When holding the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~15 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 161 months (from September 2011 to January 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-32.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+1.91% |
+33.16%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
46.43%
78 out of 168 |
-36.94%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+0.49% |
+32.70%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 |
48.81%
82 out of 168 |
-22.36%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+1.84% |
+22.16%
Jun 2010 - May 2012 |
38.46%
60 out of 156 |
-26.39%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
-0.12% |
+20.38%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020 |
50.00%
78 out of 156 |
-17.91%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+3.79% |
+17.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013 |
34.72%
50 out of 144 |
-22.36%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+1.84% |
+14.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013 |
40.28%
58 out of 144 |
-13.39%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+3.88% |
+11.69%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015 |
25.00%
33 out of 132 |
-17.63%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+2.02% |
+10.04%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015 |
34.09%
45 out of 132 |
-7.64%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2025 |
+2.82% |
+11.75%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015 |
28.33%
34 out of 120 |
-11.42%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2025 |
+0.72% |
+9.93%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015 |
36.67%
44 out of 120 |
-5.04%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+2.52% |
+10.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016 |
34.26%
37 out of 108 |
-8.47%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+1.01% |
+9.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016 |
46.30%
50 out of 108 |
-5.06%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+2.77% |
+8.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017 |
31.25%
30 out of 96 |
-8.27%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+1.16% |
+6.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017 |
40.63%
39 out of 96 |
-3.89%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024 |
+3.71% |
+6.73%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018 |
34.52%
29 out of 84 |
-7.02%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024 |
+1.72% |
+4.90%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018 |
40.48%
34 out of 84 |
-2.69%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
+2.77% |
+8.50%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
31.94%
23 out of 72 |
-5.83%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2025 |
+0.51% |
+6.75%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
48.61%
35 out of 72 |
-2.43%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
+0.66% |
+9.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
38.33%
23 out of 60 |
-5.38%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
-2.07% |
+7.21%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020 |
56.67%
34 out of 60 |
-1.99%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+0.34% |
+7.12%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021 |
39.58%
19 out of 48 |
-4.55%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
-2.20% |
+5.26%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021 |
62.50%
30 out of 48 |
-1.32%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+0.12% |
+5.99%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022 |
47.22%
17 out of 36 |
-3.87%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
-2.38% |
+3.63%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022 |
75.00%
27 out of 36 |
-0.68%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2025 |
+1.05% |
+3.65%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023 |
8.33%
2 out of 24 |
-3.22%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2025 |
-1.54% |
+1.06%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023 |
83.33%
20 out of 24 |
+1.02%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024 |
+1.50% |
+2.66%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 12 |
-1.58%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024 |
-1.12% |
+0.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024 |
91.67%
11 out of 12 |
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) ETF: Historical Returns