Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1970 to March 2024 (~54 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~54 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 279 months (from March 1989 to May 2012).

This means that every rolling period of 280 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

VANGUARD FTSE PACIFIC (VPL) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to March 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 5.40% (updated at Mar 31, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD FTSE PACIFIC (VPL) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1970 - 31 March 2024 (~54 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.20% +115.25%
Oct 1985 - Sep 1986 		-44.49%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 		33.59%
215 out of 640
US Inflation Adjusted +5.46% +111.53%
Oct 1985 - Sep 1986 		-44.95%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1974 		40.47%
259 out of 640
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.26% +86.65%
May 1985 - Apr 1987 		-27.85%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 		29.94%
188 out of 628
US Inflation Adjusted +3.78% +81.87%
May 1985 - Apr 1987 		-29.30%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 		39.17%
246 out of 628
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.08% +66.21%
Jun 1984 - May 1987 		-22.30%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 		24.03%
148 out of 616
US Inflation Adjusted +3.81% +61.41%
Jun 1984 - May 1987 		-24.17%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 		35.06%
216 out of 616
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.52% +51.30%
Jun 1984 - May 1988 		-14.19%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998 		26.16%
158 out of 604
US Inflation Adjusted +3.54% +46.58%
Jun 1984 - May 1988 		-16.15%
Sep 1994 - Aug 1998 		38.41%
232 out of 604
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.35% +44.99%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1987 		-10.23%
Sep 1993 - Aug 1998 		21.45%
127 out of 592
US Inflation Adjusted +2.76% +40.51%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1987 		-12.38%
Sep 1993 - Aug 1998 		35.30%
209 out of 592
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.58% +40.85%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1988 		-9.06%
Oct 1996 - Sep 2002 		15.34%
89 out of 580
US Inflation Adjusted +2.69% +36.35%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1988 		-11.13%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2002 		31.72%
184 out of 580
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.49% +36.28%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 		-9.84%
May 1996 - Apr 2003 		12.68%
72 out of 568
US Inflation Adjusted +3.64% +31.60%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989 		-11.87%
May 1996 - Apr 2003 		27.46%
156 out of 568
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.61% +31.57%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988 		-7.81%
May 1995 - Apr 2003 		14.57%
81 out of 556
US Inflation Adjusted +3.27% +25.56%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988 		-9.96%
May 1995 - Apr 2003 		27.16%
151 out of 556
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.15% +28.40%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1989 		-6.70%
May 1994 - Apr 2003 		14.71%
80 out of 544
US Inflation Adjusted +3.26% +22.52%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1989 		-9.35%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1998 		28.68%
156 out of 544
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.97% +28.34%
Jun 1977 - May 1987 		-4.91%
May 1993 - Apr 2003 		15.41%
82 out of 532
US Inflation Adjusted +3.00% +20.51%
Jun 1977 - May 1987 		-7.29%
Oct 1988 - Sep 1998 		28.95%
154 out of 532
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.58% +27.33%
May 1977 - Apr 1988 		-3.60%
Sep 1987 - Aug 1998 		12.88%
67 out of 520
US Inflation Adjusted +2.79% +19.81%
May 1977 - Apr 1988 		-6.68%
Sep 1987 - Aug 1998 		28.85%
150 out of 520
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.27% +25.80%
Dec 1976 - Nov 1988 		-4.67%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2002 		11.02%
56 out of 508
US Inflation Adjusted +2.79% +18.47%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1989 		-7.27%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2002 		27.95%
142 out of 508
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.65% +26.29%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987 		-4.97%
Jan 1990 - Dec 2002 		8.87%
44 out of 496
US Inflation Adjusted +3.31% +18.59%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987 		-7.59%
Jan 1990 - Dec 2002 		26.01%
129 out of 496
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.45% +24.91%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1988 		-4.51%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2003 		10.74%
52 out of 484
US Inflation Adjusted +3.05% +17.60%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1988 		-7.28%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2003 		23.97%
116 out of 484
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.33% +24.32%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 		-3.90%
May 1988 - Apr 2003 		10.81%
51 out of 472
US Inflation Adjusted +2.95% +17.06%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989 		-6.72%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2003 		26.06%
123 out of 472
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.62% +22.85%
Jun 1971 - May 1987 		-2.66%
May 1987 - Apr 2003 		9.35%
43 out of 460
US Inflation Adjusted +3.33% +15.18%
Jun 1971 - May 1987 		-5.57%
May 1987 - Apr 2003 		26.96%
124 out of 460
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.63% +23.56%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1987 		-0.51%
May 1988 - Apr 2005 		2.68%
12 out of 448
US Inflation Adjusted +3.07% +16.00%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1987 		-3.41%
May 1988 - Apr 2005 		26.34%
118 out of 448
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.07% +23.16%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1988 		-1.07%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2009 		0.46%
2 out of 436
US Inflation Adjusted +2.59% +15.78%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1988 		-3.54%
Mar 1991 - Feb 2009 		26.83%
117 out of 436
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.93% +22.26%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1989 		-1.73%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009 		1.65%
7 out of 424
US Inflation Adjusted +3.04% +15.00%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1989 		-4.33%
Dec 1989 - Nov 2008 		25.94%
110 out of 424
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.20% +20.30%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1990 		-2.11%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009 		3.64%
15 out of 412
US Inflation Adjusted +3.40% +13.24%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1990 		-4.81%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009 		24.03%
99 out of 412
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard FTSE Pacific (VPL) ETF: Historical Returns page.