When holding the Vanguard Emerging Mkts Govt Bd (VWOB) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~11 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 86 months (from September 2016 to October 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 87 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Govt Bd (VWOB) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-23.46%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+4.11% |
+19.03%
Oct 2023 - Sep 2024 |
26.67%
32 out of 120 |
-29.26%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+2.05% |
+16.23%
Oct 2023 - Sep 2024 |
35.83%
43 out of 120 |
-11.08%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+3.87% |
+13.81%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2024 |
24.07%
26 out of 108 |
-16.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+1.99% |
+10.44%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2024 |
35.19%
38 out of 108 |
-6.93%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
+4.25% |
+7.07%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2021 |
31.25%
30 out of 96 |
-11.37%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
+2.14% |
+4.87%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2017 |
38.54%
37 out of 96 |
-3.57%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+3.15% |
+7.71%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2020 |
28.57%
24 out of 84 |
-7.79%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+1.24% |
+5.43%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2020 |
41.67%
35 out of 84 |
-2.51%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+2.90% |
+6.93%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
18.06%
13 out of 72 |
-6.12%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+0.85% |
+4.88%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
47.22%
34 out of 72 |
-1.41%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+2.57% |
+6.17%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2020 |
13.33%
8 out of 60 |
-4.74%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-1.15% |
+4.49%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2020 |
55.00%
33 out of 60 |
-0.02%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+1.72% |
+5.76%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2020 |
4.17%
2 out of 48 |
-3.42%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
-1.59% |
+4.11%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2020 |
66.67%
32 out of 48 |
+0.35%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+1.95% |
+4.78%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 36 |
-2.46%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-1.21% |
+2.46%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2021 |
88.89%
32 out of 36 |
+1.09%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+2.08% |
+3.58%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 24 |
-1.77%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
-0.76% |
+0.39%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
91.67%
22 out of 24 |
+2.22%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2024 |
+2.63% |
+3.07%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
-0.57%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2024 |
-0.22% |
+0.21%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2024 |
75.00%
9 out of 12 |
Vanguard Emerging Mkts Govt Bd (VWOB) ETF: Historical Returns