Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio vs Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: August 2009 - March 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since August 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.45$
Final Capital
March 2025
3.77%
Yearly Return
7.01%
Std Deviation
-19.40%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.07$
Final Capital
March 2025
0.67%
Yearly Return
7.01%
Std Deviation
-27.53%
Max Drawdown
51months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 2009
2.20$
Final Capital
March 2025
5.16%
Yearly Return
6.91%
Std Deviation
-19.40%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 2009
1.48$
Final Capital
March 2025
2.52%
Yearly Return
6.91%
Std Deviation
-27.53%
Max Drawdown
51months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.69$
Final Capital
March 2025
5.42%
Yearly Return
8.70%
Std Deviation
-19.67%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.25$
Final Capital
March 2025
2.26%
Yearly Return
8.70%
Std Deviation
-25.38%
Max Drawdown
43months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 2009
2.79$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.77%
Yearly Return
8.25%
Std Deviation
-19.67%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 2009
1.87$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.09%
Yearly Return
8.25%
Std Deviation
-25.38%
Max Drawdown
43months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of March 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 5.16% compound annual return, with a 6.91% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -19.40% that required 35 months to be recovered.

As of March 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio obtained a 6.77% compound annual return, with a 8.25% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -19.67% that required 30 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
40.00
IMTM
iShares MSCI Intl Momentum Factor ETF
60.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
VEU
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US
25.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
25.00
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Mar 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 August 2009 - 31 March 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2025
YTD
(3M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_world.webp Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum
-- Market Benchmark
2.68 -0.80 0.09 3.89 4.70 3.77 5.16
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_scott_burns.webp Four Square
Scott Burns
1.34 -1.45 -0.54 6.19 7.77 5.42 6.77
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2025

Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 2015, now would be worth 1.45$, with a total return of 44.78% (3.77% annualized).

Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 2015, now would be worth 1.69$, with a total return of 69.46% (5.42% annualized).


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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since August 2009, now would be worth 2.20$, with a total return of 119.90% (5.16% annualized).

Scott Burns Four Square Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since August 2009, now would be worth 2.79$, with a total return of 179.01% (6.77% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 March 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 August 2009 - 31 March 2025 (~16 years)
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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.89 6.19
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.46 3.71
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.55 -2.53
Start to Recovery (months) 4 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.52 -2.09
Start to Recovery (months) 5 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 5 6*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.81 6.48
Sharpe Ratio -0.17 0.20
Sortino Ratio -0.22 0.25
Ulcer Index 1.21 1.14
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.67 0.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.52 2.45
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025
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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.70 7.77
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.32 3.26
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 41 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.31 9.90
Sharpe Ratio 0.27 0.54
Sortino Ratio 0.36 0.72
Ulcer Index 7.44 7.07
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.57 0.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025
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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.77 5.42
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.67 2.26
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 56 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.01 8.70
Sharpe Ratio 0.29 0.43
Sortino Ratio 0.39 0.57
Ulcer Index 5.55 5.45
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.54 0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.28
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025
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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Author Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.16 6.77
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.52 4.09
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.40 -19.67
Start to Recovery (months) 35 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 56 35
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.91 8.25
Sharpe Ratio 0.59 0.69
Sortino Ratio 0.78 0.92
Ulcer Index 4.65 4.52
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.75 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.27 0.34
Metrics calculated over the period 1 August 2009 - 31 March 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 August 2009 - 31 March 2025 (~16 years)

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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-19.67 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-19.40 35 Sep 2021
Jul 2024
-10.98 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-7.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-6.76 15 May 2015
Jul 2016
-6.72 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.00 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-5.38 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-4.27 8 Aug 2016
Mar 2017
-2.52 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.52 5 Oct 2024
Feb 2025
-2.46 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-2.26 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-2.09 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025
-1.98 2 Oct 2024
Nov 2024

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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-19.67 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-19.40 35 Sep 2021
Jul 2024
-10.98 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-8.94 15 May 2011
Jul 2012
-8.76 9 May 2011
Jan 2012
-7.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-6.76 15 May 2015
Jul 2016
-6.72 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.00 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-5.40 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-5.38 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-5.17 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-4.32 5 May 2013
Sep 2013
-4.27 8 Aug 2016
Mar 2017
-4.04 3 May 2010
Jul 2010

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 2009 - 31 March 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Developed World ex-US 40/60 Momentum Four Square
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.68 -0.80 1.34 -1.45
2024
7.00 -2.55 8.65 -2.53
2023
10.83 -4.47 13.49 -6.43
2022
-14.37 -19.07 -15.24 -19.67
2021
1.27 -2.17 9.33 -2.52
2020
11.65 -7.72 11.91 -10.98
2019
14.52 -0.27 17.18 -2.46
2018
-4.03 -6.00 -4.50 -6.72
2017
11.62 -0.20 13.48 0.00
2016
2.96 -4.27 6.76 -2.11
2015
0.07 -5.38 -1.25 -6.71
2014
1.57 -1.52 5.08 -2.41
2013
8.39 -5.17 9.58 -4.32
2012
12.90 -3.09 12.82 -3.97
2011
-0.59 -8.94 2.20 -8.76
2010
10.77 -4.04 10.97 -5.40
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