Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific All Cap (VA.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1970 - June 2025 (~56 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific All Cap (VA.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~56 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 304 months (from May 1987 to August 2012).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 305 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED ASIA PACIFIC ALL CAP (VA.TO) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1970 - 30 June 2025 (~56 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1970/01 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 6.55%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED ASIA PACIFIC ALL CAP (VA.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1970 - 30 June 2025 (~56 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1970/01 - 2025/06)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED ASIA PACIFIC ALL CAP (VA.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1970 - 30 June 2025 (~56 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-39.71%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1974
+9.22% +117.77%
Oct 1985 - Sep 1986
31.91%
209 out of 655
-45.79%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1974
+5.47% +109.20%
Oct 1985 - Sep 1986
39.08%
256 out of 655
-24.70%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+9.16% +84.62%
May 1985 - Apr 1987
27.53%
177 out of 643
-29.57%
Jan 1973 - Dec 1974
+4.91% +77.12%
May 1985 - Apr 1987
36.55%
235 out of 643
-21.97%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+7.83% +68.02%
Jun 1984 - May 1987
24.41%
154 out of 631
-24.12%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+3.81% +61.10%
Jun 1984 - May 1987
35.82%
226 out of 631
-11.89%
Dec 1999 - Nov 2003
+7.59% +50.03%
Jun 1983 - May 1987
24.72%
153 out of 619
-15.11%
May 1988 - Apr 1992
+4.10% +43.71%
Jun 1983 - May 1987
36.35%
225 out of 619
-7.78%
Dec 1999 - Nov 2004
+7.64% +46.68%
Jun 1982 - May 1987
22.41%
136 out of 607
-11.54%
May 1987 - Apr 1992
+4.33% +40.44%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1987
34.27%
208 out of 607
-8.94%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003
+6.27% +39.69%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1988
15.46%
92 out of 595
-10.81%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2003
+3.46% +33.84%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1988
28.74%
171 out of 595
-9.17%
May 1996 - Apr 2003
+6.61% +35.40%
May 1980 - Apr 1987
14.58%
85 out of 583
-11.01%
May 1996 - Apr 2003
+3.56% +29.02%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989
29.16%
170 out of 583
-7.17%
May 1995 - Apr 2003
+6.97% +32.39%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988
15.94%
91 out of 571
-8.98%
May 1995 - Apr 2003
+3.79% +24.33%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1988
26.62%
152 out of 571
-6.60%
Jun 1994 - May 2003
+6.48% +30.07%
May 1978 - Apr 1987
16.28%
91 out of 559
-8.50%
Jun 1994 - May 2003
+3.65% +21.14%
May 1978 - Apr 1987
24.33%
136 out of 559
-4.16%
Jun 1993 - May 2003
+6.76% +31.47%
Jun 1977 - May 1987
16.82%
92 out of 547
-6.00%
Jul 2000 - Jun 2010
+3.72% +22.40%
Jun 1977 - May 1987
27.06%
148 out of 547
-3.16%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+6.70% +30.03%
Jun 1976 - May 1987
15.89%
85 out of 535
-5.17%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+3.83% +20.99%
Jun 1976 - May 1987
30.65%
164 out of 535
-3.52%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
+5.76% +28.36%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1987
14.91%
78 out of 523
-5.50%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2011
+3.79% +19.62%
Oct 1975 - Sep 1987
29.83%
156 out of 523
-3.60%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+6.11% +29.06%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
16.24%
83 out of 511
-5.48%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+4.08% +20.01%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987
29.35%
150 out of 511
-3.16%
May 1989 - Apr 2003
+5.71% +26.62%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1988
16.63%
83 out of 499
-5.40%
May 1989 - Apr 2003
+3.83% +18.16%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1988
28.66%
143 out of 499
-2.97%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2009
+5.22% +25.78%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989
17.66%
86 out of 487
-5.29%
May 1988 - Apr 2003
+3.35% +17.38%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1989
26.69%
130 out of 487
-2.28%
Jun 1987 - May 2003
+5.52% +25.02%
Jun 1971 - May 1987
17.05%
81 out of 475
-4.73%
Jun 1987 - May 2003
+3.51% +16.03%
Jun 1971 - May 1987
26.11%
124 out of 475
-1.60%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2011
+5.07% +25.33%
Sep 1970 - Aug 1987
9.94%
46 out of 463
-3.54%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2011
+2.97% +16.69%
Sep 1970 - Aug 1987
29.59%
137 out of 463
-1.57%
Jun 1994 - May 2012
+4.85% +24.04%
Dec 1970 - Nov 1988
5.54%
25 out of 451
-3.52%
Jun 1994 - May 2012
+2.52% +15.65%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1988
26.83%
121 out of 451
-1.44%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2009
+5.19% +23.10%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1989
4.78%
21 out of 439
-3.43%
Feb 1990 - Jan 2009
+2.97% +14.94%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1989
28.70%
126 out of 439
-1.81%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
+5.30% +20.78%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1990
4.22%
18 out of 427
-3.95%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
+3.13% +12.91%
Jul 1970 - Jun 1990
26.00%
111 out of 427
-0.15%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+5.10% +17.66%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1995
0.54%
2 out of 367
-2.45%
Jun 1987 - May 2012
+2.57% +11.01%
Aug 1970 - Jul 1995
13.90%
51 out of 367
+1.89%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2018
+6.37% +15.15%
Jul 1970 - Jun 2000
0.00%
0 out of 307
-0.17%
Jan 1989 - Dec 2018
+3.41% +9.36%
Jul 1970 - Jun 2000
1.63%
5 out of 307
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