Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to February 2024 (~14 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 29 February 2024

Holding the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~14 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 93 months (from February 2016 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 94 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TREASURY (VGIT) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 March 2014 - 29 February 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 29 February 2024 (~14 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -12.06 11/2021
10/2022
0.87$ -2.84 0.97$ 0.84 1.00$ 6.79 1.06$ 11.97 05/2019
04/2020
1.11$ 3.09 44.95%
2Y -7.38 11/2020
10/2022
0.85$ -4.95 0.90$ 1.53 1.03$ 4.42 1.09$ 8.87 08/2018
07/2020
1.18$ -3.13 36.08%
3Y -4.95 11/2020
10/2023
0.85$ -2.99 0.91$ 1.35 1.04$ 4.88 1.15$ 5.41 02/2018
01/2021
1.17$ -3.04 25.88%
4Y -2.17 11/2019
10/2023
0.91$ -0.22 0.99$ 1.61 1.06$ 3.33 1.13$ 4.20 01/2017
12/2020
1.17$ -1.96 16.44%
5Y -0.22 11/2017
10/2022
0.98$ 0.52 1.02$ 2.21 1.11$ 3.39 1.18$ 3.76 07/2015
06/2020
1.20$ 0.43 3.28%
6Y -0.35 10/2016
09/2022
0.97$ 0.26 1.01$ 1.63 1.10$ 3.27 1.21$ 3.70 04/2014
03/2020
1.24$ 0.94 8.16%
7Y -0.27 10/2016
09/2023
0.98$ 0.04 1.00$ 0.95 1.06$ 2.70 1.20$ 2.96 08/2014
07/2021
1.22$ 0.66 10.81%
8Y 0.18 11/2015
10/2023
1.01$ 0.48 1.03$ 0.72 1.05$ 1.34 1.11$ 2.11 03/2014
02/2022
1.18$ 0.42 0.00%
9Y 0.45 11/2014
10/2023
1.04$ 0.67 1.06$ 0.81 1.07$ 1.02 1.09$ 1.24 05/2014
04/2023
1.11$ 0.77 0.00%
10Y 1.04 03/2014
02/2024
1.10$ 1.04 1.10$ 1.04 1.10$ 1.04 1.10$ 1.04 03/2014
02/2024
1.10$ 1.04 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -18.72 10/2021
09/2022
0.81$ -8.47 0.91$ -1.19 0.98$ 5.41 1.05$ 11.58 05/2019
04/2020
1.11$ -0.07 56.88%
2Y -13.42 11/2020
10/2022
0.74$ -10.60 0.79$ -0.62 0.98$ 3.56 1.07$ 7.39 05/2018
04/2020
1.15$ -7.35 57.73%
3Y -10.10 11/2020
10/2023
0.72$ -8.19 0.77$ -0.75 0.97$ 2.60 1.08$ 3.55 02/2018
01/2021
1.11$ -8.24 56.47%
4Y -6.45 11/2019
10/2023
0.76$ -4.47 0.83$ -0.27 0.98$ 1.42 1.05$ 2.22 01/2017
12/2020
1.09$ -6.32 56.16%
5Y -3.92 11/2017
10/2022
0.81$ -3.32 0.84$ -0.14 0.99$ 1.53 1.07$ 2.15 07/2015
06/2020
1.11$ -3.61 54.10%
6Y -3.77 11/2017
10/2023
0.79$ -3.26 0.81$ -1.39 0.91$ 1.71 1.10$ 2.24 08/2014
07/2020
1.14$ -2.70 59.18%
7Y -3.66 10/2016
09/2023
0.77$ -3.32 0.78$ -2.19 0.85$ 0.73 1.05$ 1.19 03/2014
02/2021
1.08$ -2.77 72.97%
8Y -2.99 11/2015
10/2023
0.78$ -2.58 0.81$ -2.30 0.82$ -1.25 0.90$ -0.28 03/2014
02/2022
0.97$ -2.92 100.00%
9Y -2.39 11/2014
10/2023
0.80$ -2.30 0.81$ -1.94 0.83$ -1.73 0.85$ -1.50 04/2014
03/2023
0.87$ -2.30 100.00%
10Y -1.74 03/2014
02/2024
0.83$ -1.74 0.83$ -1.74 0.83$ -1.74 0.83$ -1.74 03/2014
02/2024
0.83$ -1.74 100.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -12.06 11/2021
10/2022
0.87$ -2.25 0.97$ 1.92 1.01$ 7.09 1.07$ 11.97 05/2019
04/2020
1.11$ 3.09 38.36%
2Y -7.38 11/2020
10/2022
0.85$ -3.51 0.93$ 1.80 1.03$ 5.87 1.12$ 8.87 08/2018
07/2020
1.18$ -3.13 25.85%
3Y -4.95 11/2020
10/2023
0.85$ -0.63 0.98$ 1.99 1.06$ 4.83 1.15$ 6.40 01/2010
12/2012
1.20$ -3.04 16.30%
4Y -2.17 11/2019
10/2023
0.91$ 0.60 1.02$ 2.02 1.08$ 3.42 1.14$ 4.20 01/2017
12/2020
1.17$ -1.96 9.76%
5Y -0.22 11/2017
10/2022
0.98$ 0.77 1.03$ 2.18 1.11$ 3.40 1.18$ 4.24 02/2010
01/2015
1.23$ 0.43 1.80%
6Y -0.35 10/2016
09/2022
0.97$ 0.65 1.03$ 2.34 1.14$ 3.27 1.21$ 3.94 04/2010
03/2016
1.26$ 0.94 4.04%
7Y -0.27 10/2016
09/2023
0.98$ 0.55 1.03$ 1.93 1.14$ 3.05 1.23$ 3.46 09/2013
08/2020
1.26$ 0.66 4.60%
8Y 0.18 11/2015
10/2023
1.01$ 0.70 1.05$ 2.20 1.19$ 2.65 1.23$ 3.11 01/2010
12/2017
1.27$ 0.42 0.00%
9Y 0.45 11/2014
10/2023
1.04$ 0.84 1.07$ 2.17 1.21$ 2.86 1.28$ 3.66 04/2011
03/2020
1.38$ 0.77 0.00%
10Y 0.52 11/2012
10/2022
1.05$ 0.89 1.09$ 1.84 1.19$ 3.23 1.37$ 3.78 04/2010
03/2020
1.44$ 1.04 0.00%
11Y 0.48 11/2012
10/2023
1.05$ 0.78 1.08$ 1.71 1.20$ 2.87 1.36$ 3.63 01/2010
12/2020
1.48$ 0.86 0.00%
12Y 0.76 11/2011
10/2023
1.09$ 0.97 1.12$ 1.53 1.19$ 2.20 1.29$ 3.10 01/2010
12/2021
1.44$ 0.99 0.00%
13Y 1.06 11/2010
10/2023
1.14$ 1.15 1.16$ 1.72 1.24$ 2.00 1.29$ 2.04 04/2010
03/2023
1.30$ 1.66 0.00%
14Y 1.85 03/2010
02/2024
1.29$ 1.85 1.29$ 1.99 1.31$ 2.12 1.34$ 2.12 01/2010
12/2023
1.34$ 1.85 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -18.72 10/2021
09/2022
0.81$ -6.10 0.93$ 0.04 1.00$ 5.59 1.05$ 11.58 05/2019
04/2020
1.11$ -0.07 49.06%
2Y -13.42 11/2020
10/2022
0.74$ -7.98 0.84$ 0.08 1.00$ 3.63 1.07$ 7.39 05/2018
04/2020
1.15$ -7.35 49.66%
3Y -10.10 11/2020
10/2023
0.72$ -5.31 0.84$ 0.43 1.01$ 2.46 1.07$ 4.23 01/2010
12/2012
1.13$ -8.24 40.74%
4Y -6.45 11/2019
10/2023
0.76$ -3.52 0.86$ 0.43 1.01$ 1.49 1.06$ 2.49 04/2011
03/2015
1.10$ -6.32 37.40%
5Y -3.92 11/2017
10/2022
0.81$ -2.83 0.86$ 0.13 1.00$ 1.67 1.08$ 2.66 02/2010
01/2015
1.14$ -3.61 45.05%
6Y -3.77 11/2017
10/2023
0.79$ -2.82 0.84$ 0.27 1.01$ 1.60 1.10$ 2.38 04/2010
03/2016
1.15$ -2.70 46.46%
7Y -3.66 10/2016
09/2023
0.77$ -2.77 0.82$ 0.30 1.02$ 1.37 1.09$ 1.92 09/2013
08/2020
1.14$ -2.77 40.23%
8Y -2.99 11/2015
10/2023
0.78$ -2.31 0.82$ 0.51 1.04$ 1.02 1.08$ 1.46 04/2012
03/2020
1.12$ -2.92 38.67%
9Y -2.39 11/2014
10/2023
0.80$ -1.92 0.84$ 0.26 1.02$ 1.19 1.11$ 1.99 04/2011
03/2020
1.19$ -2.30 44.44%
10Y -2.10 11/2013
10/2023
0.80$ -1.78 0.83$ -0.35 0.96$ 1.45 1.15$ 2.01 04/2010
03/2020
1.22$ -1.74 52.94%
11Y -2.07 11/2012
10/2023
0.79$ -1.80 0.81$ -0.74 0.92$ 0.81 1.09$ 1.89 01/2010
12/2020
1.22$ -1.76 61.54%
12Y -1.77 11/2011
10/2023
0.80$ -1.57 0.82$ -1.01 0.88$ -0.19 0.97$ 0.92 01/2010
12/2021
1.11$ -1.58 85.19%
13Y -1.55 11/2010
10/2023
0.81$ -1.47 0.82$ -0.88 0.89$ -0.50 0.93$ -0.49 01/2010
12/2022
0.93$ -0.95 100.00%
14Y -0.73 03/2010
02/2024
0.90$ -0.73 0.90$ -0.55 0.92$ -0.40 0.94$ -0.40 01/2010
12/2023
0.94$ -0.73 100.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.92% +11.97%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-12.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
38.36%
61 out of 159
US Inflation Adjusted +0.04% +11.58%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-18.72%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
49.06%
78 out of 159
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.80% +8.87%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020
-7.38%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
25.85%
38 out of 147
US Inflation Adjusted +0.08% +7.39%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
-13.42%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
49.66%
73 out of 147
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.99% +6.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-4.95%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
16.30%
22 out of 135
US Inflation Adjusted +0.43% +4.23%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-10.10%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
40.74%
55 out of 135
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.02% +4.20%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020
-2.17%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
9.76%
12 out of 123
US Inflation Adjusted +0.43% +2.49%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-6.45%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
37.40%
46 out of 123
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.18% +4.24%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-0.22%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
1.80%
2 out of 111
US Inflation Adjusted +0.13% +2.66%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-3.92%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
45.05%
50 out of 111
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.34% +3.94%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-0.35%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
4.04%
4 out of 99
US Inflation Adjusted +0.27% +2.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
-3.77%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
46.46%
46 out of 99
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +3.46%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-0.27%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
4.60%
4 out of 87
US Inflation Adjusted +0.30% +1.92%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-3.66%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
40.23%
35 out of 87
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.20% +3.11%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
+0.18%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 75
US Inflation Adjusted +0.51% +1.46%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
-2.99%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
38.67%
29 out of 75
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.17% +3.66%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
+0.45%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 63
US Inflation Adjusted +0.26% +1.99%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-2.39%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
44.44%
28 out of 63
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.84% +3.78%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
+0.52%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 51
US Inflation Adjusted -0.35% +2.01%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
-2.10%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
52.94%
27 out of 51
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.71% +3.63%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
+0.48%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 39
US Inflation Adjusted -0.74% +1.89%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
-2.07%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
61.54%
24 out of 39
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.53% +3.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
+0.76%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 27
US Inflation Adjusted -1.01% +0.92%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
-1.77%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
85.19%
23 out of 27
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.72% +2.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
+1.06%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 15
US Inflation Adjusted -0.88% -0.49%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2022
-1.55%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
100.00%
15 out of 15
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.99% +2.12%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
+1.85%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 3
US Inflation Adjusted -0.55% -0.40%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
-0.73%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2024
100.00%
3 out of 3
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury (VGIT) ETF: Historical Returns page.