The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio vs Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - April 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.83$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.21%
Yearly Return
7.28%
Std Deviation
-16.43%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.35$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.04%
Yearly Return
7.28%
Std Deviation
-23.36%
Max Drawdown
52months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.65$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.64%
Yearly Return
6.97%
Std Deviation
-16.43%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
1.80$
Final Capital
April 2025
3.96%
Yearly Return
6.97%
Std Deviation
-23.36%
Max Drawdown
52months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.79$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.01%
Yearly Return
18.13%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.32$
Final Capital
April 2025
2.85%
Yearly Return
18.13%
Std Deviation
-42.49%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.81$
Final Capital
April 2025
10.91%
Yearly Return
16.08%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.27$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.13%
Yearly Return
16.08%
Std Deviation
-42.49%
Max Drawdown
40months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio obtained a 6.64% compound annual return, with a 6.97% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -16.43% that required 27 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 10.91% compound annual return, with a 16.08% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.02% which has been ongoing for 40 months and is still in progress.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
50.00
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
7.50
DIG
ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas
40.00
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
15.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
7.50
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_lzp.webp Simplified Permanent Portfolio
The Lazy Team
7.42 1.88 6.39 18.49 6.09 6.21 6.64
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Ray Dalio
1.36 -3.67 -1.63 13.17 2.15 6.01 10.91
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.83$, with a total return of 82.59% (6.21% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 1.79$, with a total return of 79.30% (6.01% annualized).


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The Lazy Team Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 2.65$, with a total return of 165.12% (6.64% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.81$, with a total return of 381.17% (10.91% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author The Lazy Team Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 37.5%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 7.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 18.49 13.17
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 16.09 10.88
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.24 -8.21
Start to Recovery (months) 2 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -0.55 -8.21
Start to Recovery (months) 2 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 9*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.04 15.30
Sharpe Ratio 2.71 0.55
Sortino Ratio 3.27 0.67
Ulcer Index 0.64 3.77
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.67 0.86
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 8.26 1.61
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author The Lazy Team Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 37.5%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 7.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.09 2.15
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.49 -2.28
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 53
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.60 22.08
Sharpe Ratio 0.41 -0.02
Sortino Ratio 0.56 -0.02
Ulcer Index 5.95 17.38
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.71 0.10
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.37 0.06
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author The Lazy Team Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 37.5%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 7.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.21 6.01
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.04 2.85
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 53
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.28 18.13
Sharpe Ratio 0.61 0.24
Sortino Ratio 0.86 0.32
Ulcer Index 4.45 13.01
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.85 0.33
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.38 0.16
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Author The Lazy Team Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 37.5%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 7.5%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.64 10.91
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.96 8.13
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.43 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 27 40*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 53
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.97 16.08
Sharpe Ratio 0.79 0.61
Sortino Ratio 1.10 0.81
Ulcer Index 3.82 10.96
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.95 0.68
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.40 0.29
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.02 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-16.43 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.01 16 Aug 2016
Nov 2017
-11.91 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-10.23 11 May 2015
Mar 2016
-10.15 10 Aug 2020
May 2021
-6.23 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-4.36 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-3.81 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-3.74 2 Mar 2020
Apr 2020
-3.68 12 Feb 2018
Jan 2019
-3.54 9 Jun 2015
Feb 2016
-3.11 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-2.81 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-2.24 2 Dec 2024
Jan 2025

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.02 40* Jan 2022
In progress
-16.43 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-15.40 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-14.01 16 Aug 2016
Nov 2017
-11.91 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-10.15 10 Aug 2020
May 2021
-9.99 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-6.69 11 Apr 2013
Feb 2014
-6.23 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-5.27 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-4.76 3 Sep 2014
Nov 2014
-4.36 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-3.82 2 Jun 2011
Jul 2011
-3.81 5 Jan 2021
May 2021
-3.74 2 Mar 2020
Apr 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
7.42 0.00 1.36 -5.74
2024
12.30 -2.24 6.94 -8.21
2023
11.51 -5.16 12.73 -19.81
2022
-12.67 -16.43 -29.60 -36.33
2021
3.72 -3.81 19.72 -5.30
2020
16.46 -3.11 19.68 -10.15
2019
16.15 -0.99 34.09 -1.91
2018
-1.29 -3.68 -10.77 -11.91
2017
9.78 -0.96 21.37 -0.83
2016
5.72 -6.23 11.11 -14.01
2015
-1.82 -5.27 -8.24 -15.40
2014
7.12 -2.59 32.31 -4.76
2013
-1.76 -6.69 8.66 -9.99
2012
7.59 -1.89 12.34 -3.39
2011
10.45 -3.69 33.40 -3.82
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing