Xtrackers II Global Inflation-Linked Bond EUR Hedged (XGIN.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: October 1989 - February 2026 (~36 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Xtrackers II Global Inflation-Linked Bond EUR Hedged (XGIN.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~36 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 131 months (from February 2015 to December 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 132 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 28 February 2026 (~36 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1989/10 - 2026/02)

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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.47%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 28 February 2026 (~36 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1989/10 - 2026/02)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

XTRACKERS II GLOBAL INFLATION-LINKED BOND EUR HEDGED (XGIN.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1989 - 28 February 2026 (~36 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-18.81%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.06% +20.10%
Jul 1990 - Jun 1991
17.61%
75 out of 426
-25.87%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2022
+3.04% +15.92%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009
28.64%
122 out of 426
-11.49%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+4.88% +12.77%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1992
11.11%
46 out of 414
-17.04%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.13% +9.61%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2004
17.39%
72 out of 414
-6.81%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2024
+4.92% +12.05%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
9.45%
38 out of 402
-11.39%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+3.11% +8.12%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
14.68%
59 out of 402
-4.89%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2025
+5.03% +11.08%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1994
10.77%
42 out of 390
-8.88%
Aug 2021 - Jul 2025
+3.09% +7.41%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2012
13.59%
53 out of 390
-2.95%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+5.24% +8.48%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1995
11.11%
42 out of 378
-6.85%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2025
+3.32% +6.10%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2005
12.43%
47 out of 378
-2.02%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+5.25% +8.24%
May 1990 - Apr 1996
11.75%
43 out of 366
-5.35%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+3.45% +5.46%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2014
12.57%
46 out of 366
-1.78%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.17% +8.72%
Aug 1990 - Jul 1997
9.32%
33 out of 354
-4.71%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.38% +5.59%
Jun 1996 - May 2003
13.28%
47 out of 354
-0.80%
Jun 2017 - May 2025
+5.29% +8.05%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1998
9.06%
31 out of 342
-3.68%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2025
+3.30% +5.50%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2003
13.16%
45 out of 342
-0.78%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2025
+5.41% +7.73%
Jul 1990 - Jun 1999
5.76%
19 out of 330
-3.55%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2025
+3.37% +5.42%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2004
12.73%
42 out of 330
-0.15%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+5.17% +7.44%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2000
1.26%
4 out of 318
-2.64%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+3.37% +5.18%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2005
13.84%
44 out of 318
+0.02%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+5.15% +7.35%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2001
0.00%
0 out of 306
-2.40%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+3.22% +5.08%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2004
13.73%
42 out of 306
+0.31%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.32% +7.48%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2002
0.00%
0 out of 294
-1.81%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+3.35% +4.99%
Oct 1992 - Sep 2004
13.61%
40 out of 294
+0.54%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2025
+5.47% +7.73%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2003
0.00%
0 out of 282
-1.52%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2026
+3.46% +5.14%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2003
12.77%
36 out of 282
+0.93%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+5.49% +7.60%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2004
0.00%
0 out of 270
-1.15%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+3.51% +5.09%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2004
11.11%
30 out of 270
+1.57%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+5.39% +7.59%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2005
0.00%
0 out of 258
-0.61%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+3.47% +5.04%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2005
7.75%
20 out of 258
+1.83%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2025
+5.36% +7.28%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2006
0.00%
0 out of 246
-0.31%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2025
+3.43% +4.78%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2006
4.07%
10 out of 246
+1.84%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2025
+5.32% +6.85%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2007
0.00%
0 out of 234
-0.19%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2025
+3.41% +4.39%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2007
2.99%
7 out of 234
+1.99%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026
+5.24% +6.96%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2008
0.00%
0 out of 222
-0.03%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026
+3.42% +4.45%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2008
0.45%
1 out of 222
+2.14%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2024
+5.21% +6.50%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2009
0.00%
0 out of 210
+0.05%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2024
+3.37% +4.24%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2012
0.00%
0 out of 210
+2.14%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+5.06% +6.55%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2010
0.00%
0 out of 198
+0.03%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+3.25% +4.20%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2013
0.00%
0 out of 198
+3.18%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026
+5.03% +6.35%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 138
+1.07%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026
+3.27% +4.15%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 138
+3.68%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026
+4.39% +5.71%
Aug 1990 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 78
+1.62%
Jan 1996 - Dec 2025
+2.30% +3.70%
Aug 1990 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 78
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