Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to February 2024 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 29 February 2024

Holding the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~14 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 45 months (from February 2020 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 46 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD SHORT-TERM CORPORATE BOND (VCSH) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 March 2014 - 29 February 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 29 February 2024 (~14 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -8.15 10/2021
09/2022
0.91$ -0.45 0.99$ 1.86 1.01$ 5.14 1.05$ 7.46 12/2018
11/2019
1.07$ 5.68 21.10%
2Y -3.73 11/2020
10/2022
0.92$ -2.08 0.95$ 2.09 1.04$ 4.17 1.08$ 6.29 12/2018
11/2020
1.12$ 0.89 20.62%
3Y -1.25 11/2020
10/2023
0.96$ -0.21 0.99$ 2.01 1.06$ 3.91 1.12$ 4.55 05/2018
04/2021
1.14$ -0.11 21.18%
4Y 0.16 11/2019
10/2023
1.00$ 0.98 1.03$ 2.17 1.08$ 3.32 1.13$ 3.78 01/2017
12/2020
1.16$ 0.67 0.00%
5Y 0.75 11/2017
10/2022
1.03$ 1.56 1.08$ 2.40 1.12$ 3.16 1.16$ 3.55 01/2016
12/2020
1.19$ 1.91 0.00%
6Y 0.93 11/2016
10/2022
1.05$ 1.34 1.08$ 2.18 1.13$ 3.02 1.19$ 3.16 01/2015
12/2020
1.20$ 2.16 0.00%
7Y 1.23 11/2015
10/2022
1.08$ 1.41 1.10$ 1.83 1.13$ 2.76 1.21$ 2.83 08/2014
07/2021
1.21$ 1.94 0.00%
8Y 1.27 11/2014
10/2022
1.10$ 1.52 1.12$ 1.66 1.14$ 1.97 1.16$ 2.16 03/2014
02/2022
1.18$ 2.05 0.00%
9Y 1.49 03/2014
02/2023
1.14$ 1.56 1.14$ 1.67 1.16$ 1.93 1.18$ 2.03 01/2015
12/2023
1.19$ 1.93 0.00%
10Y 1.91 03/2014
02/2024
1.20$ 1.91 1.20$ 1.91 1.20$ 1.91 1.20$ 1.91 03/2014
02/2024
1.20$ 1.91 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -15.11 10/2021
09/2022
0.84$ -6.73 0.93$ 0.32 1.00$ 3.65 1.03$ 5.53 11/2018
10/2019
1.05$ 2.89 44.95%
2Y -10.01 11/2020
10/2022
0.80$ -7.67 0.85$ 0.24 1.00$ 2.07 1.04$ 4.59 12/2018
11/2020
1.09$ -3.30 45.36%
3Y -6.59 11/2020
10/2023
0.81$ -5.40 0.84$ 0.21 1.00$ 1.89 1.05$ 2.59 03/2018
02/2021
1.07$ -5.33 44.71%
4Y -4.22 11/2019
10/2023
0.84$ -3.28 0.87$ 0.10 1.00$ 1.19 1.04$ 1.83 12/2016
11/2020
1.07$ -3.70 42.47%
5Y -2.98 11/2017
10/2022
0.85$ -2.30 0.89$ 0.34 1.01$ 1.22 1.06$ 1.68 09/2015
08/2020
1.08$ -2.11 44.26%
6Y -2.52 11/2016
10/2022
0.85$ -2.24 0.87$ -0.61 0.96$ 1.40 1.08$ 1.60 08/2014
07/2020
1.09$ -1.45 53.06%
7Y -2.10 10/2016
09/2023
0.86$ -1.98 0.86$ -1.40 0.90$ 0.76 1.05$ 1.14 03/2014
02/2021
1.08$ -1.48 70.27%
8Y -1.66 11/2015
10/2023
0.87$ -1.56 0.88$ -1.39 0.89$ -0.90 0.93$ -0.22 03/2014
02/2022
0.98$ -1.29 100.00%
9Y -1.32 11/2014
10/2023
0.88$ -1.25 0.89$ -1.13 0.90$ -1.06 0.90$ -0.96 01/2015
12/2023
0.91$ -1.13 100.00%
10Y -0.85 03/2014
02/2024
0.91$ -0.85 0.91$ -0.85 0.91$ -0.85 0.91$ -0.85 03/2014
02/2024
0.91$ -0.85 100.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -8.15 10/2021
09/2022
0.91$ 0.08 1.00$ 2.17 1.02$ 5.00 1.04$ 7.46 12/2018
11/2019
1.07$ 5.68 14.47%
2Y -3.73 11/2020
10/2022
0.92$ 0.46 1.00$ 2.37 1.04$ 4.17 1.08$ 6.29 12/2018
11/2020
1.12$ 0.89 13.61%
3Y -1.25 11/2020
10/2023
0.96$ 0.73 1.02$ 2.35 1.07$ 3.85 1.11$ 4.62 01/2010
12/2012
1.14$ -0.11 13.33%
4Y 0.16 11/2019
10/2023
1.00$ 1.46 1.05$ 2.38 1.09$ 3.32 1.13$ 3.80 01/2010
12/2013
1.16$ 0.67 0.00%
5Y 0.75 11/2017
10/2022
1.03$ 1.65 1.08$ 2.40 1.12$ 3.08 1.16$ 3.55 01/2016
12/2020
1.19$ 1.91 0.00%
6Y 0.93 11/2016
10/2022
1.05$ 1.56 1.09$ 2.51 1.16$ 2.97 1.19$ 3.16 01/2015
12/2020
1.20$ 2.16 0.00%
7Y 1.23 11/2015
10/2022
1.08$ 1.60 1.11$ 2.40 1.18$ 2.83 1.21$ 3.05 09/2013
08/2020
1.23$ 1.94 0.00%
8Y 1.27 11/2014
10/2022
1.10$ 1.62 1.13$ 2.48 1.21$ 2.78 1.24$ 2.91 12/2011
11/2019
1.25$ 2.05 0.00%
9Y 1.34 11/2013
10/2022
1.12$ 1.62 1.15$ 2.62 1.26$ 2.89 1.29$ 3.15 12/2011
11/2020
1.32$ 1.93 0.00%
10Y 1.35 11/2012
10/2022
1.14$ 1.68 1.18$ 2.45 1.27$ 3.00 1.34$ 3.11 07/2010
06/2020
1.35$ 1.91 0.00%
11Y 1.58 11/2012
10/2023
1.18$ 1.78 1.21$ 2.01 1.24$ 3.00 1.38$ 3.27 01/2010
12/2020
1.42$ 1.91 0.00%
12Y 1.74 11/2010
10/2022
1.22$ 1.94 1.25$ 2.05 1.27$ 2.38 1.32$ 2.94 01/2010
12/2021
1.41$ 2.05 0.00%
13Y 1.90 11/2010
10/2023
1.27$ 1.95 1.28$ 2.22 1.33$ 2.29 1.34$ 2.31 02/2010
01/2023
1.34$ 2.24 0.00%
14Y 2.40 03/2010
02/2024
1.39$ 2.40 1.39$ 2.46 1.40$ 2.52 1.41$ 2.52 01/2010
12/2023
1.41$ 2.40 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -15.11 10/2021
09/2022
0.84$ -3.17 0.96$ 0.63 1.00$ 3.24 1.03$ 5.53 11/2018
10/2019
1.05$ 2.89 37.11%
2Y -10.01 11/2020
10/2022
0.80$ -4.11 0.91$ 0.86 1.01$ 1.88 1.03$ 4.59 12/2018
11/2020
1.09$ -3.30 29.93%
3Y -6.59 11/2020
10/2023
0.81$ -4.38 0.87$ 0.84 1.02$ 1.79 1.05$ 2.59 03/2018
02/2021
1.07$ -5.33 28.15%
4Y -4.22 11/2019
10/2023
0.84$ -2.60 0.89$ 0.72 1.02$ 1.39 1.05$ 1.83 12/2016
11/2020
1.07$ -3.70 25.20%
5Y -2.98 11/2017
10/2022
0.85$ -2.05 0.90$ 0.77 1.03$ 1.42 1.07$ 1.82 02/2010
01/2015
1.09$ -2.11 25.23%
6Y -2.52 11/2016
10/2022
0.85$ -1.99 0.88$ 0.77 1.04$ 1.25 1.07$ 1.60 08/2014
07/2020
1.09$ -1.45 26.26%
7Y -2.10 10/2016
09/2023
0.86$ -1.68 0.88$ 0.73 1.05$ 1.16 1.08$ 1.51 09/2013
08/2020
1.11$ -1.48 29.89%
8Y -1.66 11/2015
10/2023
0.87$ -1.41 0.89$ 0.69 1.05$ 1.18 1.09$ 1.38 06/2012
05/2020
1.11$ -1.29 34.67%
9Y -1.36 11/2013
10/2022
0.88$ -1.15 0.90$ 0.73 1.06$ 1.22 1.11$ 1.58 12/2011
11/2020
1.15$ -1.13 39.68%
10Y -1.17 11/2012
10/2022
0.88$ -1.00 0.90$ 0.27 1.02$ 1.25 1.13$ 1.42 06/2010
05/2020
1.15$ -0.85 47.06%
11Y -1.01 11/2012
10/2023
0.89$ -0.81 0.91$ -0.49 0.94$ 0.96 1.11$ 1.53 01/2010
12/2020
1.18$ -0.70 61.54%
12Y -0.84 11/2010
10/2022
0.90$ -0.62 0.92$ -0.50 0.94$ -0.09 0.98$ 0.77 01/2010
12/2021
1.09$ -0.51 85.19%
13Y -0.72 11/2010
10/2023
0.90$ -0.70 0.91$ -0.37 0.95$ -0.30 0.96$ -0.20 02/2010
01/2023
0.97$ -0.35 100.00%
14Y -0.16 03/2010
02/2024
0.97$ -0.16 0.97$ -0.09 0.98$ -0.02 0.99$ -0.02 01/2010
12/2023
0.99$ -0.16 100.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.17% +7.46%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2019
-8.15%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
14.47%
23 out of 159
US Inflation Adjusted +0.63% +5.53%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2019
-15.11%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
37.11%
59 out of 159
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.37% +6.29%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2020
-3.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
13.61%
20 out of 147
US Inflation Adjusted +0.86% +4.59%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2020
-10.01%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
29.93%
44 out of 147
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.35% +4.62%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-1.25%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
13.33%
18 out of 135
US Inflation Adjusted +0.84% +2.59%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2021
-6.59%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
28.15%
38 out of 135
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.38% +3.80%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2013
+0.16%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 123
US Inflation Adjusted +0.72% +1.83%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2020
-4.22%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
25.20%
31 out of 123
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.40% +3.55%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
+0.75%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 111
US Inflation Adjusted +0.77% +1.82%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-2.98%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
25.23%
28 out of 111
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.51% +3.16%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2020
+0.93%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 99
US Inflation Adjusted +0.77% +1.60%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2020
-2.52%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
26.26%
26 out of 99
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.40% +3.05%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
+1.23%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 87
US Inflation Adjusted +0.73% +1.51%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-2.10%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
29.89%
26 out of 87
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.48% +2.91%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2019
+1.27%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 75
US Inflation Adjusted +0.69% +1.38%
Jun 2012 - May 2020
-1.66%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
34.67%
26 out of 75
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.62% +3.15%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
+1.34%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 63
US Inflation Adjusted +0.73% +1.58%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2020
-1.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
39.68%
25 out of 63
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.45% +3.11%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2020
+1.35%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 51
US Inflation Adjusted +0.27% +1.42%
Jun 2010 - May 2020
-1.17%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
47.06%
24 out of 51
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.01% +3.27%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
+1.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 39
US Inflation Adjusted -0.49% +1.53%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
-1.01%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
61.54%
24 out of 39
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.05% +2.94%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
+1.74%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 27
US Inflation Adjusted -0.50% +0.77%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
-0.84%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022
85.19%
23 out of 27
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.22% +2.31%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023
+1.90%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 15
US Inflation Adjusted -0.37% -0.20%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023
-0.72%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
100.00%
15 out of 15
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.46% +2.52%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
+2.40%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 3
US Inflation Adjusted -0.09% -0.02%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
-0.16%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024
100.00%
3 out of 3
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond (VCSH) ETF: Historical Returns page.