When holding the ETFMG Prime Cyber Security ETF (HACK) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~12 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 35 months (from January 2021 to November 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 36 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ETFMG PRIME CYBER SECURITY ETF (HACK) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 2016 - 30 June 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2015 - 30 June 2026 (~12 years)
All Data
(2015/01 - 2026/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ETFMG PRIME CYBER SECURITY ETF (HACK) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2015 - 30 June 2026 (~12 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-28.63%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+16.58% +54.10%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
24.41%
31 out of 127
-34.04%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+14.07% +50.16%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
28.35%
36 out of 127
-12.32%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+14.69% +32.05%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020
17.39%
20 out of 115
-17.90%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2023
+11.37% +29.70%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020
22.61%
26 out of 115
+0.92%
Jun 2021 - May 2024
+12.90% +27.70%
Jul 2023 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 103
-4.13%
Jun 2021 - May 2024
+9.34% +23.75%
Jul 2023 - Jun 2026
21.36%
22 out of 103
+2.44%
May 2019 - Apr 2023
+9.73% +23.21%
Jul 2022 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 91
-1.86%
May 2019 - Apr 2023
+5.75% +19.81%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020
3.30%
3 out of 91
+5.02%
May 2018 - Apr 2023
+11.36% +22.45%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
0.00%
0 out of 79
+0.92%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2026
+7.17% +20.04%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
0.00%
0 out of 79
+8.07%
May 2017 - Apr 2023
+12.10% +17.99%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 67
+4.25%
May 2017 - Apr 2023
+7.91% +14.48%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2022
0.00%
0 out of 67
+6.03%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022
+11.76% +15.34%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 55
+2.81%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022
+7.95% +10.99%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 55
+5.81%
May 2015 - Apr 2023
+12.79% +15.10%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 43
+2.57%
May 2015 - Apr 2023
+8.98% +11.27%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 43
+8.26%
Jun 2015 - May 2024
+12.23% +15.86%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
0.00%
0 out of 31
+4.96%
Jun 2015 - May 2024
+8.75% +12.16%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
0.00%
0 out of 31
+10.10%
May 2015 - Apr 2025
+12.50% +16.42%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 19
+6.80%
May 2015 - Apr 2025
+8.97% +12.64%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 19
+9.16%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026
+11.05% +11.98%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
+5.93%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026
+7.84% +8.57%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2026
0.00%
0 out of 7
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