Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024
Holding the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Index (VGSH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all the available data source (~15 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 49 months (from April 2020 to April 2024).
This means that every rolling period of 50 months or above has always granted a positive return.
To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Index (VGSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.61% |
+5.49%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-5.04%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
20.25%
33 out of 163 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.23% |
+4.92%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
-12.24%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
73.01%
119 out of 163 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.64% |
+4.17%
May 2018 - Apr 2020 |
-2.62%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
16.56%
25 out of 151 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.14% |
+2.98%
Jun 2018 - May 2020 |
-8.98%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
80.79%
122 out of 151 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.64% |
+2.83%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2021 |
-1.20%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023 |
15.83%
22 out of 139 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.01% |
+1.01%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2021 |
-6.58%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023 |
86.33%
120 out of 139 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.65% |
+2.12%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2020 |
-0.12%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
1.57%
2 out of 127 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.83% |
+0.43%
Jun 2016 - May 2020 |
-5.02%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
91.34%
116 out of 127 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.89% |
+1.84%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
+0.39%
May 2013 - Apr 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 115 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.84% |
+0.25%
Jun 2015 - May 2020 |
-3.23%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
95.65%
110 out of 115 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.84% |
+1.66%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2020 |
+0.39%
May 2012 - Apr 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 103 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.93% |
+0.33%
Jun 2014 - May 2020 |
-3.00%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 |
92.23%
95 out of 103 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.80% |
+1.50%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 |
+0.45%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 91 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.03% |
+0.07%
Jun 2013 - May 2020 |
-2.85%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023 |
96.70%
88 out of 91 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.92% |
+1.34%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
+0.52%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 79 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.05% |
-0.08%
May 2012 - Apr 2020 |
-2.49%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
100.00%
79 out of 79 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.98% |
+1.34%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
+0.53%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 67 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.87% |
-0.18%
Jun 2011 - May 2020 |
-2.18%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 |
100.00%
67 out of 67 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.99% |
+1.36%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
+0.52%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 55 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.50% |
-0.31%
May 2010 - Apr 2020 |
-2.01%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2023 |
100.00%
55 out of 55 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.88% |
+1.33%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 |
+0.50%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 43 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.71% |
-0.38%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 |
-1.96%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2022 |
100.00%
43 out of 43 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.76% |
+1.17%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 |
+0.54%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 31 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.76% |
-0.97%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 |
-2.00%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
100.00%
31 out of 31 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.80% |
+0.93%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+0.68%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 19 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.71% |
-1.61%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
-1.92%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
100.00%
19 out of 19 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.95% |
+1.00%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 |
+0.92%
May 2010 - Apr 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 7 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.63% |
-1.50%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 |
-1.68%
May 2010 - Apr 2024 |
100.00%
7 out of 7 |
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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Index (VGSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.