Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2023
Live Update: Jun 02 2023
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio is a Low Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.
It's exposed for 20% on the Stock Market.
In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 6.10% compound annual return, with a 4.82% standard deviation.
Asset Allocation and ETFs
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio has the following asset allocation:
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:
Weight (%) | Ticker | ETF Name | Investment Themes |
---|---|---|---|
20.00 |
MTUM
|
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr | Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth |
80.00 |
BND
|
Vanguard Total Bond Market | Bond, U.S., All-Term |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
Portfolio and ETF Returns as of May 31, 2023
The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of May 31, 2023 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | Time ET(*) | Jun 2023 | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~41Y) |
||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio | -0.22 | 0.19 | -1.86 | -0.82 | -2.98 | 1.89 | 3.50 | 6.10 | 8.11 | ||
US Inflation Adjusted return | -1.86 | -2.66 | -6.52 | -1.85 | 0.80 | 3.50 | 5.10 | ||||
Components | |||||||||||
MTUM
|
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr | 1.13 | Jun 02 2023 | 2.13 | -4.83 | -10.25 | -5.15 | 5.61 | 11.37 | 11.80 | 13.16 |
BND
|
Vanguard Total Bond Market | -0.56 | Jun 02 2023 | -0.29 | -1.16 | 1.58 | -2.40 | 0.80 | 1.34 | 4.28 | 4.50 |
In 2022, the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio granted a 2.07% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2023
Metrics of Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio, updated as of 31 May 2023.
- No fees or capital gain taxes
- a rebalancing of the components at the beginning of each year (at every January 1st). How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
- the reinvestment of dividends
Metrics as of May 31, 2023 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~41Y) |
|
Portfolio Return (%) | -1.86 | 1.27 | -0.82 | -2.98 | -2.18 | 1.89 | 3.50 | 4.62 | 6.10 | 8.11 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 0.84 | 1.90 | 3.79 | 5.77 | 3.81 | 2.68 | 2.55 | 2.51 | 2.87 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) | -1.86 | 0.43 | -2.66 | -6.52 | -7.52 | -1.85 | 0.80 | 2.02 | 3.50 | 5.10 |
Waiting for updates, inflation of May 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | ||||||||||
RISK INDICATORS | ||||||||||
Standard Deviation (%) | 9.14 | 7.60 | 6.99 | 5.51 | 4.92 | 4.82 | 5.43 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | -0.67 | -0.42 | 0.08 | 0.49 | 0.70 | 0.81 | 0.76 | |||
Sortino Ratio | -0.95 | -0.57 | 0.11 | 0.64 | 0.89 | 1.06 | 1.05 | |||
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN | ||||||||||
Drawdown Depth (%) | -7.03 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | -17.91 | |||
Start (yyyy mm) | 2022 08 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | 2021 11 | |||
Bottom (yyyy mm) | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | 2022 09 | |||
Start to Bottom (# months) | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress |
> 10
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
> 19
|
|||
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized | ||||||||||
Best Return (%) | 34.58 | 20.38 | 18.99 | 14.33 | 11.86 | 9.88 | ||||
Worst Return (%) | -16.89 | -2.18 | 1.53 | 3.26 | 4.62 | 6.10 | ||||
% Positive Periods | 92% | 98% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||
MONTHS | ||||||||||
Positive | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 77 | 167 | 251 | 350 |
Negative | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 43 | 73 | 109 | 147 |
% Positive | 0% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 57% | 64% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR) | ||||||||||
Safe WR (%) | 31.78 | 21.29 | 11.85 | 6.82 | 6.72 | 9.06 | ||||
Perpetual WR (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | 1.98 | 3.38 | 4.85 |
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
- Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
- Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
- Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).
Portfolio Components Correlation
Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.
If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
---|---|---|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.45
|
BND
|
0.45
|
-
|
Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
---|---|---|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.42
|
BND
|
0.42
|
-
|
Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
---|---|---|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.35
|
BND
|
0.35
|
-
|
Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
---|---|---|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.16
|
BND
|
0.16
|
-
|
Asset |
MTUM
|
BND
|
---|---|---|
MTUM
|
-
|
0.23
|
BND
|
0.23
|
-
|
If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.
Capital Growth as of May 31, 2023
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 2807.34$, with a net total return of 180.73% (3.50% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 7836.47$, with a net total return of 683.65% (5.10% annualized).
Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-17.91% | Nov 2021 | Sep 2022 | 11 | in progress | 8 | 19 |
-9.00% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Aug 2009 | 10 | 20 |
-5.46% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Feb 1995 | 8 | 13 |
-3.64% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 9 |
-3.46% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-3.12% | Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | Feb 2019 | 4 | 6 |
-2.95% | Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | Jun 2021 | 3 | 6 |
-2.48% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 |
-2.37% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Aug 2004 | 4 | 5 |
-2.29% | Jul 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | Sep 2003 | 2 | 3 |
-2.26% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-2.01% | Feb 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 6 |
-1.89% | Feb 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | Aug 2018 | 4 | 7 |
-1.81% | Aug 1997 | Aug 1997 | 1 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 2 |
-1.79% | Jun 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 5 |
-1.73% | Feb 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 3 |
-1.64% | Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 1 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 2 |
-1.56% | Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2 |
-1.52% | Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 2 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 3 |
-1.48% | Aug 2015 | Aug 2015 | 1 | Oct 2015 | 2 | 3 |
Drawdown period |
Recovery period |
Total |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drawdown | Start | Bottom | #Months | End | #Months | #Months |
-17.91% | Nov 2021 | Sep 2022 | 11 | in progress | 8 | 19 |
-9.00% | Jan 2008 | Oct 2008 | 10 | Aug 2009 | 10 | 20 |
-6.53% | Sep 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 | Feb 1988 | 3 | 6 |
-5.47% | Feb 1984 | May 1984 | 4 | Aug 1984 | 3 | 7 |
-5.46% | Feb 1994 | Jun 1994 | 5 | Feb 1995 | 8 | 13 |
-3.64% | Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 9 |
-3.46% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-3.28% | May 1983 | Jul 1983 | 3 | Nov 1983 | 4 | 7 |
-3.15% | Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 1 | Nov 1986 | 2 | 3 |
-3.12% | Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | Feb 2019 | 4 | 6 |
-2.95% | Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 3 | Jun 2021 | 3 | 6 |
-2.90% | Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 2 | Nov 1990 | 2 | 4 |
-2.82% | Apr 1987 | May 1987 | 2 | Jul 1987 | 2 | 4 |
-2.80% | Mar 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | Jun 1988 | 1 | 4 |
-2.78% | Jan 1990 | Jan 1990 | 1 | May 1990 | 4 | 5 |
-2.48% | May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 2 | Oct 2013 | 4 | 6 |
-2.37% | Apr 2004 | Apr 2004 | 1 | Aug 2004 | 4 | 5 |
-2.29% | Jul 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | Sep 2003 | 2 | 3 |
-2.26% | Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3 |
-2.01% | Feb 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 6 |
Rolling Returns ( more details)
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
Rolling Period |
Annualized Return (%) | Negative Periods |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average | Latest | Best | Worst | ||
1 Year |
8.35 | -2.98 |
34.58 Mar 1982 - Feb 1983 |
-16.89 Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
8.44% |
2 Years |
8.26 | -6.05 |
26.72 Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
-7.12 Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
3.38% |
3 Years |
8.34 | -2.18 |
20.38 Jul 1984 - Jun 1987 |
-2.18 Jun 2020 - May 2023 |
1.95% |
5 Years |
8.18 | 1.89 |
18.99 Mar 1982 - Feb 1987 |
1.53 Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
7 Years |
8.09 | 2.78 |
15.18 Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 |
2.76 Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
0.00% |
10 Years |
8.05 | 3.50 |
14.33 Jan 1982 - Dec 1991 |
3.26 Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
15 Years |
7.95 | 4.21 |
12.83 Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
4.03 Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00% |
20 Years |
7.84 | 4.62 |
11.86 Mar 1982 - Feb 2002 |
4.62 Jun 2003 - May 2023 |
0.00% |
30 Years |
7.99 | 6.10 |
9.88 Apr 1982 - Mar 2012 |
6.10 Jun 1993 - May 2023 |
0.00% |
If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?
In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.
Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area
The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 3.50% (updated at May 31, 2023).
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio?
For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.64
60% |
-1.08
20% |
-0.34
40% |
0.43
80% |
0.24
60% |
0.44
60% |
1.48
100% |
0.66
80% |
-1.58
0% |
-0.14
60% |
1.51
80% |
-0.14
40% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.64
|
99.56
|
99.22
|
99.64
|
99.88
|
100.31
|
101.80
|
102.47
|
100.85
|
100.71
|
102.23
|
102.09
|
Best |
2.5 2023 |
0.6 2019 |
2.2 2023 |
4.3 2020 |
1.6 2020 |
2.3 2019 |
2.9 2022 |
2.2 2019 |
-0.2 2018 |
1.9 2021 |
3.6 2022 |
0.9 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-1.9 2023 |
-2.5 2022 |
0.3 2018 |
-2.7 2022 |
-4.5 2022 |
-2.9 2018 |
-0.8 2021 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.74
80% |
-0.31
50% |
-0.04
50% |
0.29
70% |
0.64
80% |
0.25
60% |
1.21
90% |
0.28
60% |
-0.61
40% |
0.36
70% |
0.77
70% |
0.01
50% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.74
|
100.43
|
100.39
|
100.68
|
101.33
|
101.58
|
102.80
|
103.09
|
102.46
|
102.83
|
103.63
|
103.64
|
Best |
2.5 2023 |
1.7 2014 |
2.2 2023 |
4.3 2020 |
1.6 2014 |
2.3 2019 |
2.9 2022 |
2.2 2019 |
1.6 2013 |
1.9 2021 |
3.6 2022 |
0.9 2020 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-1.9 2023 |
-2.5 2022 |
-0.4 2014 |
-2.7 2022 |
-4.5 2022 |
-2.9 2018 |
-2.2 2016 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return (%) | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Average Gain Frequency |
0.81
81% |
0.31
67% |
0.28
57% |
0.69
74% |
0.67
67% |
0.61
71% |
0.93
76% |
0.80
76% |
0.36
61% |
0.75
76% |
0.89
71% |
0.89
71% |
Capital Growth on monthly avg returns | ||||||||||||
100
|
100.81
|
101.12
|
101.41
|
102.10
|
102.79
|
103.41
|
104.37
|
105.21
|
105.59
|
106.39
|
107.33
|
108.28
|
Best |
3.6 1987 |
4.2 1986 |
4.1 1986 |
4.3 2020 |
5.8 1985 |
3.0 1988 |
4.0 1997 |
6.4 1982 |
4.1 1982 |
6.3 1982 |
3.6 2022 |
4.8 1991 |
Worst |
-3.5 2022 |
-3.1 2023 |
-3.3 2020 |
-5.7 2022 |
-3.7 1984 |
-2.5 2022 |
-2.5 1983 |
-2.7 1990 |
-4.5 2022 |
-5.3 2008 |
-2.2 2016 |
-1.4 2022 |
Monthly/Yearly Returns
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio data source starts from January 1982: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.
- Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
- Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
Yearly Return(%) |
Monthly Return(%) |
|||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Total | Infl.Adj | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
2023 |
+0.61 | -1.57 | 2.5 | -3.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | -1.9 | |||||||
2022 |
-14.14 | -19.35 | -3.5 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -5.7 | 0.6 | -2.5 | 2.9 | -2.7 | -4.5 | 1.3 | 3.6 | -1.4 |
2021 |
+1.18 | -5.47 | -0.4 | -1.4 | -1.3 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.9 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
2020 |
+12.14 | +10.63 | 2.3 | -0.1 | -3.3 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
2019 |
+12.52 | +10.00 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
2018 |
-0.42 | -2.29 | 0.7 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | -0.2 | -2.9 | 0.8 | -0.1 |
2017 |
+10.35 | +8.07 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
2016 |
+3.02 | +0.93 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | -0.6 | 0.2 | -1.1 | -2.2 | 0.5 |
2015 |
+2.23 | +1.49 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -1.0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
2014 |
+7.58 | +6.77 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 1.8 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -0.1 |
2013 |
+5.23 | +3.68 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 1.5 | -1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
2012 |
+5.51 | +3.71 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
2011 |
+7.52 | +4.43 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 1.2 |
2010 |
+8.56 | +6.96 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 0.6 |
2009 |
+6.40 | +3.58 | -3.5 | -2.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 2.3 | -0.8 |
2008 |
-2.70 | -2.79 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 0.9 | -2.2 | -5.3 | 2.3 | 4.5 |
2007 |
+9.07 | +4.79 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
2006 |
+5.53 | +2.91 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
2005 |
+5.74 | +2.25 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
2004 |
+6.73 | +3.37 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -2.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
2003 |
+8.38 | +6.38 | -0.5 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | -2.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 |
2002 |
+4.15 | +1.73 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 1.6 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
2001 |
+3.27 | +1.69 | 2.2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1.5 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
2000 |
+7.19 | +3.68 | -1.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -0.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1.4 |
1999 |
+7.48 | +4.67 | 1.7 | -1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -0.8 | 1.0 | -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
1998 |
+16.62 | +14.77 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
1997 |
+14.93 | +13.00 | 1.5 | 0.3 | -1.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
1996 |
+8.83 | +5.33 | 1.3 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.1 | -1.1 |
1995 |
+23.01 | +19.96 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
1994 |
-2.34 | -4.89 | 1.8 | -2.0 | -2.7 | -0.5 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | -1.7 | 0.5 | -1.0 | 0.8 |
1993 |
+10.39 | +7.44 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.9 | 0.7 |
1992 |
+6.58 | +3.57 | -1.5 | 0.7 | -0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
1991 |
+19.58 | +16.02 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -1.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 4.8 |
1990 |
+7.22 | +1.05 | -2.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -1.1 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
1989 |
+19.47 | +14.16 | 2.4 | -0.8 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1988 |
+7.30 | +2.76 | 3.2 | 1.7 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 3.0 | -0.6 | -0.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | -1.1 | 0.6 |
1987 |
+1.70 | -2.62 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -2.7 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -2.3 | -3.1 | -1.2 | 2.8 |
1986 |
+16.62 | +15.36 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -3.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | -0.6 |
1985 |
+24.27 | +19.72 | 3.2 | -1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 1.0 | -0.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
1984 |
+11.85 | +7.60 | 1.2 | -1.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -3.7 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
1983 |
+7.57 | +3.64 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | -1.6 | 0.8 | -2.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | -0.2 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
1982 |
+31.00 | +26.16 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | -1.7 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Portofolio Returns, up to December 2013, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
In particular, it has been used:
- MTUM - iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr: simulated historical serie, up to December 2013
- BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
Compared to the Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Golden Butterfly | +7.52 | 7.52 | -17.79 | 40 | 40 | 20 | ||
Simplified Permanent Portfolio | +6.79 | 6.79 | -16.43 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Desert Portfolio | +6.48 | 5.42 | -14.72 | 30 | 60 | 10 | ||
Permanent Portfolio | +6.41 | 6.46 | -15.92 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +6.10 | 4.82 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 |
The following portfolios share asset allocation strategy and/or similar asset weights.
5 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 | +2.78 | 7.00 | -16.57 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +1.89 | 6.99 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 |
Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Low Risk categorization.
30 Years Stats (%) |
% Allocation |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | Return▾ | Dev.Std | Drawdown | Stocks | Bonds | Comm | ||
High Yield Bonds Income | +6.57 | 8.71 | -23.97 | 0 | 100 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum | +6.10 | 4.82 | -17.91 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
All Country World 20/80 | +5.75 | 5.54 | -17.97 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 | +5.62 | 4.76 | -16.57 | 20 | 80 | 0 | ||
Dimensional Retirement Income Fund | +5.48 | 4.78 | -12.91 | 20.4 | 79.6 | 0 |