Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin vs Ben Stein Perfect Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 2009 - April 2025 (~16 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since January 2009)
Inflation Adjusted:
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.52$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.69%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-16.89%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.86$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.42%
Yearly Return
8.50%
Std Deviation
-22.71%
Max Drawdown
47months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
12.12$
Final Capital
April 2025
16.50%
Yearly Return
34.45%
Std Deviation
-37.49%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
8.01$
Final Capital
April 2025
13.59%
Yearly Return
34.45%
Std Deviation
-38.14%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
Ben Stein Perfect Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.04$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.39%
Yearly Return
11.85%
Std Deviation
-18.62%
Max Drawdown
8months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.51$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.19%
Yearly Return
11.85%
Std Deviation
-22.93%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
4.07$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.97%
Yearly Return
12.42%
Std Deviation
-18.62%
Max Drawdown
8months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2009
2.69$
Final Capital
April 2025
6.25%
Yearly Return
12.42%
Std Deviation
-22.93%
Max Drawdown
32months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 16.50% compound annual return, with a 34.45% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -37.49% that required 29 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Ben Stein Perfect Portfolio obtained a 8.97% compound annual return, with a 12.42% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -18.62% that required 8 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
25.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
23.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
SPY
SPDR S&P 500
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets
12.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
4.00
XLE
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
4.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
20.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~16Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_harry_browne.webp Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin
Harry Browne
5.70 1.23 5.59 17.23 7.43 9.69 16.50
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ben_stein.webp Perfect Portfolio
Ben Stein
0.71 -0.07 0.95 9.80 11.36 7.39 8.97
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.52$, with a total return of 152.25% (9.69% annualized).

Ben Stein Perfect Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.04$, with a total return of 103.97% (7.39% annualized).


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Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 12.12$, with a total return of 1112.01% (16.50% annualized).

Ben Stein Perfect Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2009, now would be worth 4.07$, with a total return of 306.96% (8.97% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)
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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ben Stein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 17.23 9.80
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 14.85 7.57
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.56 -2.69
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.56 -2.69
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 3 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.13 6.75
Sharpe Ratio 2.42 0.74
Sortino Ratio 2.96 0.95
Ulcer Index 0.71 1.20
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.36 1.45
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 6.73 3.65
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ben Stein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.43 11.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.77 6.53
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.89 -18.32
Start to Recovery (months) 27 19
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.89 -18.32
Start to Recovery (months) 27 19
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 30
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 9.01 11.93
Sharpe Ratio 0.54 0.74
Sortino Ratio 0.76 1.01
Ulcer Index 6.18 5.25
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.82 0.95
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.62
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ben Stein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.69 7.39
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.42 4.19
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.89 -18.62
Start to Recovery (months) 27 8
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -16.89 -18.32
Start to Recovery (months) 27 19
Longest Negative Period (months) 39 33
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.50 11.85
Sharpe Ratio 0.93 0.48
Sortino Ratio 1.39 0.63
Ulcer Index 4.61 5.17
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.14 0.62
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.57 0.40
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ben Stein
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 80%
Fixed Income 50% 20%
Commodities 25% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.50 8.97
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 13.59 6.25
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.49 -18.62
Start to Recovery (months) 29 8
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.85 -17.03
Start to Recovery (months) 45 20
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 33
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 34.45 12.42
Sharpe Ratio 0.45 0.64
Sortino Ratio 1.34 0.86
Ulcer Index 12.77 4.95
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.48 0.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.44 0.48
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)

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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-18.62 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-18.32 19 Jan 2022
Jul 2023
-16.89 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-11.03 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-10.87 17 May 2015
Sep 2016
-7.69 5 Aug 2023
Dec 2023
-6.08 9 Aug 2016
Apr 2017
-5.02 6 May 2019
Oct 2019
-4.63 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-4.10 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-3.52 10 May 2015
Feb 2016
-2.88 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.86 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.69 2 Apr 2024
May 2024
-2.69 3 Dec 2024
Feb 2025

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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-37.49 29 Jul 2011
Nov 2013
-23.85 45 Dec 2013
Aug 2017
-18.62 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-18.32 19 Jan 2022
Jul 2023
-17.03 20 May 2011
Dec 2012
-16.89 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-15.39 5 Jan 2009
May 2009
-11.03 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-10.87 17 May 2015
Sep 2016
-10.26 6 May 2010
Oct 2010
-7.69 5 Aug 2023
Dec 2023
-6.36 7 Jan 2009
Jul 2009
-5.02 6 May 2019
Oct 2019
-4.63 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-4.10 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 30 April 2025 (~16 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin Perfect Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
5.70 0.00 0.71 -2.08
2024
13.79 -2.56 12.60 -2.69
2023
14.40 -5.74 16.55 -7.69
2022
-13.80 -16.89 -11.28 -18.32
2021
5.48 -2.86 16.52 -2.88
2020
21.66 -2.67 10.46 -18.62
2019
17.66 -1.61 21.12 -5.02
2018
-3.19 -4.63 -7.36 -11.03
2017
38.10 -1.36 18.64 0.00
2016
7.85 -6.08 8.29 -4.94
2015
-2.15 -6.28 -2.48 -9.54
2014
8.31 -2.83 4.39 -3.48
2013
122.23 -23.85 18.20 -2.21
2012
9.90 -1.72 13.40 -7.48
2011
40.38 -37.49 -3.70 -17.03
2010
20.30 -0.51 12.14 -10.26
2009
7.37 -6.36 26.95 -15.39
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