Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from August 1953 to May 2024 (~71 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2024

Holding the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~71 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 109 months (from February 1971 to February 1980).

This means that every rolling period of 110 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

VANGUARD USD CORPORATE BOND (VUCE.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to May 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 4.80% (updated at May 31, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD USD CORPORATE BOND (VUCE.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 June 1994 - 31 May 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 August 1953 - 31 May 2024 (~71 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +3.70% +66.57%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
-19.56%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973
33.37%
280 out of 839
Euro Inflation Adjusted +1.46% +58.89%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
-25.04%
Aug 1972 - Jul 1973
44.46%
373 out of 839
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.09% +45.45%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1982
-10.18%
Jun 1985 - May 1987
23.46%
194 out of 827
Euro Inflation Adjusted +1.70% +39.64%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1984
-15.41%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1975
39.30%
325 out of 827
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.73% +40.08%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
-8.13%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
15.95%
130 out of 815
Euro Inflation Adjusted +2.36% +36.05%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
-12.01%
Dec 1971 - Nov 1974
31.90%
260 out of 815
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.01% +36.06%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
-5.80%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1975
12.58%
101 out of 803
Euro Inflation Adjusted +2.70% +31.00%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
-11.35%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1975
27.40%
220 out of 803
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.92% +34.04%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
-3.25%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008
6.57%
52 out of 791
Euro Inflation Adjusted +2.48% +28.74%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
-7.03%
Apr 1970 - Mar 1975
24.78%
196 out of 791
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.94% +26.45%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
-4.10%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
5.26%
41 out of 779
Euro Inflation Adjusted +2.50% +22.27%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
-6.40%
May 1969 - Apr 1975
22.46%
175 out of 779
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.52% +21.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
-3.52%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
4.17%
32 out of 767
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.05% +17.66%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
-5.74%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
22.16%
170 out of 767
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.74% +18.04%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988
-1.58%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2008
2.91%
22 out of 755
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.38% +14.96%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
-4.71%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980
21.59%
163 out of 755
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.49% +17.54%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1989
-0.34%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980
0.27%
2 out of 743
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.30% +14.63%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1989
-5.15%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980
21.80%
162 out of 743
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.89% +17.71%
Jun 1975 - May 1985
+0.30%
May 1965 - Apr 1975
0.00%
0 out of 731
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.33% +13.20%
Jun 1975 - May 1985
-4.09%
Mar 1970 - Feb 1980
17.24%
126 out of 731
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.04% +16.03%
Apr 1975 - Mar 1986
+0.66%
May 1964 - Apr 1975
0.00%
0 out of 719
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.90% +11.85%
Apr 1975 - Mar 1986
-3.50%
Mar 1969 - Feb 1980
15.02%
108 out of 719
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.02% +15.09%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
+0.76%
Feb 1963 - Jan 1975
0.00%
0 out of 707
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.87% +11.81%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
-3.47%
Mar 1968 - Feb 1980
16.27%
115 out of 707
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.90% +15.48%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
+0.96%
May 1962 - Apr 1975
0.00%
0 out of 695
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.75% +12.16%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
-2.96%
Mar 1967 - Feb 1980
15.54%
108 out of 695
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.12% +15.20%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
+1.02%
Feb 1961 - Jan 1975
0.00%
0 out of 683
Euro Inflation Adjusted +3.90% +11.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
-2.69%
May 1961 - Apr 1975
15.81%
108 out of 683
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.27% +13.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
+1.44%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980
0.00%
0 out of 671
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.18% +10.10%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
-2.64%
Mar 1965 - Feb 1980
15.50%
104 out of 671
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.24% +13.48%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
+1.56%
Feb 1959 - Jan 1975
0.00%
0 out of 659
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.02% +10.26%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
-2.34%
Mar 1964 - Feb 1980
15.17%
100 out of 659
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.40% +13.55%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1997
+1.33%
May 1958 - Apr 1975
0.00%
0 out of 647
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.01% +10.40%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1997
-2.21%
Mar 1963 - Feb 1980
13.29%
86 out of 647
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.57% +13.67%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
+1.79%
Mar 1962 - Feb 1980
0.00%
0 out of 635
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.07% +10.62%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
-2.04%
Mar 1962 - Feb 1980
13.39%
85 out of 635
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.66% +13.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
+1.67%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980
0.00%
0 out of 623
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.12% +10.31%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2000
-2.12%
Mar 1961 - Feb 1980
12.84%
80 out of 623
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.83% +13.54%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
+1.90%
Feb 1955 - Jan 1975
0.00%
0 out of 611
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.05% +10.69%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
-1.56%
Mar 1960 - Feb 1980
12.77%
78 out of 611
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.