When holding the VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~17 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 207 months (from August 2008 to October 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-37.46%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
+3.05% |
+72.74%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
44.90%
88 out of 196 |
|
-38.40%
Apr 2019 - Mar 2020 |
-0.12% |
+68.33%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
50.00%
98 out of 196 |
|
-26.91%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
-0.04% |
+36.49%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2011 |
50.00%
92 out of 184 |
|
-28.13%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2020 |
-2.31% |
+33.61%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
58.70%
108 out of 184 |
|
-16.61%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
+0.38% |
+20.90%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
47.67%
82 out of 172 |
|
-17.32%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2016 |
-2.37% |
+18.08%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
66.86%
115 out of 172 |
|
-10.78%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-2.08% |
+17.52%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013 |
63.13%
101 out of 160 |
|
-11.64%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-4.31% |
+14.93%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2013 |
74.38%
119 out of 160 |
|
-10.13%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
-2.12% |
+14.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
64.86%
96 out of 148 |
|
-11.73%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
-4.21% |
+12.06%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
74.32%
110 out of 148 |
|
-11.35%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
-1.46% |
+8.77%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
69.12%
94 out of 136 |
|
-12.66%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020 |
-4.37% |
+6.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
84.56%
115 out of 136 |
|
-9.15%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-1.72% |
+5.77%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2025 |
83.87%
104 out of 124 |
|
-10.51%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-3.94% |
+2.07%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2025 |
95.16%
118 out of 124 |
|
-7.32%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-1.05% |
+4.86%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2017 |
66.96%
75 out of 112 |
|
-8.71%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020 |
-3.47% |
+3.05%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2017 |
94.64%
106 out of 112 |
|
-7.44%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-1.48% |
+6.98%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
70.00%
70 out of 100 |
|
-8.93%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-3.29% |
+5.09%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2018 |
90.00%
90 out of 100 |
|
-6.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
-1.83% |
+5.10%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025 |
79.55%
70 out of 88 |
|
-7.98%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2024 |
-3.93% |
+2.75%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2019 |
90.91%
80 out of 88 |
|
-4.59%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-1.86% |
+3.51%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2020 |
85.53%
65 out of 76 |
|
-7.02%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-4.09% |
+1.65%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2020 |
94.74%
72 out of 76 |
|
-4.53%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2020 |
-1.73% |
+4.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
67.19%
43 out of 64 |
|
-6.14%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2024 |
-4.19% |
+2.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
90.63%
58 out of 64 |
|
-3.93%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023 |
-1.18% |
+4.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
75.00%
39 out of 52 |
|
-6.39%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2023 |
-3.67% |
+1.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
90.38%
47 out of 52 |
|
-3.30%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2022 |
-1.59% |
+2.73%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2023 |
75.00%
30 out of 40 |
|
-5.37%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024 |
-4.09% |
+0.20%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2023 |
97.50%
39 out of 40 |
|
-3.60%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023 |
-0.65% |
+1.03%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024 |
60.71%
17 out of 28 |
|
-5.74%
Sep 2008 - Aug 2023 |
-3.12% |
-1.50%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024 |
100.00%
28 out of 28 |
|
-2.91%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024 |
+0.99% |
+2.32%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025 |
18.75%
3 out of 16 |
|
-5.07%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024 |
-1.51% |
-0.26%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025 |
100.00%
16 out of 16 |
|
-1.29%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025 |
-0.58% |
+2.56%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025 |
50.00%
2 out of 4 |
|
-3.51%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2025 |
-2.84% |
+0.16%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025 |
75.00%
3 out of 4 |
VanEck Africa Index ETF (AFK) ETF: Historical Returns

