iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - September 2025 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 168 months (from October 2009 to September 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 169 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 October 1995 - 30 September 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 September 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/10 - 2025/09)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/09)

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As of Sep 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.00%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1995 - 30 September 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 September 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/10 - 2025/09)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/09)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 September 2025 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-6.51%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.93% +20.44%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
12.14%
109 out of 898
-15.49%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.43% +14.86%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
36.41%
327 out of 898
-3.79%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+4.38% +15.13%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1992
7.90%
70 out of 886
-10.37%
Dec 2020 - Nov 2022
+1.74% +12.29%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
29.46%
261 out of 886
-2.54%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023
+4.61% +14.27%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
8.58%
75 out of 874
-7.82%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+2.28% +9.94%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
30.78%
269 out of 874
-1.52%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+4.76% +12.61%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
8.47%
73 out of 862
-5.82%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+2.13% +8.87%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
27.61%
238 out of 862
-1.17%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+4.92% +11.62%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
9.06%
77 out of 850
-4.45%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+1.97% +9.07%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
24.94%
212 out of 850
-1.16%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
+4.83% +10.30%
Jun 1989 - May 1995
7.04%
59 out of 838
-4.19%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2023
+1.79% +7.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987
22.79%
191 out of 838
-1.04%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2023
+4.82% +9.99%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1996
6.90%
57 out of 826
-3.92%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+1.87% +7.02%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
21.07%
174 out of 826
-0.85%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.04% +9.46%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
5.04%
41 out of 814
-3.48%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2023
+1.92% +7.04%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
18.18%
148 out of 814
-0.73%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2023
+4.99% +9.78%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
5.61%
45 out of 802
-3.05%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+1.99% +7.31%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
15.96%
128 out of 802
-0.63%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
+4.96% +9.20%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
5.57%
44 out of 790
-2.77%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+2.06% +6.71%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
15.19%
120 out of 790
-0.51%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+4.97% +9.80%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
4.88%
38 out of 778
-2.59%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+2.10% +7.10%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
14.91%
116 out of 778
-0.39%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+4.93% +9.93%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1993
4.57%
35 out of 766
-2.52%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023
+2.15% +7.13%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
12.01%
92 out of 766
-0.23%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+4.96% +9.41%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
3.71%
28 out of 754
-2.39%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+2.25% +6.59%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
9.95%
75 out of 754
-0.01%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+4.95% +9.32%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
0.27%
2 out of 742
-2.15%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+2.21% +6.52%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
10.92%
81 out of 742
+0.15%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+4.98% +8.95%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1996
0.00%
0 out of 730
-1.94%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+2.14% +6.22%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
10.00%
73 out of 730
+0.33%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024
+5.06% +8.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
0.00%
0 out of 718
-1.73%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2025
+2.15% +6.09%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
10.58%
76 out of 718
+0.64%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2025
+5.09% +8.67%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 706
-1.35%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2025
+2.19% +6.11%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
9.35%
66 out of 706
+0.86%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022
+5.21% +8.35%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
0.00%
0 out of 694
-1.20%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023
+2.14% +5.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
8.07%
56 out of 694
+0.84%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.22% +8.14%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
0.00%
0 out of 682
-1.25%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023
+2.05% +5.42%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
7.33%
50 out of 682
+0.90%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+5.27% +8.03%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
0.00%
0 out of 670
-1.20%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+2.13% +5.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
6.72%
45 out of 670
+1.72%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+5.53% +7.35%
Jun 1970 - May 1995
0.00%
0 out of 610
-0.39%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+2.38% +4.64%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005
5.90%
36 out of 610
+2.23%
Oct 1995 - Sep 2025
+5.66% +6.83%
Jan 1969 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 550
+0.19%
Oct 1995 - Sep 2025
+2.74% +4.18%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2011
0.00%
0 out of 550
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