SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond (SYBA.DE): Rolling Returns

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Period: July 1987 - January 2025 (~38 years)
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond (SYBA.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~38 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 120 months (from February 2015 to January 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 February 1995 - 31 January 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2025 (~38 years)

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As of Jan 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.06%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1995 - 31 January 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2025 (~38 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 January 2025 (~38 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-17.05%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.43% +16.21%
May 1995 - Apr 1996
16.59%
73 out of 440
-24.31%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+3.15% +13.46%
May 1995 - Apr 1996
29.32%
129 out of 440
-10.26%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+4.93% +13.55%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997
9.58%
41 out of 428
-16.18%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+3.02% +11.14%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997
18.93%
81 out of 428
-6.70%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+5.07% +12.13%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
8.41%
35 out of 416
-11.82%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.94% +10.24%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
14.66%
61 out of 416
-4.92%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+5.32% +10.78%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
8.42%
34 out of 404
-8.81%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+3.33% +9.10%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
10.64%
43 out of 404
-2.63%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+5.43% +8.97%
Aug 1992 - Jul 1997
8.67%
34 out of 392
-6.21%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+3.46% +6.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
10.97%
43 out of 392
-2.15%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
+5.30% +8.84%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1996
8.95%
34 out of 380
-5.14%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.39% +6.39%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1998
9.74%
37 out of 380
-1.97%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.18% +8.82%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
8.97%
33 out of 368
-4.90%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.14% +6.01%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1998
10.05%
37 out of 368
-1.26%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.13% +8.77%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1998
8.43%
30 out of 356
-3.77%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+3.24% +6.16%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
9.83%
35 out of 356
-0.59%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023
+5.03% +8.56%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
4.65%
16 out of 344
-3.02%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2024
+3.26% +5.78%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
9.88%
34 out of 344
-0.06%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+4.90% +7.90%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1999
0.30%
1 out of 332
-2.58%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+3.17% +5.58%
May 1995 - Apr 2005
9.34%
31 out of 332
+0.65%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+5.00% +7.89%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 320
-1.48%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+3.03% +5.23%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2005
9.06%
29 out of 320
+1.13%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
+5.13% +7.58%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002
0.00%
0 out of 308
-0.95%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2025
+3.18% +5.09%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2003
9.74%
30 out of 308
+1.22%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+5.25% +7.66%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 296
-0.98%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+3.19% +5.05%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2003
9.46%
28 out of 296
+1.51%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+5.18% +7.41%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2004
0.00%
0 out of 284
-0.67%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+3.25% +4.93%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2005
8.80%
25 out of 284
+1.93%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
+5.22% +7.35%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2005
0.00%
0 out of 272
-0.27%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
+3.19% +4.86%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
3.68%
10 out of 272
+2.20%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.27% +7.21%
Jul 1987 - Jun 2003
0.00%
0 out of 260
+0.10%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2023
+3.32% +4.67%
Jul 1987 - Jun 2003
0.00%
0 out of 260
+2.11%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023
+5.29% +7.06%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 248
-0.01%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023
+3.34% +4.49%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.81%
2 out of 248
+1.99%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+5.22% +7.10%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2005
0.00%
0 out of 236
-0.12%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+3.37% +4.57%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2005
1.27%
3 out of 236
+2.17%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+5.40% +6.68%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2006
0.00%
0 out of 224
+0.06%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+3.46% +4.21%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2009
0.00%
0 out of 224
+2.40%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+5.48% +6.56%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2010
0.00%
0 out of 212
+0.26%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+3.41% +4.44%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 212
+3.04%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
+5.35% +6.42%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 152
+0.90%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+3.55% +4.22%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 152
+3.73%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+5.25% +5.85%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 92
+1.61%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+3.32% +3.73%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 92
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