Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1995 to March 2024 (~29 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~29 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 180 months (from November 2007 to October 2022).

This means that every rolling period of 181 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS (VWO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 2004 - 31 March 2024 (20 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1995 - 31 March 2024 (~29 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.71% +88.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 		-56.27%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2008 		37.35%
127 out of 340
US Inflation Adjusted +5.21% +84.40%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 		-57.79%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 		41.18%
140 out of 340
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +3.11% +51.09%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 		-25.90%
Sep 1996 - Aug 1998 		42.38%
139 out of 328
US Inflation Adjusted +1.01% +47.93%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 		-27.32%
Sep 1996 - Aug 1998 		47.26%
155 out of 328
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +3.68% +45.41%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006 		-15.31%
Sep 1995 - Aug 1998 		32.59%
103 out of 316
US Inflation Adjusted +1.35% +41.47%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2006 		-17.17%
Sep 1995 - Aug 1998 		42.09%
133 out of 316
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +3.37% +38.39%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 		-11.74%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 		21.38%
65 out of 304
US Inflation Adjusted +0.91% +34.64%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 		-13.92%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2001 		43.75%
133 out of 304
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.41% +39.76%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 		-8.82%
Aug 1997 - Jul 2002 		21.58%
63 out of 292
US Inflation Adjusted +2.65% +35.80%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2007 		-10.95%
Oct 1996 - Sep 2001 		33.90%
99 out of 292
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.87% +33.31%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 		-7.23%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003 		21.79%
61 out of 280
US Inflation Adjusted +2.87% +29.72%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 		-9.36%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2003 		33.21%
93 out of 280
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.06% +23.91%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2007 		-4.75%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2003 		9.70%
26 out of 268
US Inflation Adjusted +2.52% +20.58%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2007 		-7.01%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2003 		22.76%
61 out of 268
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.27% +22.36%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011 		-3.62%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015 		7.81%
20 out of 256
US Inflation Adjusted +3.19% +19.45%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2011 		-5.15%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2015 		21.48%
55 out of 256
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.73% +21.34%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2007 		-2.08%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2016 		4.51%
11 out of 244
US Inflation Adjusted +3.57% +18.10%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2007 		-3.65%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2016 		18.03%
44 out of 244
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.64% +17.52%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2008 		+0.02%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2017 		0.00%
0 out of 232
US Inflation Adjusted +5.19% +14.15%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2008 		-1.61%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2017 		10.34%
24 out of 232
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.88% +15.48%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2012 		-1.24%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 		1.36%
3 out of 220
US Inflation Adjusted +5.42% +12.78%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2012 		-2.93%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 		11.82%
26 out of 220
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.04% +15.12%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2010 		-0.16%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 		1.92%
4 out of 208
US Inflation Adjusted +5.87% +12.38%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2010 		-2.11%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 		13.94%
29 out of 208
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.22% +14.52%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 		+0.50%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 		0.00%
0 out of 196
US Inflation Adjusted +5.92% +11.70%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 		-1.45%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		8.67%
17 out of 196
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.20% +12.87%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012 		+1.44%
Jun 2008 - May 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 184
US Inflation Adjusted +5.70% +10.15%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012 		-0.73%
Jun 2008 - May 2022 		2.17%
4 out of 184
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.93% +12.42%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018 		-0.60%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 		0.58%
1 out of 172
US Inflation Adjusted +5.61% +10.16%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2018 		-2.92%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 		7.56%
13 out of 172
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.67% +12.49%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014 		+0.05%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 160
US Inflation Adjusted +5.45% +9.89%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2014 		-2.33%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 		6.88%
11 out of 160
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.85% +10.72%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2018 		+2.91%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 148
US Inflation Adjusted +5.47% +8.48%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2018 		+0.40%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 148
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.55% +11.39%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 		+3.60%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 136
US Inflation Adjusted +5.17% +9.15%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 		+1.09%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 136
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.25% +10.85%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 		+4.35%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016 		0.00%
0 out of 124
US Inflation Adjusted +4.89% +8.45%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 		+2.20%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2016 		0.00%
0 out of 124
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.40% +10.56%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2021 		+4.82%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2016 		0.00%
0 out of 112
US Inflation Adjusted +5.11% +8.21%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2021 		+2.60%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2016 		0.00%
0 out of 112
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO) ETF: Historical Returns page.