Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024
Holding the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond EUR Hedged (VDCE.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all the available data source (~75 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 126 months (from April 1971 to September 1981).
This means that every rolling period of 127 months or above has always granted a positive return.
To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond EUR Hedged (VDCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?
In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.
Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area
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The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 1.16% (updated at Jun 30, 2024).
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +4.59% |
+36.23%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1983 |
-20.72%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
21.63%
191 out of 883 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +2.41% |
+35.04%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
-28.34%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
35.90%
317 out of 883 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +4.95% |
+27.15%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
-12.26%
Oct 1979 - Sep 1981 |
15.15%
132 out of 871 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.32% |
+25.88%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986 |
-17.21%
Oct 1979 - Sep 1981 |
27.78%
242 out of 871 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.22% |
+20.43%
Sep 1990 - Aug 1993 |
-9.81%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981 |
9.55%
82 out of 859 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.13% |
+16.92%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986 |
-14.68%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981 |
21.19%
182 out of 859 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.11% |
+20.35%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986 |
-7.93%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981 |
6.49%
55 out of 847 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +2.98% |
+18.16%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986 |
-12.17%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981 |
20.90%
177 out of 847 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.02% |
+19.45%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
-4.55%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981 |
4.07%
34 out of 835 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +2.94% |
+16.72%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
-8.76%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981 |
21.08%
176 out of 835 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +4.89% |
+14.93%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987 |
-1.09%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
2.43%
20 out of 823 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +2.84% |
+12.90%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1988 |
-5.31%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1982 |
21.87%
180 out of 823 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +4.99% |
+14.63%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988 |
-0.64%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
0.62%
5 out of 811 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +2.83% |
+12.52%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988 |
-4.40%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1980 |
20.96%
170 out of 811 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.23% |
+13.72%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989 |
-0.75%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981 |
0.38%
3 out of 799 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.06% |
+11.48%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989 |
-5.48%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981 |
19.65%
157 out of 799 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.37% |
+13.89%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993 |
-0.38%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981 |
0.38%
3 out of 787 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.06% |
+11.32%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993 |
-5.26%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981 |
15.63%
123 out of 787 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.31% |
+13.42%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1991 |
-0.12%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981 |
0.13%
1 out of 775 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.28% |
+10.76%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1992 |
-5.09%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981 |
16.13%
125 out of 775 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.31% |
+13.89%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992 |
+0.59%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 763 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.25% |
+11.25%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1993 |
-3.96%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1982 |
17.17%
131 out of 763 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.28% |
+14.34%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 |
+1.50%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 751 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.24% |
+11.44%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 |
-3.12%
Sep 1969 - Aug 1981 |
16.78%
126 out of 751 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.41% |
+13.03%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1994 |
+1.10%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 739 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.22% |
+10.29%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1995 |
-3.65%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981 |
14.75%
109 out of 739 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.55% |
+13.21%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995 |
+1.31%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 727 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.27% |
+10.33%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995 |
-3.21%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981 |
14.17%
103 out of 727 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.62% |
+12.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996 |
+1.48%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 715 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.30% |
+9.73%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996 |
-2.86%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981 |
12.87%
92 out of 715 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.75% |
+12.30%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997 |
+1.38%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 703 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.29% |
+9.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997 |
-2.87%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981 |
12.38%
87 out of 703 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.94% |
+12.17%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 |
+1.47%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 691 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.42% |
+9.52%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 |
-2.75%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981 |
11.87%
82 out of 691 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.85% |
+11.19%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999 |
+1.59%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 679 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.60% |
+8.64%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999 |
-2.55%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981 |
10.75%
73 out of 679 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.88% |
+10.81%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000 |
+1.70%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 667 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.64% |
+8.26%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000 |
-2.37%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981 |
9.60%
64 out of 667 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +5.92% |
+10.94%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001 |
+1.87%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981 |
0.00%
0 out of 655 |
Euro Inflation Adjusted | +3.62% |
+8.39%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001 |
-2.11%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981 |
10.23%
67 out of 655 |
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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond EUR Hedged (VDCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.