Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - February 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 28 February 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2015
1.93$
Final Capital
February 2025
6.82%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
38months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2015
1.42$
Final Capital
February 2025
3.59%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.23$
Final Capital
February 2025
10.10%
Yearly Return
12.38%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
38months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.88$
Final Capital
February 2025
7.30%
Yearly Return
12.38%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2015
2.53$
Final Capital
February 2025
9.72%
Yearly Return
9.79%
Std Deviation
-18.76%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2015
1.86$
Final Capital
February 2025
6.41%
Yearly Return
9.79%
Std Deviation
-24.05%
Max Drawdown
39months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
12.01$
Final Capital
February 2025
18.03%
Yearly Return
34.96%
Std Deviation
-39.02%
Max Drawdown
28months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
8.16$
Final Capital
February 2025
15.02%
Yearly Return
34.96%
Std Deviation
-39.66%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period

As of February 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 10.10% compound annual return, with a 12.38% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -34.04% which has been ongoing for 38 months and is still in progress.

As of February 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio obtained a 18.03% compound annual return, with a 34.96% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -39.02% that required 28 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
60.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
10.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
20.00
IJS
iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value
20.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
20.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
20.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
18.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
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Portfolio Returns as of Feb 28, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 28 February 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Feb 28, 2025
YTD
(2M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing
4.94 2.31 4.14 19.61 4.80 6.82 10.10
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Tyler
2.31 -0.22 4.93 14.68 8.45 9.72 18.03
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Feb 28, 2025

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2015, now would be worth 1.93$, with a total return of 93.40% (6.82% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2015, now would be worth 2.53$, with a total return of 152.93% (9.72% annualized).


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Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.23$, with a total return of 323.35% (10.10% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 12.01$, with a total return of 1101.48% (18.03% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Feb 28, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 28 February 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2024 - 28 February 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 March 2020 - 28 February 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 March 2015 - 28 February 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 28 February 2025 (~15 years)
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 60% 40%
Commodities 10% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 19.61 14.68
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 16.32 11.52
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.45
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.38
Start to Recovery (months) 3 4
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 3
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.71 9.03
Sharpe Ratio 1.15 1.07
Sortino Ratio 1.35 1.40
Ulcer Index 2.35 1.42
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.54 1.63
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.26 4.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2024 - 28 February 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 60% 40%
Commodities 10% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.80 8.45
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.49 3.98
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 47 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.16 11.39
Sharpe Ratio 0.14 0.53
Sortino Ratio 0.19 0.73
Ulcer Index 16.65 6.75
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.28 0.74
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.14 0.45
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2020 - 28 February 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 60% 40%
Commodities 10% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.82 9.72
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.59 6.41
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -18.76
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.71 9.79
Sharpe Ratio 0.37 0.82
Sortino Ratio 0.51 1.18
Ulcer Index 12.08 5.05
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.50 0.99
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.20 0.52
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2015 - 28 February 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Tyler
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 60% 40%
Commodities 10% 20%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.10 18.03
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.30 15.02
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -39.02
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 28
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -23.09
Start to Recovery (months) 38* 44
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 43
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.38 34.96
Sharpe Ratio 0.73 0.48
Sortino Ratio 0.97 1.35
Ulcer Index 9.96 13.29
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.82 0.52
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.30 0.46
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 28 February 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2015 - 28 February 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 28 February 2025 (~15 years)

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.04 38* Jan 2022
In progress
-18.76 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-7.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-7.00 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.80 13 Mar 2015
Mar 2016
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.68 12 Mar 2015
Feb 2016
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.45 3* Dec 2024
In progress
-3.38 4 Apr 2024
Jul 2024
-2.92 6 Aug 2016
Jan 2017

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-39.02 28 Jul 2011
Oct 2013
-34.04 38* Jan 2022
In progress
-23.09 44 Dec 2013
Jul 2017
-18.76 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-8.09 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-7.90 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-7.00 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.56 2 Sep 2011
Oct 2011

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 28 February 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
4.94 0.00 2.31 -0.22
2024
13.97 -6.01 12.62 -3.45
2023
15.63 -13.22 14.83 -7.40
2022
-30.56 -34.04 -14.62 -18.76
2021
12.18 -5.79 10.62 -2.57
2020
21.66 -6.04 19.50 -7.90
2019
30.15 -1.15 19.52 -0.42
2018
-5.84 -7.55 -5.46 -7.00
2017
17.48 -1.28 38.09 -0.53
2016
7.95 -10.03 13.14 -2.92
2015
-1.47 -6.85 -2.81 -5.90
2014
17.56 -3.41 8.05 -3.49
2013
8.45 -8.09 130.58 -23.09
2012
14.13 -2.65 12.33 -2.22
2011
18.75 -3.56 38.12 -39.02
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