Ben Stein Long Term vs Warren Buffett Portfolio Comparison

Period: January 1976 - September 2024 (~49 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 September 2024
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
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Ben Stein Long Term Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
9.49$
Final Capital
September 2024
7.79%
Yearly Return
12.43
Std Deviation
-45.92%
Max Drawdown
42 months
Recovery Period
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
October 1994
18.82$
Final Capital
September 2024
10.28%
Yearly Return
13.65
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42 months
Recovery Period
Ben Stein Long Term Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1976
119.14$
Final Capital
September 2024
10.30%
Yearly Return
12.16
Std Deviation
-45.92%
Max Drawdown
42 months
Recovery Period
Warren Buffett Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1976
183.50$
Final Capital
September 2024
11.28%
Yearly Return
13.61
Std Deviation
-45.52%
Max Drawdown
42 months
Recovery Period

The Ben Stein Long Term Portfolio obtained a 7.79% compound annual return, with a 12.43% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Warren Buffett Portfolio obtained a 10.28% compound annual return, with a 13.65% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Returns as of Sep 30, 2024

The portfolios guaranteed the following returns.

RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 September 2024 (~49 years)
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Return (%) as of Sep 30, 2024
YTD
(9M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~49Y)
Long Term Portfolio
Ben Stein
12.98 1.86 8.08 24.52 8.83 7.55 7.79 10.30
Warren Buffett Portfolio
Warren Buffett
20.10 1.97 9.90 33.43 14.52 12.13 10.28 11.28
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Sep 30, 2024

Ben Stein Long Term Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since October 1994, now would be worth 9.49$, with a total return of 849.14% (7.79% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since October 1994, now would be worth 18.82$, with a total return of 1781.64% (10.28% annualized).


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Ben Stein Long Term Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 119.14$, with a total return of 11814.09% (10.30% annualized).

Warren Buffett Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 183.50$, with a total return of 18249.57% (11.28% annualized).


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Metrics as of Sep 30, 2024

The following metrics, updated as of 30 September 2024, provide an overview of performance and risk.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 October 2023 - 30 September 2024 (1 year)
Period: 1 October 2019 - 30 September 2024 (5 years)
Period: 1 October 2014 - 30 September 2024 (10 years)
Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 September 2024 (~49 years)
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ben Stein Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 80% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 24.52 33.43
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 21.81 30.53
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.34 -3.67
Start to Recovery (months) 2 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.59 -1.93
Start to Recovery (months) 2 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 2 2
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.33 10.57
Sharpe Ratio 1.85 2.66
Sortino Ratio 2.52 3.62
Ulcer Index 1.22 1.15
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 2.37 3.16
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 7.35 9.12
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2023 - 30 September 2024
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ben Stein Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 80% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 8.83 14.52
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.51 9.97
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.52 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 26 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.52 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 26 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 32 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 14.23 16.27
Sharpe Ratio 0.47 0.76
Sortino Ratio 0.61 0.99
Ulcer Index 7.62 8.32
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.62 0.89
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.63
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2019 - 30 September 2024
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ben Stein Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 80% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.55 12.13
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.58 9.04
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.52 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 26 24
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.52 -23.08
Start to Recovery (months) 26 24
Longest Negative Period (months) 34 28
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 11.96 13.77
Sharpe Ratio 0.51 0.77
Sortino Ratio 0.67 1.03
Ulcer Index 5.91 6.30
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.63 0.88
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.37 0.53
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 2014 - 30 September 2024
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ben Stein Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 80% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.79 10.28
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 5.15 7.58
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -45.92 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 42 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -45.92 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 42 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 110 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.43 13.65
Sharpe Ratio 0.44 0.59
Sortino Ratio 0.57 0.77
Ulcer Index 9.47 12.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.63 0.75
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.23
Metrics calculated over the period 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Author Ben Stein Warren Buffett
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 80% 90%
Fixed Income 20% 10%
Commodities 0% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 10.30 11.28
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 6.45 7.40
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -45.92 -45.52
Start to Recovery (months) 42 42
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -45.92 -39.67
Start to Recovery (months) 42 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 110 132
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.16 13.61
Sharpe Ratio 0.50 0.52
Sortino Ratio 0.65 0.69
Ulcer Index 7.88 10.56
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.85 0.83
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.22 0.25
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1976 - 30 September 2024

Drawdowns

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 September 2024 (~49 years)

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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-45.92 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-23.11 39 Sep 2000
Nov 2003
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-20.52 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-19.33 11 Jan 2020
Nov 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-16.94 19 May 2011
Nov 2012
-15.80 11 May 1998
Mar 1999
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-12.09 7 Oct 2018
Apr 2019
-10.70 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-9.84 14 Jun 2015
Jul 2016

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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-45.92 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-45.52 42 Nov 2007
Apr 2011
-39.67 73 Sep 2000
Sep 2006
-27.35 21 Sep 1987
May 1989
-23.11 39 Sep 2000
Nov 2003
-23.08 24 Jan 2022
Dec 2023
-20.52 26 Jan 2022
Feb 2024
-20.11 17 Sep 1987
Jan 1989
-19.33 11 Jan 2020
Nov 2020
-17.49 6 Feb 2020
Jul 2020
-16.94 19 May 2011
Nov 2012
-15.80 11 May 1998
Mar 1999
-15.40 14 Jan 1990
Feb 1991
-15.04 10 May 2011
Feb 2012
-13.83 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1976 - 30 September 2024 (~49 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Long Term Portfolio Warren Buffett Portfolio
Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
12.98% -3.34% 20.10% -3.67%
2023
16.02% -8.92% 24.86% -7.55%
2022
-14.26% -20.52% -18.29% -23.08%
2021
16.72% -3.20% 24.59% -4.32%
2020
9.40% -19.33% 19.19% -17.49%
2019
21.13% -4.75% 28.46% -5.73%
2018
-7.39% -10.70% -3.84% -12.09%
2017
16.88% 0.00% 19.83% 0.00%
2016
9.22% -4.80% 10.69% -4.87%
2015
-2.18% -8.57% 0.96% -7.73%
2014
5.91% -3.45% 12.08% -2.97%
2013
18.10% -2.66% 29.44% -2.62%
2012
14.19% -7.09% 14.59% -6.10%
2011
-3.35% -16.94% 1.43% -15.04%
2010
13.80% -10.43% 14.55% -11.71%
2009
26.25% -17.28% 24.66% -16.03%
2008
-30.51% -33.62% -32.35% -33.45%
2007
5.66% -5.92% 6.30% -4.37%
2006
19.42% -3.62% 14.32% -2.48%
2005
10.21% -3.30% 5.58% -3.97%
2004
15.66% -4.29% 9.73% -2.96%
2003
30.79% -3.98% 25.87% -3.66%
2002
-10.67% -17.62% -19.13% -24.82%
2001
-4.80% -15.85% -10.04% -20.31%
2000
-2.79% -8.99% -7.27% -11.55%
1999
21.76% -2.43% 19.15% -5.59%
1998
7.54% -15.80% 26.49% -13.83%
1997
13.81% -4.54% 30.52% -5.15%
1996
15.37% -3.55% 21.03% -3.99%
1995
16.95% -1.90% 34.91% -0.25%
1994
-0.18% -6.15% 1.01% -6.47%
1993
23.87% -3.66% 9.53% -2.10%
1992
3.67% -3.34% 7.36% -2.36%
1991
31.77% -4.13% 28.35% -4.14%
1990
-8.84% -15.40% -2.00% -12.77%
1989
25.31% -2.86% 29.38% -2.30%
1988
19.53% -2.49% 15.17% -3.40%
1987
2.59% -20.11% 4.71% -27.35%
1986
22.75% -4.06% 17.29% -7.59%
1985
30.54% -2.54% 29.49% -3.46%
1984
8.43% -3.82% 6.99% -6.07%
1983
22.02% -2.01% 19.96% -3.02%
1982
10.55% -11.34% 21.09% -7.70%
1981
1.38% -8.32% -3.26% -10.93%
1980
22.39% -9.78% 29.60% -8.82%
1979
19.59% -7.08% 17.05% -6.17%
1978
14.86% -7.96% 5.62% -8.58%
1977
8.12% -1.77% -6.77% -10.10%
1976
20.36% -2.40% 22.58% -1.97%