iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1950 - November 2025 (~76 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares USD Treasury Bond 1-3yr EUR Hedged (2B7S.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~76 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 168 months (from October 2009 to September 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 169 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/11)

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As of Nov 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.09%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 December 1995 - 30 November 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
30 Years
(1995/12 - 2025/11)
All Data
(1950/01 - 2025/11)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES USD TREASURY BOND 1-3YR EUR HEDGED (2B7S.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 30 November 2025 (~76 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-6.51%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.90% +20.44%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
12.11%
109 out of 900
-15.49%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+1.43% +14.86%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
36.33%
327 out of 900
-3.79%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+4.38% +15.13%
Oct 1990 - Sep 1992
7.88%
70 out of 888
-10.37%
Dec 2020 - Nov 2022
+1.74% +12.29%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1986
29.39%
261 out of 888
-2.54%
Jul 2020 - Jun 2023
+4.60% +14.27%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
8.56%
75 out of 876
-7.82%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023
+2.27% +9.94%
May 1990 - Apr 1993
30.71%
269 out of 876
-1.52%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+4.75% +12.61%
Apr 1989 - Mar 1993
8.45%
73 out of 864
-5.82%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
+2.13% +8.87%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
27.78%
240 out of 864
-1.17%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+4.92% +11.62%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
9.27%
79 out of 852
-4.45%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
+1.96% +9.07%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
25.12%
214 out of 852
-1.16%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022
+4.83% +10.30%
Jun 1989 - May 1995
7.02%
59 out of 840
-4.19%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2023
+1.70% +7.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987
22.98%
193 out of 840
-1.04%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2023
+4.82% +9.99%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1996
6.88%
57 out of 828
-3.92%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+1.86% +7.02%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
21.26%
176 out of 828
-0.85%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+5.04% +9.46%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
5.02%
41 out of 816
-3.48%
Oct 2015 - Sep 2023
+1.91% +7.04%
Oct 1984 - Sep 1992
18.38%
150 out of 816
-0.73%
Mar 2014 - Feb 2023
+4.99% +9.78%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
5.60%
45 out of 804
-3.05%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+1.99% +7.31%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
16.17%
130 out of 804
-0.63%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2023
+4.96% +9.20%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
5.56%
44 out of 792
-2.77%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+2.05% +6.71%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1993
15.40%
122 out of 792
-0.51%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+4.96% +9.80%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
4.87%
38 out of 780
-2.59%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023
+2.10% +7.10%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
15.13%
118 out of 780
-0.39%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023
+4.93% +9.93%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1993
4.56%
35 out of 768
-2.52%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023
+2.14% +7.13%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
12.24%
94 out of 768
-0.23%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+4.96% +9.41%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
3.70%
28 out of 756
-2.39%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+2.25% +6.59%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
10.19%
77 out of 756
-0.01%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023
+4.95% +9.32%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
0.27%
2 out of 744
-2.15%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+2.21% +6.52%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1995
11.16%
83 out of 744
+0.15%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+4.97% +8.95%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1996
0.00%
0 out of 732
-1.94%
May 2009 - Apr 2024
+2.13% +6.22%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
10.25%
75 out of 732
+0.33%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024
+5.06% +8.80%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996
0.00%
0 out of 720
-1.73%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2025
+2.15% +6.09%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
10.83%
78 out of 720
+0.52%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025
+5.09% +8.67%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 708
-1.49%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2025
+2.16% +6.11%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
9.60%
68 out of 708
+0.86%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022
+5.21% +8.35%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998
0.00%
0 out of 696
-1.20%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023
+2.13% +5.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
8.33%
58 out of 696
+0.84%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.22% +8.14%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999
0.00%
0 out of 684
-1.25%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023
+2.05% +5.42%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
7.60%
52 out of 684
+0.90%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+5.26% +8.03%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
0.00%
0 out of 672
-1.20%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+2.13% +5.55%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
6.99%
47 out of 672
+1.72%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+5.52% +7.35%
Jun 1970 - May 1995
0.00%
0 out of 612
-0.39%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+2.37% +4.64%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005
6.21%
38 out of 612
+2.19%
Dec 1995 - Nov 2025
+5.66% +6.83%
Jan 1969 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 552
+0.15%
Dec 1995 - Nov 2025
+2.74% +4.18%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2011
0.00%
0 out of 552
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