Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged (DBZB.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: August 1974 - June 2025 (~51 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged (DBZB.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~51 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 142 months (from January 2012 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 143 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 30 June 2025 (~51 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1974/08 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.37%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 30 June 2025 (~51 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1974/08 - 2025/06)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 30 June 2025 (~51 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.11%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+4.84% +36.88%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
21.83%
131 out of 600
-22.89%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.25% +30.57%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
30.67%
184 out of 600
-9.35%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+4.39% +23.77%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1982
12.07%
71 out of 588
-15.32%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+2.58% +17.43%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1983
25.85%
152 out of 588
-7.12%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+4.85% +21.75%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1977
9.90%
57 out of 576
-12.21%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.39% +16.46%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1977
19.97%
115 out of 576
-4.74%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+5.34% +19.01%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1978
7.98%
45 out of 564
-8.81%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+3.05% +14.29%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1978
19.68%
111 out of 564
-3.08%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+5.49% +15.42%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
7.07%
39 out of 552
-6.89%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+3.25% +11.36%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986
18.66%
103 out of 552
-2.33%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.27% +15.37%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
7.41%
40 out of 540
-5.49%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+2.84% +11.55%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
17.04%
92 out of 540
-2.37%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.80% +14.37%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1982
7.39%
39 out of 528
-5.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.01% +10.79%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
16.86%
89 out of 528
-1.73%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+6.22% +14.97%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1982
6.78%
35 out of 516
-4.51%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+3.62% +10.08%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988
11.82%
61 out of 516
-1.27%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
+6.24% +14.69%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1983
6.35%
32 out of 504
-3.93%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2025
+4.04% +10.15%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1989
8.93%
45 out of 504
-0.77%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+6.17% +13.79%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1984
5.89%
29 out of 492
-3.25%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+4.10% +9.15%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1984
8.54%
42 out of 492
-0.35%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+6.06% +13.73%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1985
1.88%
9 out of 480
-2.39%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+3.91% +9.24%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1985
8.13%
39 out of 480
+0.04%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
+5.90% +13.35%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1986
0.00%
0 out of 468
-2.05%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+3.78% +9.28%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1986
8.33%
39 out of 468
+0.26%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
+5.67% +12.63%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1987
0.00%
0 out of 456
-1.87%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+3.56% +8.85%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1987
8.55%
39 out of 456
+0.62%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+5.50% +12.90%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1988
0.00%
0 out of 444
-1.53%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+3.39% +9.28%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1988
8.78%
39 out of 444
+0.74%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2023
+5.67% +12.60%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1989
0.00%
0 out of 432
-1.30%
Jun 2010 - May 2025
+3.44% +9.04%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1989
9.26%
40 out of 432
+0.57%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.51% +11.40%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1990
0.00%
0 out of 420
-1.50%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.21% +7.89%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1990
9.76%
41 out of 420
+0.55%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.27% +11.56%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1991
0.00%
0 out of 408
-1.54%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+2.98% +7.92%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1991
9.80%
40 out of 408
+0.54%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+5.42% +11.17%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1992
0.00%
0 out of 396
-1.53%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+3.00% +7.55%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1992
10.10%
40 out of 396
+0.71%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+5.30% +11.62%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1993
0.00%
0 out of 384
-1.38%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+2.86% +7.97%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1993
10.42%
40 out of 384
+0.80%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025
+5.26% +10.83%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1994
0.00%
0 out of 372
-1.27%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2025
+2.85% +7.25%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1994
10.48%
39 out of 372
+1.57%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+5.36% +10.31%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1999
0.00%
0 out of 312
-0.55%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+3.03% +7.09%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1999
9.94%
31 out of 312
+2.52%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+5.47% +9.36%
Aug 1974 - Jul 2004
0.00%
0 out of 252
+0.43%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+3.35% +6.31%
Aug 1974 - Jul 2004
0.00%
0 out of 252
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