SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2012 - March 2026 (~14 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 159 months (from January 2013 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 2016 - 31 March 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 March 2026 (~14 years)
All Data
(2012/01 - 2026/03)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 March 2026 (~14 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-21.85%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+2.04% +15.82%
Jan 2025 - Dec 2025
43.13%
69 out of 160
-27.77%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
-0.74% +13.50%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
52.50%
84 out of 160
-11.99%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+0.24% +12.85%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
46.62%
69 out of 148
-17.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
-2.05% +10.28%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
62.16%
92 out of 148
-8.56%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-0.70% +10.05%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
52.94%
72 out of 136
-12.94%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-2.33% +6.96%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
69.12%
94 out of 136
-4.40%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
-1.25% +6.19%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
58.87%
73 out of 124
-8.64%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
-3.18% +3.98%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
82.26%
102 out of 124
-4.72%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-0.44% +5.85%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
58.93%
66 out of 112
-8.17%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-2.64% +3.81%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
87.50%
98 out of 112
-3.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-0.02% +3.61%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
51.00%
51 out of 100
-6.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-2.89% +1.28%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
89.00%
89 out of 100
-1.88%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
+0.03% +2.00%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2025
47.73%
42 out of 88
-4.90%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
-2.43% +0.33%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2021
98.86%
87 out of 88
-2.99%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
+0.28% +1.80%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023
39.47%
30 out of 76
-5.70%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
-2.72% -0.04%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019
100.00%
76 out of 76
-2.78%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
+0.05% +2.15%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2025
48.44%
31 out of 64
-5.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-2.59% +0.31%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020
98.44%
63 out of 64
-2.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-0.55% +2.83%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
69.23%
36 out of 52
-5.00%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-3.20% -0.39%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
100.00%
52 out of 52
-1.70%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-0.52% +1.47%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026
77.50%
31 out of 40
-4.36%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-3.09% -1.53%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2026
100.00%
40 out of 40
-1.10%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-0.29% +1.15%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026
60.71%
17 out of 28
-3.68%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-2.81% -1.57%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2026
100.00%
28 out of 28
-0.35%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
+0.20% +0.60%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
25.00%
4 out of 16
-2.90%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
-2.40% -1.98%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
100.00%
16 out of 16
+0.41%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026
+0.71% +1.06%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025
0.00%
0 out of 4
-2.19%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2026
-1.85% -1.51%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2025
100.00%
4 out of 4
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