ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: March 2010 - March 2026 (~16 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 170 months (from February 2012 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

PROSHARES ULTRA 7-10 YEAR TREASURY (UST) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 2016 - 31 March 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2026 (~16 years)
All Data
(2010/03 - 2026/03)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

PROSHARES ULTRA 7-10 YEAR TREASURY (UST) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 March 2026 (~16 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-32.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.21% +33.16%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
43.41%
79 out of 182
-36.94%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.27% +32.70%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
47.25%
86 out of 182
-22.36%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+1.70% +22.16%
Jun 2010 - May 2012
37.65%
64 out of 170
-26.39%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
-0.21% +20.38%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020
50.59%
86 out of 170
-17.91%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.32% +17.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013
37.34%
59 out of 158
-22.36%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+0.84% +14.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013
45.57%
72 out of 158
-13.39%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+3.09% +11.69%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015
32.19%
47 out of 146
-17.63%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+1.66% +10.04%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015
40.41%
59 out of 146
-9.42%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+2.21% +11.75%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015
35.82%
48 out of 134
-13.37%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+0.53% +9.93%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015
43.28%
58 out of 134
-7.01%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
+1.38% +10.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
41.80%
51 out of 122
-10.76%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2026
-0.26% +9.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
52.46%
64 out of 122
-5.06%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+1.99% +8.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017
40.00%
44 out of 110
-8.27%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+0.37% +6.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017
48.18%
53 out of 110
-3.89%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+2.97% +6.73%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018
43.88%
43 out of 98
-7.02%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+0.46% +4.90%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018
48.98%
48 out of 98
-2.98%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+0.74% +8.50%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
43.02%
37 out of 86
-6.10%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
-1.95% +6.75%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
56.98%
49 out of 86
-2.43%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
-0.04% +9.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
50.00%
37 out of 74
-5.38%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
-2.69% +7.21%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
64.86%
48 out of 74
-1.99%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
-0.02% +7.12%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021
50.00%
31 out of 62
-4.55%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-2.70% +5.26%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021
70.97%
44 out of 62
-1.32%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
+0.28% +5.99%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022
42.00%
21 out of 50
-3.87%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
-2.41% +3.63%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022
82.00%
41 out of 50
-0.77%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
+0.21% +3.65%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
36.84%
14 out of 38
-3.36%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
-2.37% +1.06%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
89.47%
34 out of 38
+0.04%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
+1.37% +2.66%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 26
-2.51%
Feb 2012 - Jan 2026
-1.24% +0.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
96.15%
25 out of 26
+1.31%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+1.96% +2.71%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2025
0.00%
0 out of 14
-1.32%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
-0.66% +0.10%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2025
85.71%
12 out of 14
+2.74%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+2.74% +2.92%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 2
+0.09%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2026
+0.09% +0.31%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 2
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