Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio vs Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2025 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1985)
Inflation Adjusted:
Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
9.12$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.65%
Yearly Return
10.52%
Std Deviation
-36.89%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.33$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.01%
Yearly Return
10.52%
Std Deviation
-37.93%
Max Drawdown
38months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
31.97$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.97%
Yearly Return
10.30%
Std Deviation
-36.89%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
10.55$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.02%
Yearly Return
10.30%
Std Deviation
-37.93%
Max Drawdown
38months
Recovery Period
Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
10.45$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.13%
Yearly Return
8.75%
Std Deviation
-27.04%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.96$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.48%
Yearly Return
8.75%
Std Deviation
-28.24%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
35.82$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.28%
Yearly Return
9.04%
Std Deviation
-27.04%
Max Drawdown
30months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1985
11.82$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.31%
Yearly Return
9.04%
Std Deviation
-28.24%
Max Drawdown
36months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio obtained a 7.65% compound annual return, with a 10.52% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -36.89% that required 36 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio obtained a 8.13% compound annual return, with a 8.75% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -27.04% that required 30 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 Ticker Name
15.00
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE
15.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
15.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
10.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
10.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
10.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
10.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 Ticker Name
50.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
50.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Pinwheel
Tyler 		3.27 0.48 2.02 12.97 8.70 6.04 7.65 8.97
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_scott_burns.webp Couch Potato
Scott Burns 		-0.57 -0.28 0.71 10.21 8.27 7.04 8.13 9.28
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 9.12$, with a total return of 812.02% (7.65% annualized).

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 10.45$, with a total return of 944.55% (8.13% annualized).


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Tyler Pinwheel Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 31.97$, with a total return of 3096.93% (8.97% annualized).

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 35.82$, with a total return of 3481.62% (9.28% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Couch Potato
Author Tyler Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 50%
Fixed Income 25% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 12.97 10.21
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 10.68 7.97
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.29 -3.00
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.29 -3.00
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 5*
Longest Negative Period (months) 6 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.96 7.00
Sharpe Ratio 1.17 0.77
Sortino Ratio 1.51 1.02
Ulcer Index 1.06 1.36
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.86 1.46
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.94 3.40
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Pinwheel Couch Potato
Author Tyler Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 50%
Fixed Income 25% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.70 8.27
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.98 3.58
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 27 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 27 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.02 10.59
Sharpe Ratio 0.56 0.54
Sortino Ratio 0.77 0.72
Ulcer Index 6.59 7.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.79 0.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.45 0.42
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Couch Potato
Author Tyler Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 50%
Fixed Income 25% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.04 7.04
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.88 3.85
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 27 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -19.49 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 27 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 32
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.27 9.44
Sharpe Ratio 0.42 0.56
Sortino Ratio 0.57 0.74
Ulcer Index 5.41 5.50
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.59 0.75
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.31 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Couch Potato
Author Tyler Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 50%
Fixed Income 25% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.65 8.13
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.01 5.48
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -27.04
Start to Recovery (months) 36 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -10.30
Start to Recovery (months) 36 33
Longest Negative Period (months) 51 62
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.52 8.75
Sharpe Ratio 0.51 0.67
Sortino Ratio 0.67 0.88
Ulcer Index 6.56 5.17
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.73 0.93
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.21 0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025
Swipe left to see all data
Pinwheel Couch Potato
Author Tyler Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 65% 50%
Fixed Income 25% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.97 9.28
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.02 6.31
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -27.04
Start to Recovery (months) 36 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -36.89 -10.30
Start to Recovery (months) 36 33
Longest Negative Period (months) 51 62
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.30 9.04
Sharpe Ratio 0.56 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.73 0.90
Ulcer Index 5.98 4.84
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.87 1.03
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.34
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)

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Pinwheel Couch Potato
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-36.89 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-27.04 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-19.77 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-19.49 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.99 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-14.05 12 May 1998
Apr 1999
-12.72 11 May 2011
Mar 2012
-11.06 13 Jun 2002
Jun 2003
-10.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-10.30 33 Sep 2000
May 2003
-8.88 14 Feb 2001
Mar 2002
-8.24 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-8.06 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-8.06 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-7.70 16 Mar 2015
Jun 2016

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Pinwheel Couch Potato
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-36.89 36 Nov 2007
Oct 2010
-27.04 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-19.77 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-19.49 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-16.03 17 Sep 1987
Jan 1989
-14.99 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-14.91 16 Sep 1987
Dec 1988
-14.05 12 May 1998
Apr 1999
-12.72 11 May 2011
Mar 2012
-12.51 14 Jan 1990
Feb 1991
-11.06 13 Jun 2002
Jun 2003
-10.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-10.30 33 Sep 2000
May 2003
-8.88 14 Feb 2001
Mar 2002
-8.78 14 Feb 1994
Mar 1995

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Pinwheel Couch Potato
Year Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)		 Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)
2025
 3.27 -0.60 -0.57 -2.83
2024
 9.66 -3.29 12.73 -3.08
2023
 13.20 -8.07 14.66 -6.50
2022
 -13.57 -19.49 -16.31 -19.77
2021
 13.53 -3.10 15.67 -2.76
2020
 9.12 -14.99 15.93 -10.72
2019
 19.31 -3.16 19.51 -2.63
2018
 -6.39 -8.24 -3.32 -8.06
2017
 14.08 0.00 12.07 0.00
2016
 8.63 -2.93 8.75 -2.08
2015
 -2.88 -7.37 -0.70 -5.47
2014
 6.12 -3.95 8.07 -2.34
2013
 9.02 -4.25 12.48 -3.18
2012
 12.60 -5.90 11.42 -2.32
2011
 -0.25 -12.72 7.12 -6.25
2010
 16.08 -7.26 11.78 -6.09
2009
 24.19 -14.81 18.92 -9.98
2008
 -22.51 -27.78 -18.47 -22.29
2007
 7.60 -4.41 8.64 -1.70
2006
 19.78 -3.25 7.99 -1.54
2005
 11.02 -2.58 4.40 -1.83
2004
 15.19 -5.84 10.53 -3.54
2003
 28.19 -3.19 19.38 -1.09
2002
 -2.13 -11.06 -1.93 -6.44
2001
 -0.61 -8.88 -1.68 -8.57
2000
 1.80 -5.84 3.54 -5.60
1999
 15.18 -2.13 9.67 -3.30
1998
 3.43 -14.05 16.26 -8.06
1997
 8.85 -4.25 21.85 -3.41
1996
 13.00 -2.47 11.14 -2.76
1995
 14.60 -1.63 29.40 0.00
1994
 -2.32 -6.30 -3.21 -8.78
1993
 24.96 -3.33 13.19 -1.53
1992
 4.01 -2.90 8.92 -2.25
1991
 29.20 -3.25 25.50 -2.55
1990
 -7.14 -12.51 1.06 -7.58
1989
 21.94 -1.96 21.95 -1.62
1988
 14.95 -2.14 11.91 -2.50
1987
 2.63 -14.91 1.19 -16.03
1986
 21.90 -2.21 16.48 -5.55
1985
 27.17 -1.91 28.66 -1.87
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