Data Source: from January 1982 to November 2023 (~42 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.71%
1 Day
Dec 01 2023
0.71%
Current Month
December 2023
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio is a Low Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.
It's exposed for 20% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 6.01% compound annual return, with a 4.94% standard deviation.
Table of contents
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
20% Stocks
80% Fixed Income
0% Commodities
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
| Weight (%) | Ticker | Currency | ETF Name | Investment Themes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.00 |
MTUM
|
USD | iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr | Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth |
| 80.00 |
BND
|
USD | Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2023
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
STOCKS/BONDS 20/80 MOMENTUM PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 30 November 2023
Live Update: Dec 01 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2023 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Dec 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~42Y) |
|||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio | 0.71 | 0.71 | 5.46 | 1.65 | 0.82 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 6.01 | 8.05 | |||
| US Inflation Adjusted return | 5.46 | 0.48 | -2.44 | -1.71 | 0.58 | 3.41 | 5.04 | |||||
| Components | ||||||||||||
|
MTUM
|
USD | iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr | 0.27 | Dec 01 2023 | 0.27 | 9.23 | 11.55 | 0.11 | 8.09 | 11.25 | 12.01 | 13.29 |
|
BND
|
USD | Vanguard Total Bond Market | 0.82 | Dec 01 2023 | 0.82 | 4.54 | -0.60 | 0.97 | 0.72 | 1.33 | 4.12 | 6.43 |
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1982
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Oct 2023.
Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is set to 0%.
Current inflation (annualized) is
1Y: 3.35%
, 5Y: 4.07%
, 10Y: 2.82%
, 30Y: 2.52%
Live update: World Markets and Indexes
In 2022, the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio granted a 2.07% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2023
An investment of 1$, since December 1993,
now would be worth 5.76$, with a total return of 476.27% (6.01% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.73$, with a net total return of 173.09% (3.41% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2.73$, with a net total return of 173.09% (3.41% annualized).
An investment of 1$, since January 1982,
now would be worth 25.71$, with a total return of 2470.86% (8.05% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7.85$, with a net total return of 685.45% (5.04% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7.85$, with a net total return of 685.45% (5.04% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023
Metrics of Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio, updated as of 30 November 2023.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends.
STOCKS/BONDS 20/80 MOMENTUM PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1982 - 30 November 2023 (~42 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Nov 30, 2023 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~42Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 5.46 | 0.78 | 1.65 | 0.82 | -3.58 | 2.29 | 3.41 | 4.64 | 6.01 | 8.05 |
| Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details | 5.46 | 0.57 | 0.48 | -2.44 | -8.81 | -1.71 | 0.58 | 2.00 | 3.41 | 5.04 |
| US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.17 | 3.35 | 5.74 | 4.07 | 2.82 | 2.59 | 2.52 | 2.87 |
| Waiting for updates, inflation of Nov 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -5.43 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 10* | 25* | 25* | 25* | 25* | 25* | 25* | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 02 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
|||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | ||||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 02 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 11 | 36* | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 53 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2019 06 | 2019 06 | 2019 06 | 2019 06 | 2019 06 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -4.79 | -3.58 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.01 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -8.04 | -28.68 | -28.68 | -28.68 | -28.68 | -28.68 | -28.68 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | 10* | 35* | 35* | 35* | 35* | 35* | 35* | |||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 02 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
same as deepest |
|||
| Start to Recovery (# months) details | ||||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | 2023 02 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | 2021 01 | |||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | 9 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | |||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Bottom to End (# months) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
| Longest negative period (# months) details | 12* | 36* | 60* | 117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | |||
| Period Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 12 | 2020 12 | 2018 12 | 2014 02 | 2014 02 | 2014 02 | 2014 02 | |||
| Period End (yyyy mm) | 2023 11 | 2023 11 | 2023 11 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | 2023 10 | |||
| Annualized Return (%) | -2.44 | -8.81 | -1.71 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | |||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | ||||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 8.35 | 7.98 | 7.39 | 5.78 | 5.08 | 4.94 | 5.49 | |||
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.49 | -0.69 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.74 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | -0.76 | -0.98 | 0.11 | 0.54 | 0.86 | 1.01 | 1.02 | |||
| Ulcer Index | 2.21 | 10.75 | 8.39 | 6.01 | 4.45 | 3.73 | 3.24 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 0.10 | -0.45 | 0.31 | 0.59 | 0.91 | 1.22 | 1.47 | |||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | 0.15 | -0.20 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.45 | |||
| % Positive Months details | 50% | 44% | 56% | 63% | 68% | 69% | 70% | |||
| Positive Months | 6 | 16 | 34 | 76 | 165 | 249 | 353 | |||
| Negative Months | 6 | 20 | 26 | 44 | 75 | 111 | 150 | |||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 3.41 | 6.60 | 9.91 | 14.33 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 2.92 | 2.92 | 2.92 | |||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 0.58 | 4.75 | 7.30 | 10.04 | ||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | |||||||
|
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Over the latest 30Y | ||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 23.01 | 15.44 | 14.03 | 9.91 | 7.88 | 6.01 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -16.89 | -4.27 | 1.08 | 2.92 | 4.38 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 90% | 95% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 19.96 | 12.61 | 11.39 | 7.30 | 5.45 | 3.41 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -22.86 | -9.45 | -2.85 | 0.12 | 1.76 | |||||
| % Positive Periods | 83% | 93% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Over all the available data source (Jan 1982 - Nov 2023) | ||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 34.58 | 20.38 | 18.99 | 14.33 | 11.86 | 9.88 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -16.89 | -4.27 | 1.08 | 2.92 | 4.38 | 5.79 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 91% | 96% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 30.96 | 16.81 | 15.13 | 10.04 | 8.39 | 6.72 | ||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -22.86 | -9.45 | -2.85 | 0.12 | 1.76 | 3.19 | ||||
| % Positive Periods | 83% | 95% | 95% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
|
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Safe WR (%) | 29.94 | 21.35 | 11.56 | 6.73 | 6.45 | 9.06 | ||||
| Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1.96 | 3.29 | 4.80 | ||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Analyze your Portfolio: Backtest Now!
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Explore historical data since 1871 and fine-tune your investment strategy for better results.
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
|---|---|---|
|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.66
|
|
BND
|
0.66
|
-
|
| Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
|---|---|---|
|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.46
|
|
BND
|
0.46
|
-
|
| Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
|---|---|---|
|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.38
|
|
BND
|
0.38
|
-
|
| Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
|---|---|---|
|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.18
|
|
BND
|
0.18
|
-
|
| Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
|---|---|---|
|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.24
|
|
BND
|
0.24
|
-
|
If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.
Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
STOCKS/BONDS 20/80 MOMENTUM PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1982 - 30 November 2023 (~42 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -17.91% | Nov 2021 | Sep 2022 | 11 | in progress | 14 | 25 | 12.80 |
| -9.00% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Aug 2009 | 10 | 20 | 4.15 |
| -5.46% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Feb 1995 | 8 | 13 | 3.79 |
| -3.64% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 9 | 1.84 |
| -3.46% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.73 |
| -3.12% | Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | Feb 2019 | 4 | 6 | 1.75 |
| -2.95% | Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | Jun 2021 | 3 | 6 | 1.39 |
| -2.48% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 | 1.41 |
| -2.37% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Aug 2004 | 4 | 5 | 1.53 |
| -2.29% | Jul 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | Sep 2003 | 2 | 3 | 1.35 |
| -2.26% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.22 |
| -2.01% | Feb 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 6 | 1.04 |
| -1.89% | Feb 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | Aug 2018 | 4 | 7 | 0.98 |
| -1.81% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 2 | 1.05 |
| -1.79% | Jun 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 5 | 0.85 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -28.68% | Jan 2021 | Oct 2023 | 34 | in progress | 1 | 35 | 18.40 |
| -11.74% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Nov 2009 | 13 | 23 | 5.45 |
| -7.01% | Feb 1994 | Nov 1994 | 10 | May 1995 | 6 | 16 | 4.74 |
| -3.93% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | May 2017 | 6 | 10 | 2.23 |
| -3.68% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Mar 2019 | 5 | 14 | 1.93 |
| -3.64% | Jan 2006 | Jun 2006 | 6 | Sep 2006 | 3 | 9 | 2.08 |
| -3.51% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.77 |
| -3.32% | Mar 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | Nov 2004 | 6 | 9 | 1.83 |
| -2.96% | Feb 2015 | Jun 2015 | 5 | Mar 2016 | 9 | 14 | 1.50 |
| -2.88% | May 2013 | Aug 2013 | 4 | Oct 2013 | 2 | 6 | 1.78 |
| -2.73% | Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 2 | Dec 2005 | 2 | 4 | 1.45 |
| -2.62% | Feb 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | Oct 2001 | 7 | 9 | 1.67 |
| -2.57% | Feb 1996 | Apr 1996 | 3 | Sep 1996 | 5 | 8 | 1.73 |
| -2.43% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.33 |
| -2.42% | Jun 2003 | Jul 2003 | 2 | Oct 2003 | 3 | 5 | 1.28 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -17.91% | Nov 2021 | Sep 2022 | 11 | in progress | 14 | 25 | 12.80 |
| -9.00% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Aug 2009 | 10 | 20 | 4.15 |
| -6.53% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Feb 1988 | 3 | 6 | 3.65 |
| -5.47% | Feb 1984 | May 1984 | 4 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 7 | 2.67 |
| -5.46% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Feb 1995 | 8 | 13 | 3.79 |
| -3.64% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 9 | 1.84 |
| -3.46% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.73 |
| -3.28% | May 1983 | Jul 1983 | 3 | Nov 1983 | 4 | 7 | 1.66 |
| -3.15% | Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | Nov 1986 | 2 | 3 | 1.63 |
| -3.12% | Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | Feb 2019 | 4 | 6 | 1.75 |
| -2.95% | Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | Jun 2021 | 3 | 6 | 1.39 |
| -2.90% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | Nov 1990 | 2 | 4 | 1.92 |
| -2.82% | Apr 1987 | May 1987 | 2 | Jul 1987 | 2 | 4 | 1.78 |
| -2.80% | Mar 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | Jun 1988 | 1 | 4 | 1.73 |
| -2.78% | Jan 1990 | Jan 1990 | 1 | May 1990 | 4 | 5 | 1.74 |
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months | Ulcer Index |
| -28.68% | Jan 2021 | Oct 2023 | 34 | in progress | 1 | 35 | 18.40 |
| -11.74% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Nov 2009 | 13 | 23 | 5.45 |
| -8.81% | Mar 1987 | Nov 1987 | 9 | May 1989 | 18 | 27 | 4.14 |
| -8.00% | May 1983 | May 1984 | 13 | Oct 1984 | 5 | 18 | 3.60 |
| -7.01% | Feb 1994 | Nov 1994 | 10 | May 1995 | 6 | 16 | 4.74 |
| -4.59% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | Dec 1990 | 3 | 5 | 2.93 |
| -4.48% | Jan 1990 | Apr 1990 | 4 | Jun 1990 | 2 | 6 | 2.83 |
| -3.93% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | May 2017 | 6 | 10 | 2.23 |
| -3.68% | Feb 2018 | Oct 2018 | 9 | Mar 2019 | 5 | 14 | 1.93 |
| -3.64% | Jan 2006 | Jun 2006 | 6 | Sep 2006 | 3 | 9 | 2.08 |
| -3.59% | Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | Jan 1987 | 4 | 5 | 1.60 |
| -3.51% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1.77 |
| -3.32% | Mar 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | Nov 2004 | 6 | 9 | 1.83 |
| -2.96% | Feb 2015 | Jun 2015 | 5 | Mar 2016 | 9 | 14 | 1.50 |
| -2.92% | Jun 1982 | Jun 1982 | 1 | Aug 1982 | 2 | 3 | 1.46 |
Rolling Returns
( more details)
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
STOCKS/BONDS 20/80 MOMENTUM PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1982 - 30 November 2023 (~42 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -16.89 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.83$ | 2.21 | 1.02$ | 6.89 | 1.06$ | 11.42 | 1.11$ | 23.01 |
01/1995 12/1995 |
1.23$ | 0.82 | 9.74% |
| 2Y | -9.26 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.82$ | 3.46 | 1.07$ | 6.32 | 1.13$ | 10.90 | 1.22$ | 16.78 |
12/1994 11/1996 |
1.36$ | -6.46 | 6.53% |
| 3Y | -4.27 |
11/2020 10/2023 |
0.87$ | 4.25 | 1.13$ | 6.11 | 1.19$ | 9.99 | 1.33$ | 15.44 |
01/1995 12/1997 |
1.53$ | -3.58 | 4.62% |
| 5Y | 1.08 |
10/2018 09/2023 |
1.05$ | 4.79 | 1.26$ | 5.88 | 1.33$ | 8.21 | 1.48$ | 14.03 |
01/1995 12/1999 |
1.92$ | 2.29 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 1.99 |
11/2016 10/2023 |
1.14$ | 5.20 | 1.42$ | 5.86 | 1.48$ | 8.11 | 1.72$ | 11.64 |
12/1994 11/2001 |
2.16$ | 3.10 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 2.92 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.33$ | 5.24 | 1.66$ | 5.93 | 1.77$ | 8.00 | 2.15$ | 9.91 |
01/1995 12/2004 |
2.57$ | 3.41 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 4.03 |
10/2007 09/2022 |
1.80$ | 5.41 | 2.20$ | 5.90 | 2.36$ | 7.36 | 2.90$ | 8.27 |
12/1994 11/2009 |
3.29$ | 4.77 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 4.38 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
2.35$ | 5.17 | 2.73$ | 5.94 | 3.17$ | 7.26 | 4.06$ | 7.88 |
12/1994 11/2014 |
4.55$ | 4.64 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 6.01 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
5.76$ | 6.01 | 5.76$ | 6.01 | 5.76$ | 6.01 | 5.76$ | 6.01 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
5.76$ | 6.01 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -22.86 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.77$ | -0.62 | 0.99$ | 4.20 | 1.04$ | 9.35 | 1.09$ | 19.96 |
01/1995 12/1995 |
1.19$ | -2.44 | 16.05% |
| 2Y | -13.96 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.74$ | 1.23 | 1.02$ | 4.01 | 1.08$ | 8.18 | 1.17$ | 14.77 |
04/1997 03/1999 |
1.31$ | -11.09 | 9.79% |
| 3Y | -9.45 |
11/2020 10/2023 |
0.74$ | 2.19 | 1.06$ | 3.83 | 1.11$ | 7.16 | 1.23$ | 12.61 |
01/1995 12/1997 |
1.42$ | -8.81 | 6.77% |
| 5Y | -2.85 |
10/2018 09/2023 |
0.86$ | 2.40 | 1.12$ | 3.78 | 1.20$ | 6.02 | 1.33$ | 11.39 |
01/1995 12/1999 |
1.71$ | -1.71 | 6.31% |
| 7Y | -1.46 |
11/2016 10/2023 |
0.90$ | 2.80 | 1.21$ | 3.67 | 1.28$ | 5.78 | 1.48$ | 8.96 |
12/1994 11/2001 |
1.82$ | -0.42 | 4.69% |
| 10Y | 0.12 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.01$ | 2.84 | 1.32$ | 3.67 | 1.43$ | 5.35 | 1.68$ | 7.30 |
01/1995 12/2004 |
2.02$ | 0.58 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 1.60 |
11/2007 10/2022 |
1.26$ | 3.24 | 1.61$ | 3.67 | 1.71$ | 4.81 | 2.02$ | 5.64 |
12/1994 11/2009 |
2.27$ | 2.22 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 1.76 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
1.41$ | 2.64 | 1.68$ | 3.78 | 2.09$ | 4.85 | 2.57$ | 5.45 |
02/1995 01/2015 |
2.89$ | 2.00 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 3.41 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
2.73$ | 3.41 | 2.73$ | 3.41 | 2.73$ | 3.41 | 2.73$ | 3.41 |
12/1993 11/2023 |
2.73$ | 3.41 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -16.89 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.83$ | 2.27 | 1.02$ | 7.61 | 1.07$ | 14.24 | 1.14$ | 34.58 |
03/1982 02/1983 |
1.34$ | 0.82 | 8.74% |
| 2Y | -9.26 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.82$ | 4.14 | 1.08$ | 7.04 | 1.14$ | 13.15 | 1.28$ | 26.72 |
07/1984 06/1986 |
1.60$ | -6.46 | 4.58% |
| 3Y | -4.27 |
11/2020 10/2023 |
0.87$ | 4.65 | 1.14$ | 7.14 | 1.22$ | 13.41 | 1.45$ | 20.38 |
07/1984 06/1987 |
1.74$ | -3.58 | 3.21% |
| 5Y | 1.08 |
10/2018 09/2023 |
1.05$ | 5.14 | 1.28$ | 6.89 | 1.39$ | 11.88 | 1.75$ | 18.99 |
03/1982 02/1987 |
2.38$ | 2.29 | 0.00% |
| 7Y | 1.99 |
11/2016 10/2023 |
1.14$ | 5.47 | 1.45$ | 6.67 | 1.57$ | 11.33 | 2.11$ | 15.18 |
08/1982 07/1989 |
2.68$ | 3.10 | 0.00% |
| 10Y | 2.92 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.33$ | 5.43 | 1.69$ | 7.17 | 1.99$ | 11.16 | 2.88$ | 14.33 |
01/1982 12/1991 |
3.81$ | 3.41 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 4.03 |
10/2007 09/2022 |
1.80$ | 5.64 | 2.27$ | 7.50 | 2.95$ | 10.76 | 4.62$ | 12.83 |
08/1982 07/1997 |
6.11$ | 4.77 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 4.38 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
2.35$ | 5.83 | 3.10$ | 7.69 | 4.39$ | 10.10 | 6.85$ | 11.86 |
03/1982 02/2002 |
9.41$ | 4.64 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 5.79 |
11/1993 10/2023 |
5.41$ | 6.88 | 7.36$ | 7.76 | 9.40$ | 8.99 | 13.22$ | 9.88 |
04/1982 03/2012 |
16.90$ | 6.01 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
Swipe left to see all data
| Rolling Period |
Worst Period |
15th Percentile |
50th Percentile |
85th Percentile |
Best Period |
Latest | Negative Periods |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
Growth of 1$ |
Ann. Return |
From To |
Growth of 1$ |
|||
| 1Y | -22.86 |
11/2021 10/2022 |
0.77$ | -0.72 | 0.99$ | 5.06 | 1.05$ | 11.13 | 1.11$ | 30.96 |
07/1982 06/1983 |
1.30$ | -2.44 | 16.87% |
| 2Y | -13.96 |
11/2021 10/2023 |
0.74$ | 1.55 | 1.03$ | 4.53 | 1.09$ | 9.62 | 1.20$ | 23.32 |
07/1984 06/1986 |
1.52$ | -11.09 | 7.92% |
| 3Y | -9.45 |
11/2020 10/2023 |
0.74$ | 2.50 | 1.07$ | 4.63 | 1.14$ | 10.08 | 1.33$ | 16.81 |
07/1984 06/1987 |
1.59$ | -8.81 | 4.70% |
| 5Y | -2.85 |
10/2018 09/2023 |
0.86$ | 3.00 | 1.15$ | 4.60 | 1.25$ | 8.30 | 1.48$ | 15.13 |
03/1982 02/1987 |
2.02$ | -1.71 | 4.28% |
| 7Y | -1.46 |
11/2016 10/2023 |
0.90$ | 3.11 | 1.23$ | 4.80 | 1.38$ | 8.21 | 1.73$ | 11.24 |
08/1982 07/1989 |
2.10$ | -0.42 | 3.10% |
| 10Y | 0.12 |
11/2013 10/2023 |
1.01$ | 3.16 | 1.36$ | 4.69 | 1.58$ | 7.86 | 2.13$ | 10.04 |
01/1982 12/1991 |
2.60$ | 0.58 | 0.00% |
| 15Y | 1.60 |
11/2007 10/2022 |
1.26$ | 3.44 | 1.66$ | 4.86 | 2.03$ | 7.38 | 2.90$ | 9.14 |
08/1982 07/1997 |
3.71$ | 2.22 | 0.00% |
| 20Y | 1.76 |
11/2003 10/2023 |
1.41$ | 3.58 | 2.02$ | 5.14 | 2.72$ | 6.85 | 3.76$ | 8.39 |
02/1982 01/2002 |
5.00$ | 2.00 | 0.00% |
| 30Y | 3.19 |
11/1993 10/2023 |
2.56$ | 4.36 | 3.59$ | 5.12 | 4.46$ | 5.96 | 5.68$ | 6.72 |
07/1982 06/2012 |
7.03$ | 3.41 | 0.00% |
| Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods | ||||||||||||||
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.64
60% |
-1.08
20% |
-0.34
40% |
0.43
80% |
0.24
60% |
0.67
80% |
1.46
100% |
0.21
60% |
-2.12
0% |
0.14
60% |
2.44
80% |
-0.14
40% |
| Best |
2.5 2023 |
0.6 2019 |
2.2 2023 |
4.3 2020 |
1.6 2020 |
2.3 2019 |
2.9 2022 |
2.2 2019 |
-0.7 2019 |
1.9 2021 |
5.5 2023 |
0.9 2020 |
| Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-1.9 2023 |
-2.5 2022 |
0.2 2023 |
-2.7 2022 |
-4.5 2022 |
-1.5 2023 |
-0.8 2021 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1982 - Nov 2023
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| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.74
80% |
-0.31
50% |
-0.04
50% |
0.29
70% |
0.64
80% |
0.51
70% |
1.08
90% |
0.36
60% |
-1.07
30% |
0.03
60% |
1.27
70% |
0.01
50% |
| Best |
2.5 2023 |
1.7 2014 |
2.2 2023 |
4.3 2020 |
1.6 2014 |
2.3 2019 |
2.9 2022 |
2.2 2019 |
0.3 2017 |
1.9 2021 |
5.5 2023 |
0.9 2020 |
| Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-1.9 2023 |
-2.5 2022 |
-0.4 2014 |
-2.7 2022 |
-4.5 2022 |
-2.9 2018 |
-2.2 2016 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1982 - Nov 2023
Swipe left to see all data
| Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Average Gain Frequency |
0.81
81% |
0.31
67% |
0.28
57% |
0.69
74% |
0.67
67% |
0.62
71% |
0.91
76% |
0.77
74% |
0.28
60% |
0.69
74% |
0.99
71% |
0.89
71% |
| Best |
3.6 1987 |
4.2 1986 |
4.1 1986 |
4.3 2020 |
5.8 1985 |
3.0 1988 |
4.0 1997 |
6.4 1982 |
4.1 1982 |
6.3 1982 |
5.5 2023 |
4.8 1991 |
| Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-3.7 1984 |
-2.5 2022 |
-2.5 1983 |
-2.7 1990 |
-4.5 2022 |
-5.3 2008 |
-2.2 2016 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1982 - Nov 2023
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
STOCKS/BONDS 20/80 MOMENTUM PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 December 1993 - 30 November 2023 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1982 - 30 November 2023 (~42 years)
249 Positive Months (69%) - 111 Negative Months (31%)
353 Positive Months (70%) - 150 Negative Months (30%)
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(Scroll down to see all data)
Investment Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated.
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
They have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
- MTUM - iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr, up to December 2013
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Golden Butterfly | +7.46 | 7.68 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
| Simplified Permanent Portfolio | +6.75 | 6.88 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Desert Portfolio | +6.48 | 5.50 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
| Permanent Portfolio | +6.37 | 6.58 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +6.01 | 4.94 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
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5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 | +3.07 | 7.52 | -16.57 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +2.29 | 7.39 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Low Risk categorization.
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30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
| High Yield Bonds Income | +6.42 | 8.80 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +6.01 | 4.94 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| All Country World 20/80 | +5.64 | 5.63 | -17.97 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Stocks/Bonds 20/80 | +5.54 | 4.90 | -16.57 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
| Dimensional Retirement Income Fund | +5.36 | 4.79 | -12.91 | 20.4 | 79.6 | 0 | ||
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