When holding the Nuveen ESG U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NUBD) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~33 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 105 months (from February 2015 to October 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 106 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Nuveen ESG U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NUBD) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.52%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-15.34%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+5.35% |
+22.28%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2009 |
19.74%
76 out of 385 |
|
-21.43%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+2.92% |
+20.92%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2009 |
32.99%
127 out of 385 |
|
-8.67%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+5.05% |
+15.49%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2010 |
9.12%
34 out of 373 |
|
-14.63%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 |
+2.63% |
+14.95%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2010 |
18.23%
68 out of 373 |
|
-5.79%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+5.16% |
+11.86%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1997 |
9.70%
35 out of 361 |
|
-10.89%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+2.67% |
+9.15%
Jun 2000 - May 2003 |
16.90%
61 out of 361 |
|
-3.15%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+4.95% |
+11.40%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998 |
10.89%
38 out of 349 |
|
-7.90%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+2.38% |
+8.89%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1998 |
17.77%
62 out of 349 |
|
-1.41%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025 |
+5.36% |
+9.04%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2001 |
7.72%
26 out of 337 |
|
-5.67%
Aug 2020 - Jul 2025 |
+2.85% |
+6.49%
Aug 2007 - Jul 2012 |
16.62%
56 out of 337 |
|
-0.56%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
+6.02% |
+9.41%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2000 |
1.85%
6 out of 325 |
|
-4.47%
May 2020 - Apr 2026 |
+3.36% |
+6.68%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2000 |
17.23%
56 out of 325 |
|
-0.35%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+6.15% |
+9.69%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2001 |
0.64%
2 out of 313 |
|
-3.72%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 |
+3.57% |
+7.01%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2001 |
16.61%
52 out of 313 |
|
+0.28%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 |
+6.05% |
+9.50%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 301 |
|
-2.90%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 |
+3.59% |
+6.90%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2002 |
16.94%
51 out of 301 |
|
+0.32%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+5.87% |
+9.08%
Jun 1994 - May 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 289 |
|
-2.52%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
+3.54% |
+6.50%
Jun 1994 - May 2003 |
17.65%
51 out of 289 |
|
+0.56%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+5.60% |
+8.65%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 277 |
|
-2.12%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2025 |
+3.36% |
+6.03%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2004 |
18.05%
50 out of 277 |
|
+0.53%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+5.43% |
+8.12%
Jun 1994 - May 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 265 |
|
-2.03%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
+3.32% |
+5.49%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2005 |
18.49%
49 out of 265 |
|
+1.22%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
+5.36% |
+7.81%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 253 |
|
-1.42%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2024 |
+3.31% |
+5.16%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2006 |
18.58%
47 out of 253 |
|
+1.25%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
+5.23% |
+7.89%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 241 |
|
-1.36%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
+3.22% |
+5.08%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2008 |
18.26%
44 out of 241 |
|
+1.86%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2024 |
+5.32% |
+7.69%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 229 |
|
-0.80%
May 2012 - Apr 2026 |
+3.22% |
+5.21%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2010 |
14.41%
33 out of 229 |
|
+2.11%
May 2011 - Apr 2026 |
+5.15% |
+7.90%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 217 |
|
-0.54%
May 2011 - Apr 2026 |
+3.03% |
+5.26%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2009 |
8.76%
19 out of 217 |
|
+2.41%
May 2010 - Apr 2026 |
+5.10% |
+7.98%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 205 |
|
-0.28%
May 2010 - Apr 2026 |
+3.09% |
+5.43%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2010 |
1.46%
3 out of 205 |
|
+2.86%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025 |
+5.10% |
+7.68%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 193 |
|
+0.42%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2025 |
+2.98% |
+5.08%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 193 |
|
+3.07%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026 |
+5.25% |
+7.73%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 181 |
|
+0.58%
May 2008 - Apr 2026 |
+3.15% |
+5.17%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 181 |
|
+3.03%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 |
+5.39% |
+7.36%
May 1994 - Apr 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
|
+0.47%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 |
+3.18% |
+4.83%
May 1994 - Apr 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
|
+3.20%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
+5.42% |
+7.11%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+0.61%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
+3.17% |
+4.76%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+3.95%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+4.93% |
+6.23%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
|
+1.37%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023 |
+2.48% |
+3.95%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
|
+4.59%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+4.85% |
+5.15%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
|
+2.01%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+2.28% |
+2.57%
Oct 1994 - Sep 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
Nuveen ESG U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NUBD) ETF: Historical Returns
