Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to March 2024 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~14 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 45 months (from February 2020 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 46 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM CORPORATE BOND (VCSH) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 31 March 2024 (~14 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.17% +7.46%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2019 		-8.15%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 		14.38%
23 out of 160
US Inflation Adjusted +0.63% +5.53%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2019 		-15.11%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 		36.88%
59 out of 160
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.28% +6.29%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2020 		-3.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		13.51%
20 out of 148
US Inflation Adjusted +0.84% +4.59%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2020 		-10.01%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		30.41%
45 out of 148
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.29% +4.62%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012 		-1.25%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		13.24%
18 out of 136
US Inflation Adjusted +0.81% +2.59%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2021 		-6.59%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		28.68%
39 out of 136
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.38% +3.80%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2013 		+0.16%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 124
US Inflation Adjusted +0.71% +1.83%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2020 		-4.22%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 		25.81%
32 out of 124
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.38% +3.55%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 		+0.75%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 112
US Inflation Adjusted +0.72% +1.82%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015 		-2.98%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 		25.89%
29 out of 112
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.50% +3.16%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2020 		+0.93%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 100
US Inflation Adjusted +0.76% +1.60%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2020 		-2.52%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 		27.00%
27 out of 100
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.39% +3.05%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 		+1.23%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 88
US Inflation Adjusted +0.73% +1.51%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 		-2.10%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 		30.68%
27 out of 88
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.47% +2.91%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2019 		+1.27%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 76
US Inflation Adjusted +0.69% +1.38%
Jun 2012 - May 2020 		-1.66%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		35.53%
27 out of 76
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.55% +3.15%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020 		+1.34%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 64
US Inflation Adjusted +0.68% +1.58%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020 		-1.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 		40.63%
26 out of 64
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.29% +3.11%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2020 		+1.35%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 52
US Inflation Adjusted +0.06% +1.42%
Jun 2010 - May 2020 		-1.17%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 		48.08%
25 out of 52
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.98% +3.27%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 		+1.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 40
US Inflation Adjusted -0.50% +1.53%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 		-1.01%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		62.50%
25 out of 40
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.05% +2.94%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 		+1.74%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 28
US Inflation Adjusted -0.50% +0.77%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 		-0.84%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 		85.71%
24 out of 28
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.22% +2.31%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023 		+1.90%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 16
US Inflation Adjusted -0.38% -0.20%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023 		-0.72%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		100.00%
16 out of 16
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.43% +2.52%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 		+2.40%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 4
US Inflation Adjusted -0.19% -0.02%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 		-0.19%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024 		100.00%
4 out of 4
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.