When holding the ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 160 months (from June 2010 to September 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 161 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-51.65%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2013 |
+3.67% |
+100.97%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2011 |
44.94%
80 out of 178 |
-52.37%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2013 |
+1.03% |
+93.70%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2011 |
46.63%
83 out of 178 |
-35.42%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2014 |
+3.54% |
+80.06%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2011 |
41.57%
69 out of 166 |
-36.21%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2014 |
-0.06% |
+75.76%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2011 |
50.00%
83 out of 166 |
-30.55%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2015 |
+1.01% |
+41.71%
May 2009 - Apr 2012 |
45.45%
70 out of 154 |
-31.22%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2015 |
-1.79% |
+38.22%
May 2009 - Apr 2012 |
55.84%
86 out of 154 |
-25.92%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015 |
+3.73% |
+28.19%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012 |
45.07%
64 out of 142 |
-26.78%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2015 |
-0.81% |
+25.35%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2012 |
52.11%
74 out of 142 |
-19.12%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2016 |
+3.37% |
+18.98%
Aug 2015 - Jul 2020 |
43.85%
57 out of 130 |
-20.14%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2016 |
+1.36% |
+17.05%
Aug 2015 - Jul 2020 |
47.69%
62 out of 130 |
-16.54%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2018 |
+1.94% |
+19.61%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2024 |
43.22%
51 out of 118 |
-17.75%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2018 |
-0.68% |
+15.27%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2024 |
50.00%
59 out of 118 |
-15.92%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018 |
+2.54% |
+13.47%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2024 |
41.51%
44 out of 106 |
-17.20%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018 |
+0.32% |
+9.57%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2024 |
46.23%
49 out of 106 |
-9.89%
May 2011 - Apr 2019 |
+0.73% |
+10.22%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2024 |
45.74%
43 out of 94 |
-11.34%
May 2011 - Apr 2019 |
-1.10% |
+6.62%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2024 |
61.70%
58 out of 94 |
-5.99%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2021 |
-1.49% |
+12.50%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
58.54%
48 out of 82 |
-7.75%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2021 |
-3.28% |
+9.03%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2024 |
71.95%
59 out of 82 |
-7.00%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
+0.37% |
+8.98%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2024 |
42.86%
30 out of 70 |
-9.28%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022 |
-1.45% |
+5.95%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2024 |
74.29%
52 out of 70 |
-7.07%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2022 |
-0.64% |
+7.50%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2020 |
53.45%
31 out of 58 |
-9.30%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2022 |
-2.87% |
+5.70%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2020 |
67.24%
39 out of 58 |
-5.27%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023 |
-0.09% |
+6.62%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2020 |
52.17%
24 out of 46 |
-7.63%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023 |
-2.63% |
+4.73%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2020 |
67.39%
31 out of 46 |
-1.89%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2024 |
+0.72% |
+5.66%
May 2009 - Apr 2022 |
29.41%
10 out of 34 |
-4.34%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2024 |
-1.77% |
+3.21%
May 2009 - Apr 2022 |
67.65%
23 out of 34 |
+1.32%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2023 |
+3.27% |
+5.32%
May 2009 - Apr 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 22 |
-1.18%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2023 |
+0.62% |
+2.69%
May 2009 - Apr 2023 |
22.73%
5 out of 22 |
+3.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
+5.30% |
+6.38%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 10 |
+1.18%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
+2.63% |
+3.74%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 10 |
ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) ETF: Historical Returns