Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to June 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024

Holding the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~15 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 94 months (from July 2016 to April 2024).

This means that every rolling period of 95 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREASURY (VGIT) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 2014 - 30 June 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 30 June 2024 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.72% +11.97%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-12.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
38.04%
62 out of 163
US Inflation Adjusted -0.07% +11.58%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-18.72%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
50.31%
82 out of 163
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.62% +8.87%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020
-7.38%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
27.15%
41 out of 151
US Inflation Adjusted -0.11% +7.39%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
-13.42%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
50.99%
77 out of 151
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.94% +6.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-4.95%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
18.71%
26 out of 139
US Inflation Adjusted +0.31% +4.23%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-10.10%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
42.45%
59 out of 139
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.00% +4.20%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020
-3.04%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
12.60%
16 out of 127
US Inflation Adjusted +0.40% +2.49%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-7.79%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
39.37%
50 out of 127
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.14% +4.24%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-0.34%
Jun 2019 - May 2024
4.35%
5 out of 115
US Inflation Adjusted +0.10% +2.66%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-4.33%
Jun 2019 - May 2024
46.96%
54 out of 115
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.99% +3.94%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-0.35%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
3.88%
4 out of 103
US Inflation Adjusted +0.10% +2.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-3.78%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
48.54%
50 out of 103
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.91% +3.46%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-0.27%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
4.40%
4 out of 91
US Inflation Adjusted +0.28% +1.92%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-3.66%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
42.86%
39 out of 91
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.18% +3.11%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
+0.18%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 79
US Inflation Adjusted +0.35% +1.46%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-3.11%
May 2016 - Apr 2024
41.77%
33 out of 79
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.07% +3.66%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+0.45%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 67
US Inflation Adjusted +0.15% +1.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-2.58%
May 2015 - Apr 2024
47.76%
32 out of 67
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.61% +3.78%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+0.52%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 55
US Inflation Adjusted -0.69% +2.01%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
-2.10%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
56.36%
31 out of 55
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.17% +3.63%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
+0.48%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 43
US Inflation Adjusted -1.34% +1.89%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
-2.08%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
65.12%
28 out of 43
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.44% +3.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
+0.76%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 31
US Inflation Adjusted -1.11% +0.92%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
-1.78%
May 2012 - Apr 2024
87.10%
27 out of 31
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.66% +2.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
+1.05%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 19
US Inflation Adjusted -0.95% -0.49%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2022
-1.55%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
100.00%
19 out of 19
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.85% +2.12%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
+1.62%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024
0.00%
0 out of 7
US Inflation Adjusted -0.73% -0.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
-1.00%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024
100.00%
7 out of 7
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.