Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1975 to April 2024 (~49 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~49 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 105 months (from April 2001 to December 2009).

This means that every rolling period of 106 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

VANGUARD USD CORPORATE BOND (VUCE.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to April 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 5.13% (updated at Apr 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD USD CORPORATE BOND (VUCE.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1975 - 30 April 2024 (~49 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.69% +66.57%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
-18.63%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980
33.22%
193 out of 581
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.71% +58.89%
Nov 1981 - Oct 1982
-23.17%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980
39.41%
229 out of 581
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.39% +45.45%
Nov 1980 - Oct 1982
-10.18%
Jun 1985 - May 1987
25.31%
144 out of 569
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.20% +39.64%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1984
-13.63%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980
35.68%
203 out of 569
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.12% +40.08%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
-8.13%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
17.24%
96 out of 557
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.68% +36.05%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985
-11.55%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980
28.73%
160 out of 557
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.25% +36.06%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
-3.49%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2008
14.50%
79 out of 545
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.01% +31.00%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1985
-6.91%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980
22.75%
124 out of 545
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.17% +34.04%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
-3.25%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008
6.94%
37 out of 533
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.07% +28.74%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
-5.64%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008
18.01%
96 out of 533
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.69% +26.45%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
-4.10%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
5.18%
27 out of 521
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.51% +22.27%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
-6.27%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
12.67%
66 out of 521
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.82% +21.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
-3.52%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
5.30%
27 out of 509
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.68% +17.66%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1987
-5.74%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
10.81%
55 out of 509
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.90% +18.04%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988
-1.58%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2008
3.62%
18 out of 497
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.80% +14.96%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988
-3.82%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2008
9.05%
45 out of 497
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.93% +17.54%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1989
+0.18%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
0.00%
0 out of 485
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.99% +14.63%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1989
-1.84%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
7.84%
38 out of 485
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.65% +17.71%
Jun 1975 - May 1985
+0.72%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011
0.00%
0 out of 473
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.93% +13.20%
Jun 1975 - May 1985
-1.31%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011
3.38%
16 out of 473
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.24% +16.03%
Apr 1975 - Mar 1986
+2.15%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2008
0.00%
0 out of 461
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.31% +11.85%
Apr 1975 - Mar 1986
+0.02%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2008
0.00%
0 out of 461
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.48% +15.09%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
+2.07%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014
0.00%
0 out of 449
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.24% +11.81%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992
+0.13%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014
0.00%
0 out of 449
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.36% +15.48%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
+2.54%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014
0.00%
0 out of 437
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.26% +12.16%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993
+0.54%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2014
0.00%
0 out of 437
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.23% +15.20%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
+3.70%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
0.00%
0 out of 425
Euro Inflation Adjusted +5.22% +11.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
+1.64%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
0.00%
0 out of 425
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.89% +13.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
+3.49%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2008
0.00%
0 out of 413
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.77% +10.10%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995
+1.30%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2008
0.00%
0 out of 413
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.78% +13.48%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
+3.17%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2018
0.00%
0 out of 401
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.68% +10.26%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
+1.53%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2018
0.00%
0 out of 401
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.89% +13.55%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1997
+3.44%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018
0.00%
0 out of 389
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.55% +10.40%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1997
+1.71%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018
0.00%
0 out of 389
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.80% +13.67%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
+3.86%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 377
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.52% +10.62%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
+2.09%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
0.00%
0 out of 377
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.66% +13.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
+3.83%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2021
0.00%
0 out of 365
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.49% +10.31%
Nov 1981 - Oct 2000
+2.25%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2021
0.00%
0 out of 365
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.78% +13.54%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
+3.86%
Jun 2001 - May 2021
0.00%
0 out of 353
Euro Inflation Adjusted +4.56% +10.69%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
+2.02%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 353
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard USD Corporate Bond (VUCE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns page.