Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged (DBZB.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: August 1974 - February 2026 (~52 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Xtrackers Global Government Bond Eur Hedged (DBZB.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~52 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 142 months (from January 2012 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 143 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 28 February 2026 (~52 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1974/08 - 2026/02)

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As of Feb 28, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.66%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 1996 - 28 February 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 28 February 2026 (~52 years)
30 Years
(1996/03 - 2026/02)
All Data
(1974/08 - 2026/02)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

XTRACKERS GLOBAL GOVERNMENT BOND EUR HEDGED (DBZB.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1974 - 28 February 2026 (~52 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-15.11%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+4.79% +36.88%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
22.04%
134 out of 608
-22.89%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.09% +30.57%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
31.41%
191 out of 608
-9.35%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+4.37% +23.77%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1982
11.91%
71 out of 596
-15.32%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+2.42% +17.43%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1983
26.17%
156 out of 596
-7.12%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+4.80% +21.75%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1977
10.10%
59 out of 584
-12.21%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.34% +16.46%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1977
21.06%
123 out of 584
-4.74%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+5.30% +19.01%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1978
9.27%
53 out of 572
-8.81%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+3.00% +14.29%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1978
20.80%
119 out of 572
-3.30%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+5.39% +15.42%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
8.39%
47 out of 560
-7.17%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+3.17% +11.36%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986
19.82%
111 out of 560
-2.40%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+5.15% +15.37%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
8.76%
48 out of 548
-5.72%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+2.79% +11.55%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
18.25%
100 out of 548
-2.37%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.72% +14.37%
Nov 1975 - Oct 1982
8.77%
47 out of 536
-5.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+2.87% +10.79%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
18.10%
97 out of 536
-1.73%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+6.09% +14.97%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1982
8.21%
43 out of 524
-4.51%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+3.56% +10.08%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988
13.17%
69 out of 524
-1.32%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+6.16% +14.69%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1983
7.81%
40 out of 512
-4.07%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+3.87% +10.15%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1989
10.35%
53 out of 512
-0.77%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+6.12% +13.79%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1984
7.40%
37 out of 500
-3.30%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
+4.03% +9.15%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1984
10.00%
50 out of 500
-0.60%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+5.93% +13.73%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1985
3.48%
17 out of 488
-3.00%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2026
+3.80% +9.24%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1985
9.63%
47 out of 488
+0.04%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
+5.78% +13.35%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1986
0.00%
0 out of 476
-2.05%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+3.72% +9.28%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1986
9.87%
47 out of 476
+0.20%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
+5.58% +12.63%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1987
0.00%
0 out of 464
-1.92%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
+3.51% +8.85%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1987
10.13%
47 out of 464
+0.43%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+5.21% +12.90%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1988
0.00%
0 out of 452
-1.64%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+3.20% +9.28%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1988
10.40%
47 out of 452
+0.65%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+5.35% +12.60%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1989
0.00%
0 out of 440
-1.52%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+3.11% +9.04%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1989
10.91%
48 out of 440
+0.57%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.30% +11.40%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1990
0.00%
0 out of 428
-1.50%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.04% +7.89%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1990
11.45%
49 out of 428
+0.55%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.15% +11.56%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1991
0.00%
0 out of 416
-1.54%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+2.91% +7.92%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1991
11.54%
48 out of 416
+0.54%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+5.13% +11.17%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1992
0.00%
0 out of 404
-1.53%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+2.92% +7.55%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1992
11.88%
48 out of 404
+0.71%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+5.14% +11.62%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1993
0.00%
0 out of 392
-1.38%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+2.82% +7.97%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1993
12.24%
48 out of 392
+0.78%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+5.19% +10.83%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1994
0.00%
0 out of 380
-1.30%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2025
+2.81% +7.25%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1994
12.37%
47 out of 380
+1.52%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026
+5.26% +10.31%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1999
0.00%
0 out of 320
-0.57%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2026
+3.02% +7.09%
Aug 1974 - Jul 1999
12.19%
39 out of 320
+2.48%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026
+5.30% +9.36%
Aug 1974 - Jul 2004
0.00%
0 out of 260
+0.43%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+3.29% +6.31%
Aug 1974 - Jul 2004
0.00%
0 out of 260
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