When holding the SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 158 months (from February 2012 to March 2025).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 159 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-21.85%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+1.60% |
+15.26%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016 |
45.10%
69 out of 153 |
-27.77%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
-1.29% |
+13.50%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016 |
54.90%
84 out of 153 |
-11.99%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+0.02% |
+12.85%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
48.94%
69 out of 141 |
-17.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
-2.28% |
+10.28%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 |
65.25%
92 out of 141 |
-8.56%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
-0.74% |
+7.47%
Sep 2022 - Aug 2025 |
55.81%
72 out of 129 |
-12.94%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
-2.52% |
+4.42%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2019 |
72.87%
94 out of 129 |
-4.40%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016 |
-1.27% |
+6.19%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
62.39%
73 out of 117 |
-8.64%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
-3.41% |
+3.98%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019 |
82.05%
96 out of 117 |
-4.72%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-0.49% |
+5.85%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
60.95%
64 out of 105 |
-8.17%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-2.40% |
+3.81%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
86.67%
91 out of 105 |
-3.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-0.21% |
+3.61%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
54.84%
51 out of 93 |
-6.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-2.75% |
+1.28%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021 |
88.17%
82 out of 93 |
-1.88%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020 |
-0.00% |
+2.00%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2025 |
51.85%
42 out of 81 |
-4.90%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025 |
-2.49% |
+0.33%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2021 |
98.77%
80 out of 81 |
-2.99%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+0.25% |
+1.80%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023 |
42.03%
29 out of 69 |
-5.70%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
-2.61% |
-0.04%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019 |
100.00%
69 out of 69 |
-2.78%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-0.08% |
+2.05%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
54.39%
31 out of 57 |
-5.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
-2.94% |
+0.31%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020 |
98.25%
56 out of 57 |
-2.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-0.62% |
+2.12%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2025 |
80.00%
36 out of 45 |
-5.00%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-3.37% |
-0.96%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2025 |
100.00%
45 out of 45 |
-1.70%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
-0.55% |
+0.05%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2024 |
93.94%
31 out of 33 |
-4.36%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
-3.14% |
-2.61%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2024 |
100.00%
33 out of 33 |
-1.10%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
-0.52% |
+0.75%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025 |
80.95%
17 out of 21 |
-3.68%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
-3.09% |
-1.95%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025 |
100.00%
21 out of 21 |
-0.35%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025 |
+0.01% |
+0.60%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
33.33%
3 out of 9 |
-2.90%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025 |
-2.53% |
-1.98%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
100.00%
9 out of 9 |
SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF: Historical Returns