iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - January 2026 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 168 months (from October 2009 to September 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 169 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 January 2026 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2026/01)

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As of Jan 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.07%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1996 - 31 January 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 January 2026 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1996/02 - 2026/01)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2026/01)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 January 2026 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-6.51%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.89% +20.44%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
12.08%
109 out of 902
-15.49%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.43% +14.86%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
36.25%
327 out of 902
-3.79%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+4.36% +15.13%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1992
7.87%
70 out of 890
-10.37%
Dec 2020 - Nov 2022
+1.73% +12.29%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
29.33%
261 out of 890
-2.54%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023
+4.60% +14.27%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
8.54%
75 out of 878
-7.82%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+2.27% +9.94%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
30.75%
270 out of 878
-1.52%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+4.74% +12.61%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
8.43%
73 out of 866
-5.82%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+2.13% +8.87%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
27.94%
242 out of 866
-1.17%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+4.92% +11.62%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
9.37%
80 out of 854
-4.45%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+1.96% +9.07%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
25.29%
216 out of 854
-1.16%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
+4.82% +10.30%
Jun 1989 - May 1995
7.01%
59 out of 842
-4.19%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2023
+1.68% +7.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987
23.16%
195 out of 842
-1.04%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2023
+4.81% +9.99%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1996
6.87%
57 out of 830
-3.92%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+1.85% +7.02%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
21.45%
178 out of 830
-0.85%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.04% +9.46%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
5.01%
41 out of 818
-3.48%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2023
+1.91% +7.04%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
18.58%
152 out of 818
-0.73%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2023
+4.97% +9.78%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
5.58%
45 out of 806
-3.05%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+1.98% +7.31%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
16.38%
132 out of 806
-0.63%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
+4.96% +9.20%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
5.54%
44 out of 794
-2.77%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+2.05% +6.71%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
15.62%
124 out of 794
-0.51%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+4.96% +9.80%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
4.86%
38 out of 782
-2.59%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+2.10% +7.10%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
15.35%
120 out of 782
-0.39%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+4.92% +9.93%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1993
4.55%
35 out of 770
-2.52%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023
+2.13% +7.13%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
12.47%
96 out of 770
-0.23%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+4.95% +9.41%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
3.69%
28 out of 758
-2.39%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+2.25% +6.59%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
10.42%
79 out of 758
-0.01%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+4.95% +9.32%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
0.27%
2 out of 746
-2.15%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+2.21% +6.52%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
11.39%
85 out of 746
+0.15%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+4.97% +8.95%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1996
0.00%
0 out of 734
-1.94%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+2.12% +6.22%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
10.49%
77 out of 734
+0.33%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024
+5.06% +8.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
0.00%
0 out of 722
-1.73%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2025
+2.14% +6.09%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
11.08%
80 out of 722
+0.48%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
+5.09% +8.67%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 710
-1.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
+2.16% +6.11%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
9.86%
70 out of 710
+0.82%
Feb 2008 - Jan 2026
+5.20% +8.35%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
0.00%
0 out of 698
-1.20%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023
+2.13% +5.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
8.60%
60 out of 698
+0.84%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.21% +8.14%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
0.00%
0 out of 686
-1.25%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023
+2.03% +5.42%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
7.87%
54 out of 686
+0.90%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+5.25% +8.03%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
0.00%
0 out of 674
-1.20%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+2.13% +5.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
7.27%
49 out of 674
+1.72%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+5.52% +7.35%
Jun 1970 - May 1995
0.00%
0 out of 614
-0.39%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+2.36% +4.64%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005
6.51%
40 out of 614
+2.14%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2026
+5.66% +6.83%
Jan 1969 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 554
+0.13%
Jan 1996 - Dec 2025
+2.74% +4.18%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2011
0.00%
0 out of 554
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