JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-1 yr (BBLL.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1975 - September 2025 (~51 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-1 yr (BBLL.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~51 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 254 months (from November 2000 to December 2021).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 255 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-1 YR (BBLL.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 October 1995 - 30 September 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1975 - 30 September 2025 (~51 years)
30 Years
(1995/10 - 2025/09)
All Data
(1975/01 - 2025/09)

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As of Sep 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.61%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-1 YR (BBLL.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1995 - 30 September 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1975 - 30 September 2025 (~51 years)
30 Years
(1995/10 - 2025/09)
All Data
(1975/01 - 2025/09)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

JPM BETABUILDERS US TREASURY BOND 0-1 YR (BBLL.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1975 - 30 September 2025 (~51 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-26.17%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+4.46% +60.26%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1981
37.29%
223 out of 598
-26.74%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986
+1.35% +50.43%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1981
44.82%
268 out of 598
-17.91%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
+3.68% +39.25%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1982
30.20%
177 out of 586
-18.00%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987
+0.48% +31.43%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1982
45.73%
268 out of 586
-13.18%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987
+3.06% +32.94%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1983
23.17%
133 out of 574
-13.84%
Jan 2002 - Dec 2004
+0.54% +26.66%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1983
44.08%
253 out of 574
-8.20%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004
+3.53% +31.19%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
23.13%
130 out of 562
-10.14%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004
+1.01% +25.94%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984
41.81%
235 out of 562
-6.05%
Jun 2001 - May 2006
+3.46% +29.12%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
18.00%
99 out of 550
-8.03%
Jun 2001 - May 2006
+0.94% +24.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985
37.64%
207 out of 550
-6.90%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
+3.35% +25.16%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1984
15.06%
81 out of 538
-9.01%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
+1.19% +19.83%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1984
36.80%
198 out of 538
-5.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+3.14% +21.84%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
12.55%
66 out of 526
-8.16%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+1.30% +16.95%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985
36.50%
192 out of 526
-4.11%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2009
+3.17% +18.11%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985
12.84%
66 out of 514
-6.04%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2009
+1.30% +13.55%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985
32.88%
169 out of 514
-3.54%
May 2002 - Apr 2011
+3.23% +16.46%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985
9.76%
49 out of 502
-5.52%
May 2002 - Apr 2011
+1.37% +11.98%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985
33.27%
167 out of 502
-3.36%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011
+3.23% +16.83%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
12.45%
61 out of 490
-5.31%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011
+1.33% +12.20%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985
24.29%
119 out of 490
-2.54%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2013
+3.25% +12.96%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1986
9.41%
45 out of 478
-4.48%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2013
+1.36% +8.96%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1989
24.27%
116 out of 478
-2.38%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014
+3.11% +10.59%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1986
8.80%
41 out of 466
-4.24%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014
+1.13% +7.02%
Jul 1979 - Jun 1991
24.46%
114 out of 466
-2.18%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014
+3.01% +10.50%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1991
6.17%
28 out of 454
-4.02%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014
+1.02% +7.10%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1991
23.57%
107 out of 454
-1.17%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+3.22% +10.27%
Jun 1975 - May 1989
6.33%
28 out of 442
-3.14%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+1.15% +6.93%
Jun 1975 - May 1989
25.57%
113 out of 442
-0.55%
Jun 2001 - May 2016
+3.21% +9.94%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1993
4.42%
19 out of 430
-2.19%
Jun 2001 - May 2016
+1.03% +6.52%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1993
23.26%
100 out of 430
-1.16%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018
+3.19% +9.12%
Jun 1975 - May 1991
3.83%
16 out of 418
-2.74%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018
+0.96% +5.76%
Jun 1975 - May 1991
22.25%
93 out of 418
-0.76%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018
+3.29% +8.91%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997
5.42%
22 out of 406
-2.41%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018
+1.05% +5.98%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997
22.66%
92 out of 406
-0.36%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2019
+2.86% +8.85%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998
3.30%
13 out of 394
-1.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2019
+0.73% +5.88%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998
19.29%
76 out of 394
-0.56%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2021
+2.88% +9.09%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1997
3.14%
12 out of 382
-2.07%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2021
+0.75% +5.91%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1997
24.61%
94 out of 382
-0.55%
Jun 2001 - May 2021
+3.00% +9.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
3.51%
13 out of 370
-2.11%
Jun 2001 - May 2021
+0.85% +6.57%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000
27.84%
103 out of 370
+0.61%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2025
+2.92% +8.60%
May 1975 - Apr 2000
0.00%
0 out of 310
-1.48%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2025
+0.91% +5.56%
May 1975 - Apr 2000
15.16%
47 out of 310
+1.83%
Dec 1984 - Nov 2014
+3.02% +6.46%
Jun 1975 - May 2005
0.00%
0 out of 250
-0.21%
Dec 1984 - Nov 2014
+0.99% +3.59%
Jun 1975 - May 2005
3.20%
8 out of 250
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