When holding the VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 167 months (from January 2011 to November 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-20.87%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2015 |
-0.28% |
+16.85%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2012 |
50.00%
78 out of 156 |
-26.60%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
-2.35% |
+14.83%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2012 |
57.05%
89 out of 156 |
-10.79%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2015 |
-0.97% |
+13.52%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
53.47%
77 out of 144 |
-16.20%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
-3.27% |
+10.94%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
69.44%
100 out of 144 |
-10.23%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
-1.21% |
+6.36%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2019 |
63.64%
84 out of 132 |
-12.59%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
-3.21% |
+4.23%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2019 |
82.58%
109 out of 132 |
-5.87%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-1.66% |
+5.79%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
68.33%
82 out of 120 |
-7.93%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
-4.07% |
+3.59%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
87.50%
105 out of 120 |
-5.00%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-1.27% |
+5.24%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
73.15%
79 out of 108 |
-8.44%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-3.39% |
+3.22%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
91.67%
99 out of 108 |
-3.23%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-1.00% |
+3.15%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
70.83%
68 out of 96 |
-6.50%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-3.01% |
+0.84%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
97.92%
94 out of 96 |
-3.62%
May 2013 - Apr 2020 |
-0.68% |
+1.10%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2023 |
80.95%
68 out of 84 |
-5.02%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-2.94% |
-0.60%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2018 |
100.00%
84 out of 84 |
-3.41%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-0.71% |
+1.75%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023 |
70.83%
51 out of 72 |
-6.11%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-2.78% |
-0.85%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019 |
100.00%
72 out of 72 |
-3.28%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-1.05% |
+2.04%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
80.00%
48 out of 60 |
-5.85%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-3.30% |
-0.57%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020 |
100.00%
60 out of 60 |
-3.27%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-1.09% |
+0.60%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2020 |
91.67%
44 out of 48 |
-5.67%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-3.68% |
-1.11%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2021 |
100.00%
48 out of 48 |
-2.37%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2022 |
-1.45% |
-0.22%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2022 |
100.00%
36 out of 36 |
-4.86%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
-3.92% |
-2.42%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2022 |
100.00%
36 out of 36 |
-1.37%
May 2011 - Apr 2023 |
-1.10% |
-0.21%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2023 |
100.00%
24 out of 24 |
-3.84%
May 2012 - Apr 2024 |
-3.59% |
-2.73%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2023 |
100.00%
24 out of 24 |
-1.24%
May 2011 - Apr 2024 |
-0.75% |
+0.25%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024 |
91.67%
11 out of 12 |
-3.75%
May 2011 - Apr 2024 |
-3.28% |
-2.25%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024 |
100.00%
12 out of 12 |
VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF: Historical Returns