iShares U.S. Treasury Bond (GOVT): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2013 to April 2024 (~11 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the iShares U.S. Treasury Bond (GOVT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~11 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 107 months (from December 2014 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 108 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares U.S. Treasury Bond (GOVT) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES U.S. TREASURY BOND (GOVT) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 2014 - 30 April 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2013 - 30 April 2024 (~11 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.26% +13.96%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 		-14.21%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 		47.20%
59 out of 125
US Inflation Adjusted -1.71% +13.57%
May 2019 - Apr 2020 		-20.38%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 		56.80%
71 out of 125
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.67% +9.57%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020 		-8.46%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		33.63%
38 out of 113
US Inflation Adjusted -0.25% +8.03%
Aug 2018 - Jul 2020 		-14.44%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022 		53.10%
60 out of 113
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.83% +5.77%
Aug 2017 - Jul 2020 		-5.98%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		24.75%
25 out of 101
US Inflation Adjusted +0.06% +3.95%
May 2017 - Apr 2020 		-11.07%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 		48.51%
49 out of 101
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.50% +4.42%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2020 		-3.93%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 		19.10%
17 out of 89
US Inflation Adjusted -0.12% +2.48%
Dec 2016 - Nov 2020 		-8.57%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 		52.81%
47 out of 89
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.62% +4.00%
Aug 2015 - Jul 2020 		-0.59%
May 2019 - Apr 2024 		10.39%
8 out of 77
US Inflation Adjusted -0.31% +2.37%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2020 		-4.52%
May 2019 - Apr 2024 		58.44%
45 out of 77
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.93% +3.89%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2020 		-0.64%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 		10.77%
7 out of 65
US Inflation Adjusted -0.07% +2.44%
Aug 2014 - Jul 2020 		-4.19%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 		55.38%
36 out of 65
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.67% +3.62%
Aug 2013 - Jul 2020 		-0.66%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 		13.21%
7 out of 53
US Inflation Adjusted -0.98% +2.09%
Aug 2013 - Jul 2020 		-4.03%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 		54.72%
29 out of 53
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.84% +2.80%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2021 		-0.18%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		7.32%
3 out of 41
US Inflation Adjusted -1.86% +1.00%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2021 		-3.35%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		68.29%
28 out of 41
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.80% +2.16%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2021 		+0.09%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 29
US Inflation Adjusted -1.93% -0.02%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2021 		-2.80%
May 2015 - Apr 2024 		100.00%
29 out of 29
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.81% +1.14%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2023 		+0.37%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 17
US Inflation Adjusted -1.86% -1.60%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2023 		-2.35%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 		100.00%
17 out of 17
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.73% +0.84%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 		+0.43%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 5
US Inflation Adjusted -1.94% -1.79%
Feb 2013 - Jan 2024 		-2.26%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 		100.00%
5 out of 5
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares U.S. Treasury Bond (GOVT) ETF: Historical Returns page.