Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024
Holding the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all the available data source (~41 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 495 months (from April 1983 to June 2024). This negative series is not closed yet.
To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: Historical Returns page.
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?
In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.
Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area
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The annualized return of the last 10 years has been -12.74% (updated at Jun 30, 2024).
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.02% |
+148.00%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000 |
-82.02%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
49.79%
241 out of 484 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -2.32% |
+140.27%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000 |
-82.08%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
53.10%
257 out of 484 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -0.47% |
+100.89%
May 2020 - Apr 2022 |
-58.38%
May 2018 - Apr 2020 |
51.48%
243 out of 472 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -3.20% |
+89.19%
May 2020 - Apr 2022 |
-58.87%
May 2018 - Apr 2020 |
57.42%
271 out of 472 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -1.75% |
+52.27%
May 2020 - Apr 2023 |
-38.43%
May 2017 - Apr 2020 |
54.35%
250 out of 460 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -4.29% |
+43.97%
May 2020 - Apr 2023 |
-39.40%
May 2017 - Apr 2020 |
61.74%
284 out of 460 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -2.71% |
+42.29%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
-32.18%
May 2016 - Apr 2020 |
56.03%
251 out of 448 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -5.19% |
+35.31%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
-33.35%
May 2016 - Apr 2020 |
65.63%
294 out of 448 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -2.64% |
+34.82%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008 |
-34.94%
May 2015 - Apr 2020 |
59.17%
258 out of 436 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -5.27% |
+30.26%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2008 |
-35.99%
May 2015 - Apr 2020 |
70.18%
306 out of 436 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -2.02% |
+30.79%
Jul 2002 - Jun 2008 |
-36.46%
May 2014 - Apr 2020 |
59.43%
252 out of 424 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -5.09% |
+26.69%
Jul 2002 - Jun 2008 |
-37.30%
May 2014 - Apr 2020 |
67.92%
288 out of 424 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -1.06% |
+26.99%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2006 |
-31.32%
May 2013 - Apr 2020 |
54.37%
224 out of 412 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -4.44% |
+23.58%
Feb 1999 - Jan 2006 |
-32.29%
May 2013 - Apr 2020 |
65.53%
270 out of 412 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | -0.89% |
+24.10%
Dec 1998 - Nov 2006 |
-29.62%
May 2012 - Apr 2020 |
52.75%
211 out of 400 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -3.85% |
+20.92%
Dec 1998 - Nov 2006 |
-30.59%
May 2012 - Apr 2020 |
61.00%
244 out of 400 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.12% |
+25.56%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2008 |
-27.86%
May 2011 - Apr 2020 |
49.23%
191 out of 388 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -2.69% |
+22.04%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2008 |
-28.92%
May 2011 - Apr 2020 |
61.34%
238 out of 388 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.75% |
+25.23%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008 |
-24.80%
May 2010 - Apr 2020 |
47.07%
177 out of 376 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -2.18% |
+21.65%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008 |
-26.02%
May 2010 - Apr 2020 |
59.57%
224 out of 376 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +1.92% |
+19.02%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2008 |
-20.49%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2020 |
47.53%
173 out of 364 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.99% |
+15.76%
Jul 1997 - Jun 2008 |
-21.81%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2020 |
56.04%
204 out of 364 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.95% |
+16.77%
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008 |
-26.26%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
47.44%
167 out of 352 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -2.12% |
+13.63%
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008 |
-27.36%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
56.53%
199 out of 352 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +2.22% |
+17.03%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2008 |
-21.49%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 |
44.41%
151 out of 340 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.66% |
+13.88%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2008 |
-22.79%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2020 |
54.12%
184 out of 340 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +2.32% |
+14.84%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2008 |
-20.63%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
45.73%
150 out of 328 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.52% |
+11.72%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2008 |
-22.01%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
53.35%
175 out of 328 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +2.09% |
+14.00%
Jul 1993 - Jun 2008 |
-17.40%
May 2005 - Apr 2020 |
43.99%
139 out of 316 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.96% |
+10.92%
Jul 1993 - Jun 2008 |
-18.92%
May 2005 - Apr 2020 |
52.85%
167 out of 316 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +2.53% |
+12.11%
Jul 1992 - Jun 2008 |
-15.15%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2020 |
43.42%
132 out of 304 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.37% |
+9.07%
Jul 1992 - Jun 2008 |
-16.78%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2020 |
50.66%
154 out of 304 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +2.04% |
+11.68%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2008 |
-12.20%
May 2003 - Apr 2020 |
43.84%
128 out of 292 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -0.19% |
+8.64%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2008 |
-13.91%
May 2003 - Apr 2020 |
50.00%
146 out of 292 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.66% |
+12.15%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2008 |
-11.83%
May 2002 - Apr 2020 |
46.07%
129 out of 280 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.84% |
+8.99%
Jul 1990 - Jun 2008 |
-13.56%
May 2002 - Apr 2020 |
53.93%
151 out of 280 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +0.98% |
+10.47%
Jul 1989 - Jun 2008 |
-11.44%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
43.28%
116 out of 268 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.36% |
+7.26%
Jul 1989 - Jun 2008 |
-13.16%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
57.84%
155 out of 268 |
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Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +1.15% |
+11.53%
Jul 1988 - Jun 2008 |
-10.46%
May 2000 - Apr 2020 |
40.23%
103 out of 256 |
US Inflation Adjusted | -1.28% |
+8.17%
Jul 1988 - Jun 2008 |
-12.25%
May 2000 - Apr 2020 |
56.64%
145 out of 256 |
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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF: Historical Returns page.