Gretchen Tai Portfolio vs Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1986 - April 2025 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1986)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gretchen Tai Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
8.46$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.38%
Yearly Return
11.65%
Std Deviation
-41.80%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.02$
Final Capital
April 2025
4.74%
Yearly Return
11.65%
Std Deviation
-42.76%
Max Drawdown
62months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1986
27.28$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.77%
Yearly Return
11.78%
Std Deviation
-41.80%
Max Drawdown
40months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1986
9.34$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.85%
Yearly Return
11.78%
Std Deviation
-42.76%
Max Drawdown
62months
Recovery Period
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
10.51$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.16%
Yearly Return
7.10%
Std Deviation
-21.11%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 1995
4.99$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.50%
Yearly Return
7.10%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1986
28.23$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.86%
Yearly Return
7.34%
Std Deviation
-21.11%
Max Drawdown
35months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1986
9.67$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.94%
Yearly Return
7.34%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
42months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Gretchen Tai Portfolio obtained a 7.38% compound annual return, with a 11.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -41.80% that required 40 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 8.16% compound annual return, with a 7.10% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -21.11% that required 35 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
26.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
26.00
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets
10.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
5.00
REET
iShares Global REIT ETF
3.00
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap
10.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
8.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
8.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
4.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
40.00
MTUM
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr
60.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1986 - 30 April 2025 (~39 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~39Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gretchen_tai.webp Gretchen Tai Portfolio
Gretchen Tai
2.51 0.80 1.84 10.58 8.23 5.92 7.38 8.77
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
-- Market Benchmark
2.44 1.68 3.30 12.98 4.94 6.27 8.16 8.86
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Gretchen Tai Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 8.46$, with a total return of 745.84% (7.38% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 1995, now would be worth 10.51$, with a total return of 951.11% (8.16% annualized).


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Gretchen Tai Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1986, now would be worth 27.28$, with a total return of 2628.04% (8.77% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1986, now would be worth 28.23$, with a total return of 2722.96% (8.86% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1986 - 30 April 2025 (~39 years)
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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Author Gretchen Tai
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 70% 40%
Fixed Income 30% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.58 12.98
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.34 10.69
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.42 -3.03
Start to Recovery (months) 7* 2*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.42 -2.82
Start to Recovery (months) 7* 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 7* 5*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.44 7.65
Sharpe Ratio 0.78 1.07
Sortino Ratio 0.96 1.32
Ulcer Index 1.38 1.28
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.42 1.70
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.09 4.29
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Author Gretchen Tai
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 70% 40%
Fixed Income 30% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.23 4.94
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.53 0.39
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.59 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 30 35
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.59 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 30 35
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 42
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.50 9.75
Sharpe Ratio 0.46 0.25
Sortino Ratio 0.62 0.33
Ulcer Index 8.43 10.15
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.66 0.51
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.35 0.23
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Author Gretchen Tai
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 70% 40%
Fixed Income 30% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.92 6.27
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.76 3.10
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.59 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 30 35
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.59 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 30 35
Longest Negative Period (months) 35 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.58 8.26
Sharpe Ratio 0.36 0.55
Sortino Ratio 0.48 0.72
Ulcer Index 6.81 7.32
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.51 0.76
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.25 0.30
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Author Gretchen Tai
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 70% 40%
Fixed Income 30% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.38 8.16
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.74 5.50
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -41.80 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 40 35
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.92 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 44 35
Longest Negative Period (months) 62 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.65 7.10
Sharpe Ratio 0.44 0.83
Sortino Ratio 0.57 1.09
Ulcer Index 8.89 5.26
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.63 1.15
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.18 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025
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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Author Gretchen Tai
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 70% 40%
Fixed Income 30% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.77 8.86
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.85 5.94
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -41.80 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 40 35
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -22.92 -21.11
Start to Recovery (months) 44 35
Longest Negative Period (months) 62 46
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.78 7.34
Sharpe Ratio 0.49 0.79
Sortino Ratio 0.64 1.05
Ulcer Index 8.11 4.87
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.74 1.21
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.21 0.42
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1986 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1986 - 30 April 2025 (~39 years)

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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-41.80 40 Nov 2007
Feb 2011
-23.59 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-22.92 44 Apr 2000
Nov 2003
-21.11 35 Nov 2021
Sep 2024
-20.54 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-16.24 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-14.25 17 May 2011
Sep 2012
-12.86 8 May 1998
Dec 1998
-10.37 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-10.09 15 May 2015
Jul 2016
-8.48 28 Feb 2001
May 2003
-7.10 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-5.89 6 Oct 2018
Mar 2019
-4.43 7 Aug 1997
Feb 1998
-4.17 5 May 2013
Sep 2013

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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-41.80 40 Nov 2007
Feb 2011
-23.59 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-22.92 44 Apr 2000
Nov 2003
-21.11 35 Nov 2021
Sep 2024
-20.54 30 Nov 2007
Apr 2010
-17.50 15 Sep 1987
Nov 1988
-16.24 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-16.12 14 Jan 1990
Feb 1991
-14.25 17 May 2011
Sep 2012
-13.77 19 Sep 1987
Mar 1989
-12.86 8 May 1998
Dec 1998
-10.37 15 Feb 2018
Apr 2019
-10.09 15 May 2015
Jul 2016
-8.48 28 Feb 2001
May 2003
-7.10 4 Feb 2020
May 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1986 - 30 April 2025 (~39 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Gretchen Tai Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.51 -1.75 2.44 -3.03
2024
8.59 -3.42 13.98 -3.77
2023
15.11 -9.20 6.90 -5.19
2022
-17.30 -23.59 -15.17 -19.48
2021
12.15 -3.19 4.23 -2.38
2020
12.24 -16.24 16.57 -7.10
2019
20.82 -3.77 16.20 -0.81
2018
-7.59 -10.37 -0.73 -5.89
2017
18.32 0.00 17.14 0.00
2016
7.93 -3.80 3.51 -3.61
2015
-2.21 -8.93 3.91 -2.95
2014
4.44 -3.36 9.34 -1.49
2013
14.58 -4.17 12.57 -1.74
2012
14.85 -6.38 7.87 -2.05
2011
-1.45 -14.25 7.13 -3.62
2010
12.51 -8.38 10.93 -3.48
2009
26.58 -15.87 9.16 -9.41
2008
-27.67 -32.64 -12.27 -15.80
2007
9.39 -4.36 11.21 -0.82
2006
17.39 -3.34 6.78 -1.50
2005
10.26 -3.11 9.09 -0.93
2004
15.60 -4.14 9.22 -2.12
2003
29.40 -2.98 12.78 -1.27
2002
-7.43 -14.03 0.04 -5.36
2001
-6.29 -15.42 -1.88 -6.89
2000
-4.67 -9.28 2.99 -3.33
1999
22.01 -2.31 15.71 -1.69
1998
10.02 -12.86 24.65 -4.13
1997
11.39 -4.43 20.41 -2.69
1996
10.62 -3.29 14.08 -1.52
1995
17.98 -1.12 27.84 0.00
1994
-0.51 -7.04 -2.03 -5.91
1993
26.87 -4.15 11.10 -0.87
1992
0.50 -4.36 6.01 -2.11
1991
30.31 -4.13 23.91 -1.79
1990
-8.54 -16.12 5.79 -5.29
1989
25.15 -2.12 25.29 -1.01
1988
19.39 -3.11 7.24 -2.95
1987
4.96 -17.50 1.86 -13.77
1986
29.74 -4.54 18.14 -4.37
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