Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - March 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.83$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.24%
Yearly Return
18.09%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
39months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
1.35$
Final Capital
March 2025
3.06%
Yearly Return
18.09%
Std Deviation
-42.49%
Max Drawdown
39months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.99$
Final Capital
March 2025
11.25%
Yearly Return
16.08%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
39months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.39$
Final Capital
March 2025
8.44%
Yearly Return
16.08%
Std Deviation
-42.49%
Max Drawdown
39months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
2.93$
Final Capital
March 2025
11.36%
Yearly Return
13.92%
Std Deviation
-23.08%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 2015
2.16$
Final Capital
March 2025
8.03%
Yearly Return
13.92%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
5.75$
Final Capital
March 2025
12.30%
Yearly Return
13.25%
Std Deviation
-23.08%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.91$
Final Capital
March 2025
9.46%
Yearly Return
13.25%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period

As of March 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 11.25% compound annual return, with a 16.08% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.02% which has been ongoing for 39 months and is still in progress.

As of March 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 12.30% compound annual return, with a 13.25% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -23.08% that required 24 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
7.50
DIG
ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas
40.00
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
15.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
7.50
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Warren Buffett Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
90.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Mar 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2025
YTD
(3M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Ray Dalio
5.22 -2.15 -2.73 7.86 4.40 6.24 11.25
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_warren_buffett.webp Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
-3.78 -5.16 -1.37 8.40 16.75 11.36 12.30
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2025

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since April 2015, now would be worth 1.83$, with a total return of 83.17% (6.24% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 2015, now would be worth 2.93$, with a total return of 193.21% (11.36% annualized).


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Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.99$, with a total return of 399.49% (11.25% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 5.75$, with a total return of 475.27% (12.30% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 March 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2025 (~15 years)
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 90%
Fixed Income 55% 10%
Commodities 7.5% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.86 8.40
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.34 5.87
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.21 -6.34
Start to Recovery (months) 4* 2*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -8.21 -6.34
Start to Recovery (months) 4* 2*
Longest Negative Period (months) 6* 6*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.21 11.13
Sharpe Ratio 0.17 0.31
Sortino Ratio 0.21 0.42
Ulcer Index 4.05 2.16
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.46 0.76
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.96 1.33
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 90%
Fixed Income 55% 10%
Commodities 7.5% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.40 16.75
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.03 11.86
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 28
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 22.22 15.34
Sharpe Ratio 0.09 0.93
Sortino Ratio 0.12 1.26
Ulcer Index 17.29 7.92
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.20 1.09
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.12 0.73
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 90%
Fixed Income 55% 10%
Commodities 7.5% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.24 11.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.06 8.03
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 28
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 18.09 13.92
Sharpe Ratio 0.25 0.69
Sortino Ratio 0.34 0.92
Ulcer Index 13.01 6.32
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.34 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.49
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ray Dalio Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 37.5% 90%
Fixed Income 55% 10%
Commodities 7.5% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.25 12.30
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.44 9.46
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 53 28
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.08 13.25
Sharpe Ratio 0.63 0.84
Sortino Ratio 0.84 1.13
Ulcer Index 10.94 5.61
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.70 0.93
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.30 0.53
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2025 (~15 years)

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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.02 39* Jan 2022
In progress
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-14.01 16 Aug 2016
Nov 2017
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-11.91 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-11.66 13 Apr 2015
Apr 2016
-10.15 10 Aug 2020
May 2021
-7.73 10 Aug 2015
May 2016
-6.34 2* Feb 2025
In progress
-5.73 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-5.54 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-5.47 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018
-4.36 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-4.32 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021

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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.02 39* Jan 2022
In progress
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.40 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-14.01 16 Aug 2016
Nov 2017
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-11.91 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-11.73 6 May 2010
Oct 2010
-10.15 10 Aug 2020
May 2021
-9.99 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-7.73 10 Aug 2015
May 2016
-6.34 2* Feb 2025
In progress
-6.10 5 Apr 2012
Aug 2012
-5.73 2 May 2019
Jun 2019

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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All Weather Portfolio 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
5.22 -2.15 -3.78 -6.34
2024
6.94 -8.21 23.12 -3.67
2023
12.73 -19.81 24.86 -7.55
2022
-29.60 -36.33 -18.29 -23.08
2021
19.72 -5.30 24.59 -4.32
2020
19.68 -10.15 19.19 -17.49
2019
34.09 -1.91 28.46 -5.73
2018
-10.77 -11.91 -3.84 -12.09
2017
21.37 -0.83 19.83 0.00
2016
11.11 -14.01 10.69 -4.87
2015
-8.24 -15.40 0.96 -7.73
2014
32.31 -4.76 12.08 -2.97
2013
8.66 -9.99 29.44 -2.62
2012
12.34 -3.39 14.59 -6.10
2011
33.40 -3.82 1.43 -15.04
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