Xtrackers II Global Inflation-Linked Bond EUR Hedged (XGIN.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: October 1989 - June 2025 (~36 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Xtrackers II Global Inflation-Linked Bond EUR Hedged (XGIN.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~36 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 127 months (from April 2013 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 128 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 30 June 2025 (~36 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1989/10 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.25%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 30 June 2025 (~36 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1989/10 - 2025/06)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 30 June 2025 (~36 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-18.81%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.19% +20.10%
Jul 1990 - Jun 1991
17.22%
72 out of 418
-25.87%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2022
+3.23% +15.92%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
27.99%
117 out of 418
-11.49%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+4.96% +12.77%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1992
11.08%
45 out of 406
-17.04%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.18% +9.61%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2004
16.50%
67 out of 406
-6.81%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2024
+4.98% +12.05%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
9.14%
36 out of 394
-11.39%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.17% +8.12%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
12.94%
51 out of 394
-4.14%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
+5.11% +11.08%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1994
8.90%
34 out of 382
-8.58%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
+3.11% +7.41%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2012
11.78%
45 out of 382
-2.63%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2025
+5.30% +8.48%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1995
9.19%
34 out of 370
-6.42%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+3.37% +6.10%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2005
10.54%
39 out of 370
-1.60%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.36% +8.24%
May 1990 - Apr 1996
9.78%
35 out of 358
-4.79%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.50% +5.46%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2014
10.61%
38 out of 358
-1.78%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.20% +8.72%
Aug 1990 - Jul 1997
7.51%
26 out of 346
-4.71%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.41% +5.59%
Jun 1996 - May 2003
11.27%
39 out of 346
-0.80%
Jun 2017 - May 2025
+5.33% +8.05%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1998
6.89%
23 out of 334
-3.65%
Jun 2017 - May 2025
+3.34% +5.50%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2003
11.08%
37 out of 334
-0.40%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
+5.44% +7.73%
Jul 1990 - Jun 1999
3.42%
11 out of 322
-3.08%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
+3.40% +5.42%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2004
10.56%
34 out of 322
-0.15%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+5.30% +7.44%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2000
1.29%
4 out of 310
-2.64%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+3.40% +5.18%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2005
11.61%
36 out of 310
+0.12%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+5.26% +7.35%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2001
0.00%
0 out of 298
-1.99%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+3.36% +5.08%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2004
11.41%
34 out of 298
+0.31%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.39% +7.48%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2002
0.00%
0 out of 286
-1.81%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+3.37% +4.99%
Oct 1992 - Sep 2004
11.19%
32 out of 286
+0.68%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
+5.48% +7.73%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2003
0.00%
0 out of 274
-1.38%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
+3.49% +5.14%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2003
10.22%
28 out of 274
+1.37%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+5.53% +7.60%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2004
0.00%
0 out of 262
-0.73%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+3.54% +5.09%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2004
8.40%
22 out of 262
+1.73%
Jun 2010 - May 2025
+5.42% +7.59%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2005
0.00%
0 out of 250
-0.41%
Jun 2010 - May 2025
+3.51% +5.04%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2005
4.80%
12 out of 250
+2.02%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2024
+5.40% +7.28%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2006
0.00%
0 out of 238
-0.00%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2024
+3.47% +4.78%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2006
0.84%
2 out of 238
+1.96%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2025
+5.34% +6.85%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2007
0.00%
0 out of 226
-0.06%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2025
+3.46% +4.39%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2007
2.21%
5 out of 226
+2.11%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+5.27% +6.96%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2008
0.00%
0 out of 214
+0.00%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+3.44% +4.45%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2008
0.00%
0 out of 214
+2.14%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2024
+5.24% +6.50%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2009
0.00%
0 out of 202
+0.05%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2024
+3.46% +4.24%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2012
0.00%
0 out of 202
+2.19%
Jun 2005 - May 2025
+5.11% +6.55%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2010
0.00%
0 out of 190
+0.08%
Jun 2005 - May 2025
+3.33% +4.20%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2013
0.00%
0 out of 190
+3.30%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2025
+5.06% +6.35%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 130
+1.16%
Jun 2000 - May 2025
+3.30% +4.15%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 130
+3.78%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2024
+4.62% +5.71%
Aug 1990 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 70
+1.71%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2024
+2.56% +3.70%
Aug 1990 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 70
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