When holding the JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-1 yr (BBLL.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~51 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 254 months (from November 2000 to December 2021).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 255 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-1 yr (BBLL.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Sep 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.61%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-26.17%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986 |
+4.46% |
+60.26%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1981 |
37.29%
223 out of 598 |
|
-26.74%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1986 |
+1.35% |
+50.43%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1981 |
44.82%
268 out of 598 |
|
-17.91%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
+3.68% |
+39.25%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1982 |
30.20%
177 out of 586 |
|
-18.00%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1987 |
+0.48% |
+31.43%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1982 |
45.73%
268 out of 586 |
|
-13.18%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1987 |
+3.06% |
+32.94%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1983 |
23.17%
133 out of 574 |
|
-13.84%
Jan 2002 - Dec 2004 |
+0.54% |
+26.66%
Sep 1980 - Aug 1983 |
44.08%
253 out of 574 |
|
-8.20%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004 |
+3.53% |
+31.19%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984 |
23.13%
130 out of 562 |
|
-10.14%
Dec 2000 - Nov 2004 |
+1.01% |
+25.94%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1984 |
41.81%
235 out of 562 |
|
-6.05%
Jun 2001 - May 2006 |
+3.46% |
+29.12%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
18.00%
99 out of 550 |
|
-8.03%
Jun 2001 - May 2006 |
+0.94% |
+24.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
37.64%
207 out of 550 |
|
-6.90%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008 |
+3.35% |
+25.16%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1984 |
15.06%
81 out of 538 |
|
-9.01%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008 |
+1.19% |
+19.83%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1984 |
36.80%
198 out of 538 |
|
-5.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+3.14% |
+21.84%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985 |
12.55%
66 out of 526 |
|
-8.16%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+1.30% |
+16.95%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1985 |
36.50%
192 out of 526 |
|
-4.11%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2009 |
+3.17% |
+18.11%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985 |
12.84%
66 out of 514 |
|
-6.04%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2009 |
+1.30% |
+13.55%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1985 |
32.88%
169 out of 514 |
|
-3.54%
May 2002 - Apr 2011 |
+3.23% |
+16.46%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985 |
9.76%
49 out of 502 |
|
-5.52%
May 2002 - Apr 2011 |
+1.37% |
+11.98%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1985 |
33.27%
167 out of 502 |
|
-3.36%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011 |
+3.23% |
+16.83%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985 |
12.45%
61 out of 490 |
|
-5.31%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2011 |
+1.33% |
+12.20%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1985 |
24.29%
119 out of 490 |
|
-2.54%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2013 |
+3.25% |
+12.96%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1986 |
9.41%
45 out of 478 |
|
-4.48%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2013 |
+1.36% |
+8.96%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1989 |
24.27%
116 out of 478 |
|
-2.38%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014 |
+3.11% |
+10.59%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1986 |
8.80%
41 out of 466 |
|
-4.24%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2014 |
+1.13% |
+7.02%
Jul 1979 - Jun 1991 |
24.46%
114 out of 466 |
|
-2.18%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014 |
+3.01% |
+10.50%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1991 |
6.17%
28 out of 454 |
|
-4.02%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2014 |
+1.02% |
+7.10%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1991 |
23.57%
107 out of 454 |
|
-1.17%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+3.22% |
+10.27%
Jun 1975 - May 1989 |
6.33%
28 out of 442 |
|
-3.14%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+1.15% |
+6.93%
Jun 1975 - May 1989 |
25.57%
113 out of 442 |
|
-0.55%
Jun 2001 - May 2016 |
+3.21% |
+9.94%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1993 |
4.42%
19 out of 430 |
|
-2.19%
Jun 2001 - May 2016 |
+1.03% |
+6.52%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1993 |
23.26%
100 out of 430 |
|
-1.16%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018 |
+3.19% |
+9.12%
Jun 1975 - May 1991 |
3.83%
16 out of 418 |
|
-2.74%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2018 |
+0.96% |
+5.76%
Jun 1975 - May 1991 |
22.25%
93 out of 418 |
|
-0.76%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018 |
+3.29% |
+8.91%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997 |
5.42%
22 out of 406 |
|
-2.41%
Apr 2001 - Mar 2018 |
+1.05% |
+5.98%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997 |
22.66%
92 out of 406 |
|
-0.36%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2019 |
+2.86% |
+8.85%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998 |
3.30%
13 out of 394 |
|
-1.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2019 |
+0.73% |
+5.88%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1998 |
19.29%
76 out of 394 |
|
-0.56%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2021 |
+2.88% |
+9.09%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1997 |
3.14%
12 out of 382 |
|
-2.07%
Feb 2002 - Jan 2021 |
+0.75% |
+5.91%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1997 |
24.61%
94 out of 382 |
|
-0.55%
Jun 2001 - May 2021 |
+3.00% |
+9.32%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000 |
3.51%
13 out of 370 |
|
-2.11%
Jun 2001 - May 2021 |
+0.85% |
+6.57%
Nov 1980 - Oct 2000 |
27.84%
103 out of 370 |
|
+0.61%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2025 |
+2.92% |
+8.60%
May 1975 - Apr 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 310 |
|
-1.48%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2025 |
+0.91% |
+5.56%
May 1975 - Apr 2000 |
15.16%
47 out of 310 |
|
+1.83%
Dec 1984 - Nov 2014 |
+3.02% |
+6.46%
Jun 1975 - May 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 250 |
|
-0.21%
Dec 1984 - Nov 2014 |
+0.99% |
+3.59%
Jun 1975 - May 2005 |
3.20%
8 out of 250 |
JPM BetaBuilders US Treasury Bond 0-1 yr (BBLL.DE) ETF: Historical Returns

