Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to April 2024 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~14 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 94 months (from July 2016 to April 2024). This negative series is not closed yet.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREASURY (VGIT) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 2014 - 30 April 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 30 April 2024 (~14 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.72% +11.97%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-12.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
38.51%
62 out of 161
US Inflation Adjusted +0.04% +11.58%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-18.72%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
49.69%
80 out of 161
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.63% +8.87%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020
-7.38%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
26.85%
40 out of 149
US Inflation Adjusted -0.01% +7.39%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
-13.42%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
50.34%
75 out of 149
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.94% +6.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-4.95%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
17.52%
24 out of 137
US Inflation Adjusted +0.42% +4.23%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-10.10%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
41.61%
57 out of 137
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.01% +4.20%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020
-3.04%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
11.20%
14 out of 125
US Inflation Adjusted +0.41% +2.49%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-7.79%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
38.40%
48 out of 125
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.15% +4.24%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-0.22%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
2.65%
3 out of 113
US Inflation Adjusted +0.11% +2.66%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-4.21%
May 2019 - Apr 2024
46.02%
52 out of 113
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.19% +3.94%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-0.35%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
3.96%
4 out of 101
US Inflation Adjusted +0.23% +2.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-3.77%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
47.52%
48 out of 101
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +3.46%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-0.27%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
4.49%
4 out of 89
US Inflation Adjusted +0.29% +1.92%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-3.66%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
41.57%
37 out of 89
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.19% +3.11%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
+0.18%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 77
US Inflation Adjusted +0.40% +1.46%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-3.11%
May 2016 - Apr 2024
40.26%
31 out of 77
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.14% +3.66%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+0.45%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 65
US Inflation Adjusted +0.25% +1.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-2.58%
May 2015 - Apr 2024
46.15%
30 out of 65
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.81% +3.78%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+0.52%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 53
US Inflation Adjusted -0.38% +2.01%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
-2.10%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
54.72%
29 out of 53
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.20% +3.63%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
+0.48%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 41
US Inflation Adjusted -1.23% +1.89%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
-2.08%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
63.41%
26 out of 41
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.49% +3.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
+0.76%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 29
US Inflation Adjusted -1.02% +0.92%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
-1.78%
May 2012 - Apr 2024
86.21%
25 out of 29
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.71% +2.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
+1.06%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 17
US Inflation Adjusted -0.89% -0.49%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2022
-1.55%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
100.00%
17 out of 17
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +2.12%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
+1.72%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 5
US Inflation Adjusted -0.67% -0.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
-0.90%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
100.00%
5 out of 5
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.