SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond (SYBA.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: July 1987 - August 2025 (~38 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the SPDR Bloomberg Euro Aggregate Bond (SYBA.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~38 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 127 months (from February 2015 to August 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 September 1995 - 31 August 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 August 2025 (~38 years)
30 Years
(1995/09 - 2025/08)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2025/08)

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As of Aug 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.22%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 1995 - 31 August 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 August 2025 (~38 years)
30 Years
(1995/09 - 2025/08)
All Data
(1987/07 - 2025/08)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR BLOOMBERG EURO AGGREGATE BOND (SYBA.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1987 - 31 August 2025 (~38 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-17.05%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.33% +16.21%
May 1995 - Apr 1996
16.33%
73 out of 447
-24.31%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+3.08% +13.46%
May 1995 - Apr 1996
29.08%
130 out of 447
-10.26%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+4.87% +13.55%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997
9.43%
41 out of 435
-16.18%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+2.95% +11.14%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997
18.62%
81 out of 435
-6.70%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+5.03% +12.13%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
9.22%
39 out of 423
-11.82%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.87% +10.24%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
16.08%
68 out of 423
-4.92%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+5.31% +10.78%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
9.98%
41 out of 411
-8.81%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+3.27% +9.10%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
12.17%
50 out of 411
-2.63%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+5.43% +8.97%
Aug 1992 - Jul 1997
10.28%
41 out of 399
-6.21%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+3.45% +6.60%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
12.53%
50 out of 399
-2.15%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
+5.24% +8.84%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1996
10.59%
41 out of 387
-5.21%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+3.38% +6.39%
Sep 1992 - Aug 1998
11.37%
44 out of 387
-1.97%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.15% +8.82%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1997
10.67%
40 out of 375
-4.90%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.13% +6.01%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1998
11.73%
44 out of 375
-1.26%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.12% +8.77%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1998
10.19%
37 out of 363
-3.77%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+3.21% +6.16%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
11.57%
42 out of 363
-0.59%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023
+4.99% +8.56%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
6.55%
23 out of 351
-3.27%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2025
+3.22% +5.78%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
11.68%
41 out of 351
-0.28%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+4.88% +7.90%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1999
1.18%
4 out of 339
-2.70%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+3.13% +5.58%
May 1995 - Apr 2005
11.21%
38 out of 339
+0.36%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2025
+4.98% +7.89%
Oct 1987 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 327
-1.96%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2025
+3.02% +5.23%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2005
11.01%
36 out of 327
+0.98%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.10% +7.58%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2002
0.00%
0 out of 315
-1.15%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+3.17% +5.09%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2003
11.75%
37 out of 315
+1.22%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+5.22% +7.66%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 303
-0.98%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+3.18% +5.05%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2003
11.55%
35 out of 303
+1.51%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+5.11% +7.41%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2004
0.00%
0 out of 291
-0.67%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+3.19% +4.93%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2005
11.00%
32 out of 291
+1.61%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+5.20% +7.35%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2005
0.00%
0 out of 279
-0.57%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+3.18% +4.86%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2005
6.09%
17 out of 279
+1.96%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2025
+5.26% +7.21%
Jul 1987 - Jun 2003
0.00%
0 out of 267
-0.19%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2025
+3.30% +4.67%
Jul 1987 - Jun 2003
0.75%
2 out of 267
+2.11%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023
+5.27% +7.06%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.00%
0 out of 255
-0.01%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023
+3.32% +4.49%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2004
0.78%
2 out of 255
+1.99%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+5.18% +7.10%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2005
0.00%
0 out of 243
-0.12%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+3.33% +4.57%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2005
1.23%
3 out of 243
+2.17%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+5.28% +6.68%
Oct 1987 - Sep 2006
0.00%
0 out of 231
+0.06%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+3.45% +4.21%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2009
0.00%
0 out of 231
+2.25%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+5.44% +6.56%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2010
0.00%
0 out of 219
+0.14%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+3.40% +4.44%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 219
+3.04%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
+5.30% +6.42%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 159
+0.90%
May 1999 - Apr 2024
+3.52% +4.22%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 159
+3.73%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+5.19% +5.85%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 99
+1.61%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+3.27% +3.73%
Sep 1987 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 99
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