Tyler Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Portfolio vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - April 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Tyler Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.21$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.27%
Yearly Return
16.16%
Std Deviation
-34.50%
Max Drawdown
33months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
1.63$
Final Capital
April 2025
5.04%
Yearly Return
16.16%
Std Deviation
-38.05%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
5.13$
Final Capital
April 2025
11.39%
Yearly Return
15.28%
Std Deviation
-34.50%
Max Drawdown
33months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.49$
Final Capital
April 2025
8.59%
Yearly Return
15.28%
Std Deviation
-38.05%
Max Drawdown
44months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.90$
Final Capital
April 2025
11.23%
Yearly Return
13.93%
Std Deviation
-23.08%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
May 2015
2.14$
Final Capital
April 2025
7.91%
Yearly Return
13.93%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
5.72$
Final Capital
April 2025
12.19%
Yearly Return
13.22%
Std Deviation
-23.08%
Max Drawdown
24months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.89$
Final Capital
April 2025
9.37%
Yearly Return
13.22%
Std Deviation
-27.11%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Tyler Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Portfolio obtained a 11.39% compound annual return, with a 15.28% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -34.50% that required 33 months to be recovered.

As of April 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 12.19% compound annual return, with a 13.22% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -23.08% that required 24 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
20.00
SAA
ProShares Ultra SmallCap600
20.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
40.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
20.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Weight
(%)
Ticker Name
90.00
VV
Vanguard Large-Cap
10.00
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Apr 30, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2025
YTD
(4M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_tyler.webp Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged
Tyler
4.77 0.79 2.69 22.72 7.84 8.27 11.39
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_warren_buffett.webp Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
-4.28 -0.52 -1.07 11.94 14.13 11.23 12.19
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2025

Tyler Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.21$, with a total return of 121.27% (8.27% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since May 2015, now would be worth 2.90$, with a total return of 189.75% (11.23% annualized).


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Tyler Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 5.13$, with a total return of 413.17% (11.39% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 5.72$, with a total return of 472.28% (12.19% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 30 April 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)
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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Tyler Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 90%
Fixed Income 40% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 22.72 11.94
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 20.23 9.67
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.52 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 3*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.52 -6.82
Start to Recovery (months) 5* 3*
Longest Negative Period (months) 6 7*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.91 10.26
Sharpe Ratio 1.39 0.70
Sortino Ratio 1.86 0.93
Ulcer Index 2.33 2.69
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.76 1.16
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 3.49 1.75
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2024 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Tyler Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 90%
Fixed Income 40% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.84 14.13
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.16 9.18
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 42 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 18.75 14.68
Sharpe Ratio 0.28 0.79
Sortino Ratio 0.38 1.06
Ulcer Index 15.44 7.97
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.42 0.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.23 0.61
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2020 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Tyler Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 90%
Fixed Income 40% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.27 11.23
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.04 7.91
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 48 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 16.16 13.93
Sharpe Ratio 0.40 0.68
Sortino Ratio 0.55 0.91
Ulcer Index 11.41 6.35
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.51 0.81
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.24 0.49
Metrics calculated over the period 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025
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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Tyler Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 40% 90%
Fixed Income 40% 10%
Commodities 20% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.39 12.19
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 8.59 9.37
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.50 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 33 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 48 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 15.28 13.22
Sharpe Ratio 0.67 0.84
Sortino Ratio 0.92 1.12
Ulcer Index 9.42 5.62
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.75 0.92
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.33 0.53
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 May 2015 - 30 April 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)

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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.50 33 Jan 2022
Sep 2024
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-13.21 10 Sep 2018
Jun 2019
-12.82 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-8.79 10 Jun 2015
Mar 2016
-7.73 10 Aug 2015
May 2016
-6.97 7 Aug 2016
Feb 2017
-6.82 3* Feb 2025
In progress
-6.78 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-6.52 5* Dec 2024
In progress
-5.73 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-5.71 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.55 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018

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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.50 33 Jan 2022
Sep 2024
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.21 10 Sep 2018
Jun 2019
-12.82 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-11.73 6 May 2010
Oct 2010
-9.83 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-9.39 5 Sep 2011
Jan 2012
-7.73 10 Aug 2015
May 2016
-7.59 6 Apr 2013
Sep 2013
-6.97 7 Aug 2016
Feb 2017
-6.82 3* Feb 2025
In progress
-6.78 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 30 April 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Golden Butterfly 2x Leveraged Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
4.77 -0.48 -4.28 -6.82
2024
16.61 -6.52 23.12 -3.67
2023
16.75 -14.97 24.86 -7.55
2022
-28.62 -34.50 -18.29 -23.08
2021
16.84 -5.71 24.59 -4.32
2020
19.29 -12.82 19.19 -17.49
2019
32.73 -4.42 28.46 -5.73
2018
-9.56 -13.21 -3.84 -12.09
2017
19.44 -0.55 19.83 0.00
2016
17.09 -6.97 10.69 -4.87
2015
-5.12 -9.83 0.96 -7.73
2014
12.32 -5.57 12.08 -2.97
2013
17.56 -7.59 29.44 -2.62
2012
16.51 -5.63 14.59 -6.10
2011
12.18 -9.39 1.43 -15.04
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