ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: March 2010 - May 2026 (~16 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 172 months (from February 2012 to May 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

PROSHARES ULTRA 7-10 YEAR TREASURY (UST) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 June 2016 - 31 May 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2026 (~16 years)
All Data
(2010/03 - 2026/05)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

PROSHARES ULTRA 7-10 YEAR TREASURY (UST) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 May 2026 (~16 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-32.06%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.21% +33.16%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
42.93%
79 out of 184
-36.94%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.05% +32.70%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
47.83%
88 out of 184
-22.36%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+1.84% +22.16%
Jun 2010 - May 2012
37.21%
64 out of 172
-26.39%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
-0.12% +20.38%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020
50.00%
86 out of 172
-17.91%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.30% +17.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013
38.13%
61 out of 160
-22.36%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+0.65% +14.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2013
46.25%
74 out of 160
-13.39%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+2.85% +11.69%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015
33.11%
49 out of 148
-17.63%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+1.62% +10.04%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2015
41.22%
61 out of 148
-9.42%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025
+2.20% +11.75%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015
36.76%
50 out of 136
-13.37%
Jun 2020 - May 2025
+0.48% +9.93%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2015
44.12%
60 out of 136
-7.31%
Jun 2020 - May 2026
+1.30% +10.81%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
42.74%
53 out of 124
-11.34%
Jun 2020 - May 2026
-0.32% +9.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2016
53.23%
66 out of 124
-5.06%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+1.99% +8.14%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017
41.07%
46 out of 112
-8.27%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+0.22% +6.38%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2017
49.11%
55 out of 112
-3.89%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+2.03% +6.73%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018
45.00%
45 out of 100
-7.02%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
-0.69% +4.90%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018
50.00%
50 out of 100
-2.98%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
+0.71% +8.50%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
44.32%
39 out of 88
-6.10%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2025
-1.97% +6.75%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
57.95%
51 out of 88
-2.43%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
-0.08% +9.07%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
51.32%
39 out of 76
-5.38%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025
-2.73% +7.21%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2020
65.79%
50 out of 76
-1.99%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
-0.05% +7.12%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021
51.56%
33 out of 64
-4.55%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
-2.70% +5.26%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2021
71.88%
46 out of 64
-1.32%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
+0.17% +5.99%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022
42.31%
22 out of 52
-3.87%
Jun 2012 - May 2024
-2.49% +3.63%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2022
82.69%
43 out of 52
-0.77%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2025
+0.17% +3.65%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
40.00%
16 out of 40
-3.37%
May 2013 - Apr 2026
-2.38% +1.06%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2023
90.00%
36 out of 40
-0.46%
Jun 2012 - May 2026
+1.26% +2.66%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
7.14%
2 out of 28
-3.12%
Jun 2012 - May 2026
-1.30% +0.04%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
96.43%
27 out of 28
+1.31%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+1.82% +2.71%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2025
0.00%
0 out of 16
-1.32%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
-0.81% +0.10%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2025
87.50%
14 out of 16
+2.12%
Jun 2010 - May 2026
+2.48% +2.92%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 4
-0.59%
Jun 2010 - May 2026
-0.20% +0.31%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2026
50.00%
2 out of 4
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