Schwab US REIT ETF (SCHH): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 2011 - September 2025 (~15 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the Schwab US REIT ETF (SCHH) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~15 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 88 months (from July 2016 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 89 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

SCHWAB US REIT ETF (SCHH) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 2015 - 30 September 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 2011 - 30 September 2025 (~15 years)
All Data
(2011/02 - 2025/09)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

SCHWAB US REIT ETF (SCHH) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 2011 - 30 September 2025 (~15 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-25.93%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2020
+7.71% +46.03%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2021
27.27%
45 out of 165
-29.51%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+4.87% +37.48%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2021
32.73%
54 out of 165
-13.79%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+7.35% +26.11%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
20.26%
31 out of 153
-18.27%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+4.47% +19.48%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
28.76%
44 out of 153
-5.11%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2022
+5.93% +17.04%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2014
17.02%
24 out of 141
-9.58%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2022
+3.18% +15.40%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2014
35.46%
50 out of 141
-5.31%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+6.52% +15.06%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015
16.28%
21 out of 129
-9.45%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+3.68% +13.57%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2015
31.01%
40 out of 129
-1.50%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020
+5.66% +15.44%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2016
3.42%
4 out of 117
-4.57%
May 2019 - Apr 2024
+2.43% +14.01%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2016
28.21%
33 out of 117
+0.00%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+4.54% +12.53%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2017
0.00%
0 out of 105
-3.61%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+1.85% +10.97%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2017
34.29%
36 out of 105
+0.14%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+5.23% +11.35%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
0.00%
0 out of 93
-3.27%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+2.27% +9.66%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2018
26.88%
25 out of 93
+1.05%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+4.76% +11.97%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2019
0.00%
0 out of 81
-2.15%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+2.94% +10.25%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2019
27.16%
22 out of 81
+1.69%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+5.17% +9.36%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2020
0.00%
0 out of 69
-1.31%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+2.66% +7.47%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2020
18.84%
13 out of 69
+3.04%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+5.02% +9.77%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 57
-0.08%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
+2.26% +7.64%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2021
1.75%
1 out of 57
+3.40%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+5.41% +8.55%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2022
0.00%
0 out of 45
+0.61%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
+2.61% +6.17%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2022
0.00%
0 out of 45
+4.38%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+5.56% +6.82%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2023
0.00%
0 out of 33
+1.60%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+2.81% +4.13%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2023
0.00%
0 out of 33
+4.91%
May 2011 - Apr 2024
+5.79% +8.22%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 21
+2.25%
May 2011 - Apr 2024
+3.08% +5.52%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2024
0.00%
0 out of 21
+5.63%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+6.26% +7.29%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 9
+2.98%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+3.56% +4.60%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025
0.00%
0 out of 9
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