When holding the Vanguard Information Technology (VGT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~20 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 54 months (from January 2005 to June 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 55 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Vanguard Information Technology (VGT) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-43.34%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 |
+17.45% |
+70.63%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
15.35%
35 out of 228 |
-43.95%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 |
+15.40% |
+66.27%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
18.42%
42 out of 228 |
-21.71%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+15.39% |
+47.30%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
10.19%
22 out of 216 |
-23.28%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+12.67% |
+44.68%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
17.13%
37 out of 216 |
-13.64%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+15.33% |
+41.46%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021 |
9.31%
19 out of 204 |
-15.48%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
+13.13% |
+36.58%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021 |
12.25%
25 out of 204 |
-7.83%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+17.07% |
+32.12%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020 |
4.17%
8 out of 192 |
-10.11%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+14.11% |
+29.61%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020 |
10.42%
20 out of 192 |
+1.52%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2010 |
+17.26% |
+31.79%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 180 |
-0.60%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2010 |
+14.77% |
+28.43%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2021 |
1.11%
2 out of 180 |
+3.64%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2011 |
+18.49% |
+28.60%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 168 |
+1.40%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2011 |
+15.56% |
+25.60%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 168 |
+4.39%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2011 |
+17.94% |
+24.93%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 156 |
+1.89%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2011 |
+15.35% |
+22.59%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 156 |
+5.54%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2012 |
+17.65% |
+25.25%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 144 |
+3.10%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2012 |
+15.18% |
+22.84%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 144 |
+8.10%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2013 |
+17.94% |
+24.79%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 132 |
+5.70%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2013 |
+15.24% |
+22.13%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 132 |
+8.18%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2016 |
+18.38% |
+23.66%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 120 |
+6.29%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2016 |
+15.63% |
+21.07%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 120 |
+8.54%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2016 |
+17.96% |
+23.04%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 108 |
+6.49%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2016 |
+15.11% |
+20.55%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 108 |
+9.10%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2016 |
+16.70% |
+23.67%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 96 |
+6.98%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2016 |
+14.16% |
+21.48%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 96 |
+10.99%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2018 |
+16.98% |
+23.38%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 84 |
+8.86%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2017 |
+14.15% |
+20.83%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 84 |
+10.40%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2018 |
+15.88% |
+20.43%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 72 |
+8.24%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2018 |
+13.78% |
+17.33%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 72 |
+12.15%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2020 |
+15.42% |
+21.70%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 60 |
+9.95%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+13.13% |
+18.65%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 60 |
+13.02%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2022 |
+15.05% |
+21.23%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 48 |
+10.33%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2022 |
+12.60% |
+18.30%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 48 |
+12.69%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022 |
+14.86% |
+15.93%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 36 |
+10.07%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022 |
+12.09% |
+13.21%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 36 |
+12.20%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022 |
+14.56% |
+16.30%
Aug 2006 - Jul 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
+9.47%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022 |
+11.77% |
+13.52%
Aug 2006 - Jul 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
+14.04%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2023 |
+15.01% |
+15.47%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
+11.21%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2023 |
+12.14% |
+12.59%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
Vanguard Information Technology (VGT) ETF: Historical Returns