When holding the VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond (CBON) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~10 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 51 months (from July 2015 to September 2019).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 52 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond (CBON) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-10.46%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+1.37% |
+14.77%
Jun 2020 - May 2021 |
35.45%
39 out of 110 |
-16.91%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
-0.80% |
+11.47%
May 2017 - Apr 2018 |
60.91%
67 out of 110 |
-4.14%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+1.86% |
+9.27%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2021 |
33.67%
33 out of 98 |
-9.12%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
-1.00% |
+5.86%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2021 |
59.18%
58 out of 98 |
-1.53%
Feb 2022 - Jan 2025 |
+2.20% |
+7.07%
Dec 2018 - Nov 2021 |
18.60%
16 out of 86 |
-6.19%
Jun 2021 - May 2024 |
-0.64% |
+3.76%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2021 |
59.30%
51 out of 86 |
+0.10%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2025 |
+2.39% |
+6.17%
May 2017 - Apr 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 74 |
-4.68%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2025 |
-1.04% |
+3.85%
May 2017 - Apr 2021 |
67.57%
50 out of 74 |
+0.83%
Jun 2015 - May 2020 |
+2.54% |
+5.72%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 62 |
-2.26%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2024 |
-0.70% |
+2.68%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2021 |
62.90%
39 out of 62 |
+1.45%
May 2018 - Apr 2024 |
+2.80% |
+3.90%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 50 |
-2.28%
May 2018 - Apr 2024 |
-0.55% |
+1.32%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2021 |
68.00%
34 out of 50 |
+1.04%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+2.38% |
+3.67%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 38 |
-2.16%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
-0.87% |
+0.90%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2022 |
89.47%
34 out of 38 |
+1.24%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2023 |
+1.98% |
+3.04%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 26 |
-1.97%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 |
-1.29% |
-0.37%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2024 |
100.00%
26 out of 26 |
+1.51%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2024 |
+1.89% |
+2.32%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 14 |
-1.55%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2024 |
-1.28% |
-0.78%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2024 |
100.00%
14 out of 14 |
+1.81%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2024 |
+1.81% |
+1.96%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 2 |
-1.16%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2024 |
-1.16% |
-1.12%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
100.00%
2 out of 2 |
VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond (CBON) ETF: Historical Returns