30Y: 2.54%

In 2023, the Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF granted a 4.65% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

An investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.09$, with a total return of 809.10% (7.64% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4.28$, with a net total return of 328.30% (4.97% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 24.35$, with a total return of 2335.12% (8.47% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 8.23$, with a net total return of 722.81% (5.52% annualized).

Investment Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024

Metrics of Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF, updated as of 31 March 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%) 8.93 7.21 17.90 9.67 5.92 9.46 3.39 8.89 7.64 8.47
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 8.52 6.01 16.03 5.99 0.28 5.06 0.54 6.14 4.97 5.52
US Inflation (%) 0.38 1.13 1.61 3.48 5.63 4.19 2.84 2.59 2.54 2.80
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.38 -20.21 -24.19 -25.26 -51.65 -63.90 -63.90
Start to Recovery (# months) details 7 34 43 62 151* 72 72
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 06 2020 09 2014 07 2011 09 1996 06 1996 06
Start to Bottom (# months) 5 17 26 18 52 27 27
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 1998 08 1998 08
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 44 99 45 45
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 03 2024 03 2019 08 - 2002 05 2002 05
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-51.65 -51.65
Start to Recovery (# months) details 151* 151*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 06 2020 09 2014 07 2011 09 2011 09 2011 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 5 17 26 18 52 52 52
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 2015 12 2015 12
Bottom to End (# months) 2 17 17 44 99 99 99
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 03 2024 03 2019 08 - - -
Longest negative period (# months) details 10 33 43 69 155 155 183
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 06 2020 08 2014 07 2011 04 2011 04 1987 08
Period End (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2020 03 2024 02 2024 02 2002 10
Annualized Return (%) -1.00 -0.97 -1.40 -0.52 -0.19 -0.19 -0.01
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -9.64 -28.09 -33.99 -33.99 -54.02 -66.48 -68.55
Start to Recovery (# months) details 11 34* 43* 43* 151* 109 194
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 06 2020 09 2020 09 2011 09 1994 10 1987 10
Start to Bottom (# months) 5 17 26 26 52 47 131
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 1998 08 1998 08
Bottom to End (# months) 6 17 17 17 99 62 63
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 - - - - 2003 10 2003 11
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-25.43
same as
deepest
-54.02
same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details 71 151*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 05 2021 06 2020 09 2014 07 2011 09 2011 09 1987 10
Start to Bottom (# months) 5 17 26 18 52 52 131
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 09 2022 10 2022 10 2015 12 2015 12 2015 12 1998 08
Bottom to End (# months) 6 17 17 53 99 99 63
End (yyyy mm) 2024 03 - - 2020 05 - - 2003 11
Longest negative period (# months) details 11 35 49 119 192 192 206
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 04 2021 04 2019 09 2014 04 2008 03 2008 03 1987 05
Period End (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2024 02 2023 09 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2004 06
Annualized Return (%) -2.54 -2.49 -1.42 -0.28 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 13.89 15.59 16.77 15.83 20.29 24.11 25.24
Sharpe Ratio 0.32 0.22 0.45 0.14 0.37 0.22 0.18
Sortino Ratio 0.50 0.34 0.69 0.21 0.53 0.32 0.26
Ulcer Index 3.11 8.70 10.55 12.63 27.86 29.60 28.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.70 0.38 0.56 0.21 0.44 0.32 0.34
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.15 0.29 0.39 0.13 0.17 0.12 0.13
% Positive Months details 50% 47% 51% 47% 54% 54% 53%
Positive Months 6 17 31 57 130 195 252
Negative Months 6 19 29 63 110 165 219
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 3.39 16.86 30.70 30.70
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -3.30 -3.30 -4.06
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 0.54 14.17 27.57 27.57
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -5.68 -5.68 -7.05
ROLLING PERIODS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 95.93 53.57 40.57 30.70 14.53 7.64
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -45.89 -24.85 -11.77 -3.30 8.00
% Positive Periods 59% 67% 69% 88% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 72.40 19.41 10.79 5.88 5.09 4.96
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.51 3.80
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 89.10 48.97 36.54 27.57 12.24 4.97
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -46.75 -26.49 -13.94 -5.68 5.64
% Positive Periods 55% 60% 66% 76% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 72.40 19.41 10.79 5.88 5.09 4.96
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 3.51 3.80
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Mar 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 153.83 53.57 40.57 30.70 15.27 10.11
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -45.89 -24.85 -13.87 -4.06 7.39 6.31
% Positive Periods 58% 69% 71% 81% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 71.34 19.41 10.79 5.88 3.37 3.06
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 2.01 2.01
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 144.24 48.97 36.54 27.57 12.50 7.27
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -46.75 -26.49 -15.93 -7.05 4.25 3.64
% Positive Periods 54% 60% 67% 65% 100% 100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized 71.34 19.41 10.79 5.88 3.37 3.06
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized - - - - 2.01 2.01
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Correlations as of Mar 31, 2024

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

Monthly correlations of Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF vs the main Asset Classes, over different timeframes. Columns are sortable (click on table header to sort).

INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Correlation vs DBP
Asset Class 1 Year 5 Years 10 Years 30 Years Since
Jan 1992
VTI
US Total Stock Market
0.24
0.32
0.17
0.24
0.23
SPY
US Large Cap
0.27
0.34
0.18
0.22
0.21
IJR
US Small Cap
0.16
0.18
0.05
0.25
0.24
VNQ
US REITs
0.28
0.33
0.24
0.20
0.19
QQQ
US Technology
0.08
0.33
0.16
0.19
0.17
PFF
Preferred Stocks
0.05
0.31
0.25
0.07
0.07
EFA
EAFE Stocks
0.35
0.36
0.24
0.31
0.32
VT
World All Countries
0.29
0.36
0.23
0.29
0.30
EEM
Emerging Markets
0.35
0.43
0.37
0.47
0.46
VGK
Europe
0.40
0.37
0.24
0.25
0.25
VPL
Pacific
0.30
0.35
0.24
0.35
0.36
FLLA
Latin America
0.11
0.26
0.31
0.42
0.41
BND
US Total Bond Market
0.32
0.46
0.45
0.19
0.18
TLT
Long Term Treasuries
0.25
0.35
0.38
0.08
0.08
BIL
US Cash
-0.05
0.08
0.10
0.03
0.03
TIP
TIPS
0.39
0.48
0.49
0.24
0.22
LQD
Invest. Grade Bonds
0.31
0.47
0.44
0.20
0.20
HYG
High Yield Bonds
0.27
0.39
0.34
0.20
0.20
CWB
US Convertible Bonds
0.09
0.32
0.23
0.28
0.27
BNDX
International Bonds
0.37
0.41
0.36
0.19
0.20
EMB
Emerg. Market Bonds
0.39
0.49
0.45
0.40
0.39
GLD
Gold
0.98
0.97
0.98
0.79
0.79
DBC
Commodities
0.24
0.16
0.19
0.36
0.34

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
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Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Invesco DB Precious Metals (DBP) ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS (DBP) ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 March 2024 (~39 years)
195 Positive Months (54%) - 165 Negative Months (46%)
252 Positive Months (54%) - 219 Negative Months (46%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2007, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

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