iShares US IG Corporate Bond CAD-Hedged (XIG.TO): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1960 - June 2025 (~66 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the iShares US IG Corporate Bond CAD-Hedged (XIG.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~66 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 105 months (from February 2015 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 106 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES US IG CORPORATE BOND CAD-HEDGED (XIG.TO) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1960 - 30 June 2025 (~66 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1960/01 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.93%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES US IG CORPORATE BOND CAD-HEDGED (XIG.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1960 - 30 June 2025 (~66 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1960/01 - 2025/06)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES US IG CORPORATE BOND CAD-HEDGED (XIG.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1960 - 30 June 2025 (~66 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-22.54%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+6.26% +46.14%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1982
16.52%
128 out of 775
-27.52%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.69% +37.05%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
32.26%
250 out of 775
-11.56%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+6.13% +34.00%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986
10.22%
78 out of 763
-16.08%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
+3.83% +28.99%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986
25.82%
197 out of 763
-7.35%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+6.24% +26.25%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985
7.86%
59 out of 751
-12.94%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981
+3.97% +20.74%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985
22.24%
167 out of 751
-3.96%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+6.16% +27.40%
Apr 1982 - Mar 1986
4.74%
35 out of 739
-11.03%
Oct 1977 - Sep 1981
+3.42% +21.86%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
20.70%
153 out of 739
-1.57%
Feb 2020 - Jan 2025
+6.44% +26.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
2.89%
21 out of 727
-7.87%
Oct 1976 - Sep 1981
+3.11% +19.99%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
22.42%
163 out of 727
-1.05%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+6.66% +21.58%
Mar 1981 - Feb 1987
0.56%
4 out of 715
-4.21%
Jul 1976 - Jun 1982
+3.34% +15.52%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1988
23.22%
166 out of 715
-0.53%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+6.68% +21.05%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
0.28%
2 out of 703
-4.52%
Mar 1973 - Feb 1980
+3.62% +15.18%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1988
21.05%
148 out of 703
+0.37%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+6.44% +20.17%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
0.00%
0 out of 691
-5.04%
Oct 1973 - Sep 1981
+3.68% +14.31%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
17.66%
122 out of 691
+0.50%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+6.45% +18.87%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1990
0.00%
0 out of 679
-5.10%
Oct 1972 - Sep 1981
+3.87% +13.40%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
16.20%
110 out of 679
+0.85%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022
+6.63% +19.43%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1991
0.00%
0 out of 667
-4.78%
Oct 1971 - Sep 1981
+4.03% +13.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1991
17.99%
120 out of 667
+0.86%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+6.76% +19.18%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
0.00%
0 out of 655
-3.69%
Apr 1971 - Mar 1982
+3.99% +13.81%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1992
19.24%
126 out of 655
+1.75%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+6.66% +18.90%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
0.00%
0 out of 643
-2.67%
Sep 1969 - Aug 1981
+4.02% +13.82%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
17.73%
114 out of 643
+2.19%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+6.59% +17.13%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994
0.00%
0 out of 631
-3.19%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1981
+4.10% +12.45%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1995
13.15%
83 out of 631
+2.80%
Jun 2011 - May 2025
+6.66% +17.01%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
0.00%
0 out of 619
-2.72%
Oct 1967 - Sep 1981
+4.08% +12.51%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
10.50%
65 out of 619
+3.25%
May 2010 - Apr 2025
+6.78% +16.08%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
0.00%
0 out of 607
-2.49%
Oct 1966 - Sep 1981
+4.04% +11.80%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1996
8.24%
50 out of 607
+3.23%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+7.28% +15.51%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
0.00%
0 out of 595
-2.57%
Oct 1965 - Sep 1981
+4.17% +11.39%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
7.73%
46 out of 595
+3.22%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+7.59% +15.19%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
0.00%
0 out of 583
-2.31%
Oct 1964 - Sep 1981
+4.26% +11.28%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
7.20%
42 out of 583
+3.16%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022
+7.84% +14.13%
May 1975 - Apr 1993
0.00%
0 out of 571
-2.00%
Oct 1963 - Sep 1981
+4.21% +10.30%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
7.71%
44 out of 571
+3.04%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+8.05% +14.13%
Sep 1974 - Aug 1993
0.00%
0 out of 559
-1.72%
Oct 1962 - Sep 1981
+4.32% +9.91%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2000
6.62%
37 out of 559
+3.35%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+8.26% +13.67%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
0.00%
0 out of 547
-1.37%
Oct 1961 - Sep 1981
+4.37% +9.96%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001
5.30%
29 out of 547
+4.11%
Nov 1998 - Oct 2023
+9.24% +12.16%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005
0.00%
0 out of 487
+1.66%
Apr 1960 - Mar 1985
+5.02% +8.68%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2006
0.00%
0 out of 487
+4.46%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+9.78% +11.41%
Sep 1974 - Aug 2004
0.00%
0 out of 427
+2.35%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+5.01% +7.95%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2011
0.00%
0 out of 427
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