SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 2012 - October 2025 (~14 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the SPDR Blmbg Barclays Em Mkts Lcl Bd (EBND) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~14 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 158 months (from February 2012 to March 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 159 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 2015 - 31 October 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 October 2025 (~14 years)
All Data
(2012/01 - 2025/10)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SPDR BLMBG BARCLAYS EM MKTS LCL BD (EBND) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2012 - 31 October 2025 (~14 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-21.85%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
+1.80% +15.26%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
44.52%
69 out of 155
-27.77%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
-1.01% +13.50%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2016
54.19%
84 out of 155
-11.99%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+0.07% +12.85%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
48.25%
69 out of 143
-17.73%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
-2.28% +10.28%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2018
64.34%
92 out of 143
-8.56%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-0.73% +10.05%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
54.96%
72 out of 131
-12.94%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022
-2.47% +6.96%
Nov 2022 - Oct 2025
71.76%
94 out of 131
-4.40%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2016
-1.26% +6.19%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
61.34%
73 out of 119
-8.64%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024
-3.24% +3.98%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2019
82.35%
98 out of 119
-4.72%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-0.47% +5.85%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
59.81%
64 out of 107
-8.17%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
-2.44% +3.81%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020
86.92%
93 out of 107
-3.02%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-0.20% +3.61%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
53.68%
51 out of 95
-6.29%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
-2.85% +1.28%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
88.42%
84 out of 95
-1.88%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
-0.00% +2.00%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2025
50.60%
42 out of 83
-4.90%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2025
-2.43% +0.33%
Feb 2014 - Jan 2021
98.80%
82 out of 83
-2.99%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
+0.28% +1.80%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2023
40.85%
29 out of 71
-5.70%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
-2.61% -0.04%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2019
100.00%
71 out of 71
-2.78%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-0.05% +2.05%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024
52.54%
31 out of 59
-5.36%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
-2.92% +0.31%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020
98.31%
58 out of 59
-2.58%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-0.61% +2.46%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
76.60%
36 out of 47
-5.00%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
-3.29% -0.69%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2025
100.00%
47 out of 47
-1.70%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-0.54% +0.52%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2025
88.57%
31 out of 35
-4.36%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-3.11% -2.30%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2025
100.00%
35 out of 35
-1.10%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-0.51% +0.75%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
73.91%
17 out of 23
-3.68%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024
-3.06% -1.95%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2025
100.00%
23 out of 23
-0.35%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
+0.20% +0.60%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
27.27%
3 out of 11
-2.90%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2025
-2.40% -1.98%
Jun 2012 - May 2025
100.00%
11 out of 11
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