SPDR FTSE International Govt Infl-Protd Bond ETF (WIP): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1985 - January 2026 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the SPDR FTSE International Govt Infl-Protd Bond ETF (WIP) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 175 months (from April 2008 to October 2022).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 176 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

SPDR FTSE INTERNATIONAL GOVT INFL-PROTD BOND ETF (WIP) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 January 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/01)

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As of Jan 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.25%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR FTSE INTERNATIONAL GOVT INFL-PROTD BOND ETF (WIP) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 January 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/01)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR FTSE INTERNATIONAL GOVT INFL-PROTD BOND ETF (WIP) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 31 January 2026 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-24.66%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+4.38% +53.43%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
34.44%
166 out of 482
-26.51%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.58% +48.68%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
44.81%
216 out of 482
-13.58%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2000
+3.17% +36.91%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
31.91%
150 out of 470
-16.10%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2000
+0.61% +33.50%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
45.32%
213 out of 470
-6.12%
Nov 1997 - Oct 2000
+3.75% +29.12%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
22.49%
103 out of 458
-10.36%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
+1.24% +25.24%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
37.12%
170 out of 458
-6.31%
Nov 1996 - Oct 2000
+4.29% +20.34%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1989
25.78%
115 out of 446
-9.76%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
+1.64% +16.36%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1989
38.34%
171 out of 446
-4.25%
Nov 1995 - Oct 2000
+4.13% +15.01%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1990
20.97%
91 out of 434
-6.64%
Jan 2020 - Dec 2024
+1.47% +11.60%
Jun 2001 - May 2006
35.48%
154 out of 434
-2.73%
Jul 1995 - Jun 2001
+4.19% +16.82%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1991
15.40%
65 out of 422
-5.37%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2024
+1.66% +12.29%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1991
32.70%
138 out of 422
-2.12%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
+4.48% +14.30%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
6.59%
27 out of 410
-5.54%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
+1.78% +10.57%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2008
33.90%
139 out of 410
-1.69%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
+4.76% +12.54%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1992
6.53%
26 out of 398
-4.43%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
+2.26% +8.41%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1992
30.65%
122 out of 398
-1.48%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
+4.83% +11.37%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1994
5.18%
20 out of 386
-4.11%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
+2.14% +7.96%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
27.20%
105 out of 386
-1.30%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
+4.49% +12.12%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
6.95%
26 out of 374
-3.79%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+1.88% +8.26%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
23.53%
88 out of 374
-0.99%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+4.44% +11.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996
7.73%
28 out of 362
-3.66%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+1.87% +7.70%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996
19.34%
70 out of 362
-1.04%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
+4.53% +10.74%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
4.86%
17 out of 350
-3.63%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
+2.15% +7.01%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
17.71%
62 out of 350
-0.25%
May 2011 - Apr 2024
+4.86% +9.52%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998
2.07%
7 out of 338
-2.79%
May 2011 - Apr 2024
+2.30% +6.36%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014
18.93%
64 out of 338
+0.16%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+4.95% +9.25%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 326
-2.36%
May 2011 - Apr 2025
+2.43% +5.85%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
17.18%
56 out of 326
+0.53%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2023
+5.23% +7.81%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 314
-1.87%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2024
+2.53% +4.74%
Jan 1990 - Dec 2004
14.01%
44 out of 314
+0.52%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2024
+5.29% +7.48%
Sep 1989 - Aug 2005
0.00%
0 out of 302
-1.84%
May 2008 - Apr 2024
+2.71% +4.72%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018
14.57%
44 out of 302
+0.49%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2025
+5.45% +7.33%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2008
0.00%
0 out of 290
-1.87%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2025
+2.87% +4.48%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018
14.14%
41 out of 290
+1.32%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022
+5.26% +8.19%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 278
-1.15%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022
+2.74% +5.02%
Jun 1985 - May 2003
15.47%
43 out of 278
+1.52%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.33% +8.94%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
0.00%
0 out of 266
-1.00%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+2.68% +5.75%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
15.41%
41 out of 266
+1.15%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+5.28% +9.21%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
0.00%
0 out of 254
-1.37%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2024
+2.73% +6.01%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
9.84%
25 out of 254
+2.77%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+4.48% +7.82%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010
0.00%
0 out of 194
+0.22%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+2.17% +4.78%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2010
0.00%
0 out of 194
+2.92%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2025
+4.52% +7.07%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 134
+0.38%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2025
+2.06% +4.27%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 134
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