When holding the VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~15 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 175 months (from September 2011 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-20.87%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2015 |
+1.91% |
+19.45%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026 |
45.93%
79 out of 172 |
|
-26.60%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
-1.18% |
+16.65%
Mar 2025 - Feb 2026 |
53.49%
92 out of 172 |
|
-10.79%
Oct 2013 - Sep 2015 |
+0.36% |
+13.52%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
48.13%
77 out of 160 |
|
-16.20%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
-2.34% |
+10.94%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
63.13%
101 out of 160 |
|
-10.23%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
-0.80% |
+10.58%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025 |
58.11%
86 out of 148 |
|
-12.59%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
-2.89% |
+7.47%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025 |
76.35%
113 out of 148 |
|
-5.87%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-1.37% |
+5.79%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
64.71%
88 out of 136 |
|
-8.13%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
-4.04% |
+3.59%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
86.76%
118 out of 136 |
|
-5.00%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-1.04% |
+5.24%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
66.13%
82 out of 124 |
|
-8.44%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-3.38% |
+3.22%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
92.74%
115 out of 124 |
|
-3.23%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-0.62% |
+3.49%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026 |
64.29%
72 out of 112 |
|
-6.50%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-3.02% |
+0.84%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
98.21%
110 out of 112 |
|
-3.62%
May 2013 - Apr 2020 |
-0.61% |
+2.24%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2025 |
73.00%
73 out of 100 |
|
-5.19%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025 |
-2.84% |
-0.60%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2018 |
100.00%
100 out of 100 |
|
-3.41%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-0.33% |
+1.75%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023 |
57.95%
51 out of 88 |
|
-6.11%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-2.85% |
-0.85%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019 |
100.00%
88 out of 88 |
|
-3.28%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-0.47% |
+2.32%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2025 |
63.16%
48 out of 76 |
|
-5.85%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-2.56% |
-0.57%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020 |
100.00%
76 out of 76 |
|
-3.27%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-0.78% |
+3.06%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026 |
73.44%
47 out of 64 |
|
-5.67%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-3.44% |
-0.17%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026 |
100.00%
64 out of 64 |
|
-2.37%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2022 |
-1.03% |
+1.55%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026 |
86.54%
45 out of 52 |
|
-4.86%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
-3.63% |
-1.45%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026 |
100.00%
52 out of 52 |
|
-1.74%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
-1.04% |
+1.08%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026 |
77.50%
31 out of 40 |
|
-4.31%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
-3.55% |
-1.64%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026 |
100.00%
40 out of 40 |
|
-1.24%
May 2011 - Apr 2024 |
-0.42% |
+0.25%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024 |
89.29%
25 out of 28 |
|
-3.75%
May 2011 - Apr 2024 |
-2.98% |
-2.25%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024 |
100.00%
28 out of 28 |
|
-0.61%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-0.21% |
+0.84%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025 |
56.25%
9 out of 16 |
|
-3.17%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-2.73% |
-1.73%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025 |
100.00%
16 out of 16 |
|
+0.34%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026 |
+0.58% |
+0.85%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 4 |
|
-2.20%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2026 |
-2.01% |
-1.73%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2026 |
100.00%
4 out of 4 |
VanEck Vectors JP Morgan EM LC Bd (EMLC) ETF: Historical Returns

