SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2012 - September 2025 (~14 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 158 months (from February 2012 to March 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 159 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 2015 - 30 September 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 30 September 2025 (~14 years)
All Data
(2012/01 - 2025/09)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 30 September 2025 (~14 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-21.85%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+1.60% +15.26%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
44.81%
69 out of 154
-27.77%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
-1.29% +13.50%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
54.55%
84 out of 154
-11.99%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+0.02% +12.85%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
48.59%
69 out of 142
-17.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
-2.28% +10.28%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
64.79%
92 out of 142
-8.56%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-0.74% +9.96%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025
55.38%
72 out of 130
-12.94%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-2.52% +6.80%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025
72.31%
94 out of 130
-4.40%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
-1.27% +6.19%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
61.86%
73 out of 118
-8.64%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
-3.41% +3.98%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
82.20%
97 out of 118
-4.72%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-0.49% +5.85%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
60.38%
64 out of 106
-8.17%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-2.44% +3.81%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
86.79%
92 out of 106
-3.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-0.21% +3.61%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
54.26%
51 out of 94
-6.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-2.85% +1.28%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
88.30%
83 out of 94
-1.88%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-0.00% +2.00%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2025
51.22%
42 out of 82
-4.90%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
-2.49% +0.33%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2021
98.78%
81 out of 82
-2.99%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
+0.25% +1.80%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023
41.43%
29 out of 70
-5.70%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
-2.72% -0.04%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019
100.00%
70 out of 70
-2.78%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-0.08% +2.05%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024
53.45%
31 out of 58
-5.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-2.94% +0.31%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020
98.28%
57 out of 58
-2.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-0.62% +2.46%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
78.26%
36 out of 46
-5.00%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-3.37% -0.66%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
100.00%
46 out of 46
-1.70%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-0.55% +0.52%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2025
91.18%
31 out of 34
-4.36%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-3.14% -2.27%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2025
100.00%
34 out of 34
-1.10%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-0.52% +0.75%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
77.27%
17 out of 22
-3.68%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-3.09% -1.95%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
100.00%
22 out of 22
-0.35%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
+0.01% +0.60%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
30.00%
3 out of 10
-2.90%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
-2.53% -1.98%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
100.00%
10 out of 10
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